Canucks vs Capitals Picks and Predictions: Washington's Get-Right Tour Continues Here

Both the Capitals and Canucks have lost four of five, but Washington snatched a 2-0 victory last night and appears to be the team better positioned to put that poor hockey behind them. Read more in our Canucks vs. Capitals NHL betting preview.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Jan 16, 2022 • 10:51 ET • 4 min read
Alex Ovechkin Washington Capitals NHL
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

There's just a single game on the NHL betting board today with an afternoon showdown between the Vancouver Canucks and Washington Capitals. Both of these teams are playing on back-to-back days and are looking to get on track after losing four of their last five contests.

Oddsmakers are expecting Vancouver's struggles to continue with the Canucks coming into this contest as +161 road underdogs with the Over/Under at 6. Here are our best free Canucks vs. Capitals picks and predictions for Monday, January 16, with the puck dropping at 2 p.m. ET. 

Canucks vs Capitals odds

Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.

The odds opened with the Capitals installed as -180 home favorites with the Over/Under at 6 and as of 10 a.m. ET the line has stayed steady. These teams haven't played against each other in more than two years, since the Canucks had a 2-1 shootout win as +164 road underdogs in November 2019. 

Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right until puck drop and be sure to check out the full NHL odds before betting to ensure you get the best number.

Canucks vs Capitals predictions

Predictions made on 1/16/2022 at 10 a.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.

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Canucks vs Capitals game info

Location: Capital One Arena, Washington, DC
Date: Sunday, January 16, 2022
Puck drop: 2:00 p.m. ET
TV: Sportsnet, NBC Sports Washington

Canucks vs Capitals betting preview

Injuries

Canucks: Alex Chiasson RW (Out), Justin Dowling C (Out), Travis Hamonic D (Out).
Capitals: T.J. Oshie RW (Questionable), Conor Sheary LW (Out), Carl Hagelin LW (Out), Dmitry Orlov D (Out), Anthony Mantha RW (Out), Dennis Cholowski D (Out).
Find our latest NHL injury reports.

Canucks vs Capitals head-to-head record

Canucks: 2-2, 12 goals for.
Capitals: 2-2, 15 goals for.

Betting trend to know

The Over is 10-2 in Washington's last 12 home games. Find more NHL betting trends for Canucks vs. Capitals.

Canucks vs Capitals picks and predictions

Our predictions are compiled from the analysis of the spread and total and are indications of where we are leaning for this game.
Our best bet is the play that we like the most for this game, which we would actually put some of our bankroll behind.

The Canucks are coming off a 4-1 loss to Carolina yesterday and have lost three in a row, getting outscored 13-5 by tough foes in the Hurricanes, Lightning, and Panthers. Thatcher Demko allowed four goals on 33 shots in that contest and will probably start again after backup Jaroslav Halak was placed on the protocol list and career minor-leaguer Spencer Martin was added from the taxi squad. 

The Capitals snapped a four-game losing streak with a 2-0 win over the Islanders yesterday which was iced by an empty-netter from Alex Ovechkin. Vitek Vanecek was in nets for that game which means Ilya Samsonov will likely get the start this afternoon. Samsonov is 13-3-3 with a 2.76 GAA and a save percentage of .903. 

Vancouver reeled off seven consecutive wins in December which helped them climb out from near the bottom of the standings but their point percentage of .473 still ranks just 23rd in the NHL. Despite their recent skid, the Capitals are eighth in the league with a point percentage of .671. 

Led by the ageless Ovechkin, Washington is sixth in the league in goals per 60 minutes in 5v5 hockey (2.9) while ranking fourth in goal for percentage (57.32%) and eighth in Fenwick For percentage (53.06%). Vancouver is just 29th in GF/60 (1.92) in 5-on-5 hockey, while ranking 17th in GF% (49.57%), and 14th in FF% (50.35%).

In addition to not having the offensive consistency of the Capitals, the Nucks have a few other disadvantages in this one. Demko will likely be forced to play on back-to-back days and will be given his fourth start in six days which is a strenuous workload for any goalie, let alone a 26-year-old who has never played more than 35 games in a season during his career.

Vancouver also has a history of struggling when playing on 0 days of rest, going 1-3 this season and 14-37 in their last 51 games in those situations. On the other hand, the battle-tested Capitals are 11-4 in their previous 15 games on the tail-end of a back-to-back, will have a fresh goalie, and enjoy home-ice advantage. Back the Caps to win in regulation. 

Prediction: Capitals 3-way ML (-120)

Both of these teams are talented offensively and could press a bit more on that end of the ice after struggling in that area yesterday.

The Caps have scored just eight goals in their last four games but still average an impressive 3.33 goals per game. They should be able to find the back of the net against a tired Demko who has surrendered 12 goals on just 79 shots over his last three games. 

While the Canucks rank just 28th in the league with 2.46 goals per game, they are far more skilled up front than that number indicates. After a brutal start to the season, they finally came alive offensively in December, slotting at least four goals in five of their first seven games that month.

Samsonov also hasn't looked any better than Demko lately, giving up four goals in back-to-back starts. Back the Over today.

Prediction: Over 6 (+100)

After such sluggish offensive performances from both of these squads yesterday, I'm expecting a bounce-back performance from these hungry forwards. These teams are simply too talented up front to justify scoring as rarely as they have in recent games and both have gotten inconsistent play between the pipes.

The betting trends also strongly support a higher-scoring contest with the Canucks going Over the total in five of their last seven away games and the Caps going 10-2 O/U in their previous 12 contests at home. 

Pick: Over 6 (+100)

NHL parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed today’s NHL Canucks vs. Capitals picks, you could win $26.67 on a $10 bet?

Use our NHL parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

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Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than any analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics and Oscar odds. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

You can catch Rohit breaking down every UFC event with Joe Osborne on "P4P Picks" on the Covers YouTube channel and he also has regular appearances on "Before You Bet" with Joe. In addition, he's a regular guest on "By The Book" on the Monumental Sports Network and makes guest appearances on VSIN's "The Handle" and CBS Sports.

Rohit primarily makes his bets at bet365, which offers a wide variety of prop markets, but also has accounts at several others so he can shop around for the best prices. For Rohit, bankroll management is key. He believes you should never bet what you can't afford to lose and maximize those few betting opportunities where books misprice a line.

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