Canadiens vs Capitals Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NHL Game

Caufield couldn't find the scoresheet in Montreal's last outing, but he and Suzuki will link up together against the Capitals.

Todd Cordell - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Todd Cordell • Betting Analyst
Dec 7, 2024 • 10:39 ET • 4 min read
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This article contains predictions for an old game!

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Cole Caufield Montreal Canadiens NHL
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The Montreal Canadiens are playing their best hockey of the season, sporting a 5-3-1 record over their last nine games.

They’ll look to keep the ball rolling Saturday night against a fierce Washington Capitals team continuing to chug along even without its captain.

My Capitals vs. Canadiens predictions see the home team’s star duo, Cole Caufield and Nick Suzuki, capitalizing offensively. Let’s break things down further with my NHL picks for December 7.

Canadiens vs Capitals prediction

My Canadiens pick
Cole Caufield Over 0.5 points (-140 at BET99)

My Canadiens analysis
Cole Caufield has quietly had a very productive start to the season. The 23-year-old winger is on pace for 73 points and hitting the scoresheet on a very consistent basis.

Caufield has recorded at least one point in 65% of his games, including seven of the last nine overall.

He's meshed very nicely with Nick Suzuki and Alex Newhook on the Montreal Canadiens' new-look top line. That trio has helped the them control 66.45% of the shot attempts, 65% of the scoring chances, and 60% of the expected goal share.

Caufield’s line could be in for another good night against the Washington Capitals. Although they're a strong team, their defensive metrics have really tailed off of late.

The Capitals rank 28th in expected goals against at 5-on-5 over the last 10 games, and they've given up a lot of good looks and relied heavily on their goaltenders to mask their blemishes.

That will likely be the case again in the latter half of a road back-to-back, at least when going up against this dominant Caufield line.

Caufield also stands a strong chance of making some noise on the power play. The Capitals rank Bottom 10 in shot suppression and expected goals against on the penalty kill over the last 10 games. They’ve also dealt with some discipline issues, spending more time shorthanded than all but five teams.

With Patrik Laine’s booming shot now featured on the power play, Caufield should have some extra time and space to work with when he touches the puck.

Canadiens vs Capitals same-game parlay (SGP)

Cole Caufield Over 0.5 points

Nick Suzuki Over 0.5 points

Over 5.5

Caufield and Suzuki go together like buttery popcorn and the movie theatre. You can’t have one without the other.

Last season, Caufield found the scoresheet in 65% of his games, while Suzuki came in at 63%. This year, Caufield remains at 65%, with Suzuki right behind him at 62%. It's not a coincidence their point rates are nearly identical.

They have such good chemistry and share the ice so frequently it’s difficult for one to produce and not the other.

I like the correlation that comes with a watered-down Over. Washington leads the NHL in goal scoring, averaging a whopping 4.04 per game. It can fill the net even without Alex Ovechkin and may need to do so to keep up with Caufield, Suzuki, Laine, and the Canadiens.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Canadiens vs Capitals odds

Canadiens vs Capitals live odds

Canadiens vs Capitals opening odds

  • Puck line: Washington -1.5 (+169) | Montreal +1.5 (-199)
  • Moneyline: Washington -148 | Montreal +131
  • Over/Under: Over 6.0 (-107) | Under 6.0 (-107)

Odds courtesy of BET99

Canadiens vs Capitals trend

Cole Caufield has recorded a point in six of his last nine home games. Find more NHL betting trends for Canadiens vs. Capitals.

How to watch Canadiens vs Capitals

Location: Bell Centre, Montreal, QC
Date: Saturday, 12-7-2024
Puck drop: 7:00 p.m. ET
TV: SNE

Canadiens vs Capitals latest injuries

Not intended for use in MA.
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Todd Cordell - Covers
Betting Analyst

Todd Cordell is a data-driven betting analyst. He uses numbers to help identify value across a wide variety of sports, with NHL being his specialty. Shot props, in particular, have proven to be a very fruitful market. Todd has served as a betting analyst in the public sphere for many years, most recently with theScore covering the NHL and MLB.

When not writing about sports betting, Todd stays busy analyzing the New Jersey Devils with a fine-tooth comb for InfernalAccess, his Devils-centric blog. Todd attended Sheridan College and graduated in 2014 with a diploma in print journalism.

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