NFL Anytime Touchdown Props for Week 5: Nico Collins, Jayden Daniels, & Roschon Johnson

TD Prop bet #1: Roschon Johnson anytime TD

Best odds: +245 at DraftKings

Roschon Johnson didn't stuff the stat sheet last week as D'Andre Swift awoke from his slumber, but RJ got the majority of the work near the goal line and bettors are getting a better price for his anytime TD prop than last week and that's after he took seven carries for a score with two red-zone totes.

Swift waking up might almost be better for RJ to score as the Chicago Bears certainly move the ball better with Swift contributing. It's also an incredible matchup at home vs. the Carolina Panthers, who have allowed six rushing TDs already this season and are in even worse shape health-wise heading into Week 5.

Carolina was already without its best defensive player in Derrick  Brown, who is on the IR, but they also lost leading tackler Shaq Thompson last week to an Achilles injury. Thompson was leading all the Carolina linebackers in snaps played while No.2 on the list, Josey Jewell, was a DNP at practice to begin the week. Carolina was a bad defense but will be even worse in Week 5. 

I don't love going back-to-back on TD rushers, but RJ cashed last week, is getting the RZ carries on an improving offense, and faces an injured defense.  

TD Prop bet #2: Jayden Daniels anytime TD

Best odds: +135 at FanDuel

The Jayden Daniels hype has been loud over the last week and deservedly so. He is completing 82% of his passes and running the No.1 offense in football in both EPA/rush and EPA/dropback. The team has also been crushing TDs all season, totaling 10 rushing TDs through four weeks. 

Austin Ekeler is trying to return from a concussion, which makes the RB situation a little muddy, but Daniels is the consistent piece to bet on. The OROTY favorite has rushed for a TD in three of the four weeks to open the season and has 12 red-zone carries, which would rank ninth among NFL running backs. All of those RBs ahead of him are all shorter than Daniels' +135 TD price this week. 

He was +150 last week vs. the Cardinals and considering that might be the easiest matchup for this prop, his +135 price this week vs. the Cleveland Browns doesn't seem like the books have adjusted his price much, if at all. 

The Browns have not been good on either side of the ball and the Washington Commanders enter as a 3-point favorite and longer in some spots. The Browns defense has dealt with injuries all year as neither Myles Garrett nor linebacker Jordan Hicks is 100%. 

If Ekeler is out again, I'm jumping on shares of Jeremy McNichols at +550 at DraftKings as it was the backup RB who finished with two TDs last week with Ekeler out. 

TD Prop bet #3: Nico Collins anytime TD

Best odds: +125 at bet365

Houston Texans WR Nico Collins leads all receivers in receiving yards by over 100 yards and has five fewer catches than No. 2 Malik Nabers.

He will be featured heavily again this week vs. the Bills, who showed their defensive issues last week in prime time. This is not a great coverage team that is already missing pieces as Taron Johnson is working his way back from a multi-week injury and starting safety Taylor Rapp was DNP at practice on Wednesday.

Collins has been unstoppable and is my favorite for offensive player of the year at 10/1 or longer. He hasn't been held to below 86 yards this year and has soaked up 43 targets through four weeks. Since Joe Mixon hit the shelf, Collins leads all WRs in red-zone targets with seven and although he's caught just one of those, it was for a score. The volume is more predictable than the output and Collins is a real RZ threat as well as everywhere else on the field. Five of those seven RZ targets also came inside the 5-yard line. 

Mixon missed practice early this week and his absence would be great for this TD prop as Cam Akers is not the answer. Collins is WR1 in my mind and I'd buy this TD to +110/+115.