Bruins vs Blues Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NHL Game

Boston's offense is in shambles, and captain Brad Marchand is trying to lead by example as he looks to get his team back on track.

Todd Cordell - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Todd Cordell • Betting Analyst
Nov 12, 2024 • 10:51 ET • 4 min read
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This article contains predictions for an old game!

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Brad Marchand Boston Bruins NHL
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The Boston Bruins slowly appear to be turning a corner. They’ve picked up at least a point in four of the past five games and recorded a pair of shutout victories along the way.

A resurgence from Brad Marchand has factored heavily into Boston’s recent successes, and my Bruins vs. Blues predictions see the B's captain continuing to build on his recent in a juicy matchup against St. Louis team looking vulnerable defensively.

Let’s take a closer look at my NHL picks on Tuesday, November 12.

Bruins vs Blues prediction

My best bet
Brad Marchand Over 2.5 shots (-118 at FanDuel)

My analysis
Brad Marchand has hit another level of late. He’s recorded at least three shots in seven of his past eight appearances, over which time he’s piled up eight points. Marchand’s shot volume has also been very consistent, attempting at least six shots in nine of his last 10 games.

Since the beginning of the 2023-24 campaign, Marchand has cleared 2.5 shots in 31 of 39 games he attempted six shots or more. That number is somewhat of a sweet spot for him.

Marchand’s uptick in volume not so coincidentally coincides with an increase in ice time alongside Elias Lindholm. Marchy has averaged 18.82 shot attempts while skating at 5-on-5 with Lindholm and generated shots on goal at a higher rate than when paired with any other Boston Bruins forward.

Whether David Pastrnak is with them or not, the Marchand-Lindholm duo has performed very well. Even with Justin Brazeau on the line, Boston has dominated the expected goal share while piling up the shots.

We’re still dealing with small samples but that trio has generated 24 attempts in 17 minutes and managed an 85.63 xGF%. They certainly look capable of exposing a weak group of middle-6 forwards.

Individually, Marchand has a very nice matchup to keep his shooting success going. The Blues rank 25th in 5on-5 shot suppression over the last 10 games. They're also a subpar penalty-killing team. Oh, and only seven teams have allowed more shots per game to wingers this season.

There are a lot of avenues for Marchand to get there in this spot.

Bruins vs Blues same-game parlay (SGP)

Brad Marchand Over 2.5 shots

Brad Marchand Over 0.5 points

Elias Lindholm Over 0.5 points

Marchand has eight points over his last eight games and has hit the scoresheet at least once in six of them. Of the two exceptions, one was against a Toronto Maple Leafs side that ranks fifth in goals against per game.

The Blues are not a good defensive team, giving up shots in bulk while sitting 27th in goals against per game. Playing on the top power play and on a dangerous even-strength line, Marchand will have ample opportunity to take advantage.

I like Elias Lindholm’s chances of coming along for the ride with Marchand. He’s hit the scoresheet in four of his last six games and heavily correlates with Marchand, playing with him at 5-on-5, on the power play, and even in overtime situations.

No matter the game state, there’s a good chance one of the two forwards hitting the scoresheet comes along with the other.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Bruins vs Blues odds

Bruins vs Blues live odds

Bruins vs Blues opening odds

  • Puck line: Boston -1.5 (+166) | St. Louis +1.5 (-190)
  • Moneyline: Boston -158 | St. Louis +139
  • Over/Under: Over 5.5 (-113) | Under 5.5 (-101)

Bruins vs Blues trend

Brad Marchand has recorded three shots or more in eight of his last 10 games, including four straight on the road. Find more NHL betting trends for Bruins vs. Blues.

How to watch Bruins vs Blues

Location: Enterprise Center, St. Louis, MO
Date: Tuesday, 11-12-2024
Puck drop: 8:00 p.m. ET
TV: NESN, FanDuel Sports Network - Midwest

Bruins vs Blues latest injuries

Not intended for use in MA.
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Todd Cordell - Covers
Betting Analyst

Todd Cordell is a data-driven betting analyst. He uses numbers to help identify value across a wide variety of sports, with NHL being his specialty. Shot props, in particular, have proven to be a very fruitful market. Todd has served as a betting analyst in the public sphere for many years, most recently with theScore covering the NHL and MLB.

When not writing about sports betting, Todd stays busy analyzing the New Jersey Devils with a fine-tooth comb for InfernalAccess, his Devils-centric blog. Todd attended Sheridan College and graduated in 2014 with a diploma in print journalism.

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