Canadiens vs Bruins Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NHL Game

With Montreal motivated to secure a playoff spot and Boston out of the race, Neil Parker is backing the road team in tonight's rivalry matchup at TD Garden.

Neil Parker - Analyst at Covers.com
Neil Parker • Betting Analyst
Apr 3, 2025 • 11:31 ET • 4 min read
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This article contains predictions for an old game!

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Alex Newhook Montreal Canadiens NHL
Photo By - Imagn Images. Montreal Canadiens forward Alex Newhook skates with the puck.

It’s an Original Six battle at the Bell Centre tonight, with the Montreal Canadiens hosting the Boston Bruins in the Atlantic Division showdown.

Montreal is in the thick of the wild-card race in the Eastern Conference, while Boston has dropped nine straight to fall to the Eastern basement.

My Bruins vs. Canadiens predictions are calling for the Habs to win convincingly. Find out more in my NHL picks for Thursday, April 3. 

Canadiens vs Bruins prediction

My Canadiens pick: Canadiens -1.5 puck line (+125 at BET99)

My Canadiens analysis
The Boston Bruins are the lowest-scoring team in the NHL during their active 3-14-3 run. They've also dropped nine straight, with six of those losses coming by two or more goals.

Even with the Montreal Canadiens having a few flaws of their own, I’m happy to take the plus-money odds and back the team competing for a postseason berth over the team that appears to have packed it in.

It’s been even worse on the highway for the Bruins during the noted stretch. Boston has scored the fifth-fewest goals and generated the fewest expected goals per 60 minutes at five-on-five on the road, and No. 1 goalie Jeremy Swayman is 1-5 with a disastrous .863 save percentage, 3.61 GAA, and -1.68 goals saved above average.

As a result, I’m viewing Boston as a huge downtick in class after Montreal topped the Panthers in consecutive games. Simply put, the Bruins are short on impact talent, and the supporting cast isn’t packing enough punch behind star David Pastrnak.

Meanwhile, Habs netminder Sam Montembeault has been solid on home ice since returning from the 4 Nations Face-Off. He’s 6-0-1 with a .917 SV% percentage and 2.24 GAA, with the lone blemish coming to the powerhouse Avalanche when he was bombarded with 37 shots.

The Bruins don’t have the same level of offensive firepower jumping the boards.

Canadiens vs Bruins same-game parlay (SGP)

Canadiens -1.5 puck line

Alex Newhook Over 1.5 shots

Elias Lindholm Under 0.5 points

Habs center Alex Newhook has been a consistent secondary shooter and has recorded two or more shots in 12 of his past 17 games, ranking third in shots per 60 (12.12) and fourth in attempts (14.84) per 60 minutes on the club. Those numbers are way up from his respective 5.18 and 12.01 marks to start the year.

Boston also has a 26th-ranked 46.8 Corsi For percentage and 29th-ranked 46.0% shot share at 5-on-5 during its 20-game skid, so I like Newhook’s potential at even strength, in addition to him skating on the second power-play unit.

Turning to the final leg of this same-game parlay, Bruins center Elias Lindholm has missed the scoresheet in 10 of the past 16 games for a pedestrian 1.48 points per 60 minutes. He’s also only been on the ice for 2.54 goals and 2.98 expected goals per 60, and those numbers shrink to 1.8 and 1.95 at 5-on-5.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Canadiens vs Bruins odds

Canadiens vs Bruins live odds

Canadiens vs Bruins opening odds

  • Puck line: Montreal -1.5 (+140) | Boston +1.5 (-165)
  • Moneyline: Montreal -190 | Boston +155
  • Over/Under: Over 5.5 (-120) | Under 5.5 (+100)

Odds courtesy of BET99

Canadiens vs Bruins trend

Boston has only covered the puck line in 42 of its last 94 games (-22.10 Units / -16% ROI). Find more NHL betting trends for Canadiens vs. Bruins.

How to watch Canadiens vs Bruins

Location Centre Bell, Montreal, QC
Date Thursday, 4-3-2025
Puck drop 7:00 p.m. ET
TV Sportsnet, RDS

Canadiens vs Bruins latest injuries

Not intended for use in MA.
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Neil Parker - Covers
Betting Analyst

Neil Parker is, first and foremost, a sports fan. A huge supporter of the Cowboys, Cubs, and Maple Leafs, he has managed to parlay his passion into writing gigs with Sportsbook Review, USA TODAY, theScore, DraftKings Playbook, and RotoWire, among many others. He also co-hosted the Daily Fantasy Edge podcast and can now be seen offering expert golf and hockey advice on Covers’ Before you Bet broadcast.

Neil takes a numbers-based approach to his handicapping and complements his in-depth statistical analysis with a keen eye on the markets to provide the best available odds. He loves to lean on his rolodex of idioms to offset his inner nerd. When it comes to wagering, he throws down on anything that catches his eye at bet365, Betway and BetVictor. He also keeps a close eye on CoolBet because the polar bear brand often has outlier NHL and NFL moneyline prices.

Neil graduated with honors from St. Thomas University in 2007 before completing his BEd at Acadia University in 2010. After teaching a myriad of courses and subjects, he found a groove delivering fun lessons to exceptional learners in non-traditional classroom environments. If his decade-plus teaching run taught him anything about sports betting, it’s to stay the course and use the summer – or offseason – to refresh and prepare to be better in the year to come.

Neil’s top pieces of advice for recreational bettors are to stay within your means and to remember sportsbooks aren’t bank accounts. Don’t be afraid to pull those winnings and treat yourself to a lifetime experience courtesy of a big win.

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