Flyers vs Capitals Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NHL Game

The Flyers and Capitals are heading in opposite directions as the regular season starts to wind down, and we expect Washington to cruise to another home victory tonight.

Ryan Gilbert - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Ryan Gilbert • Betting Analyst
Mar 20, 2025 • 12:53 ET • 4 min read
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This article contains predictions for an old game!

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Alex Ovechkin Washington Capitals NHL
Photo By - Imagn Images. Washington Capitals superstar Alex Ovechkin.

The Washington Capitals continue their homestand with a matchup against the Philadelphia Flyers at Capital One Arena on Thursday night.

My Flyers vs. Capitals predictions expect Washington to take care of business at home in my best NHL picks for Thursday, March 20.

Flyers vs Capitals prediction

My best bet: Capitals -1.5 (+105 at DraftKings)

My analysis
This is a matchup between two teams heading in opposite directions. The Washington Capitals are 7-1-0 in their last eight games compared to the Philadelphia Flyers, who are 1-7-0 since March 4.

Not only have the Capitals been winning while the Flyers are losing, but both teams haven’t played many one-goal games either. Washington has a +14 goal differential during that stretch compared to Philadelphia's ugly -20 mark. 

All seven of the Flyers’ losses during this stretch have come by at least two goals, including five games by 3+ goals. Washington's last five victories have covered this 1.5-goal spread, including three straight wins by 3+ goals.

And it’s not just the results on the scoreboard. The Capitals are in the Top 10 in terms of expected goals share at 5-on-5 in the last 10 games, while the Flyers are in the bottom third. Add in great goaltending for Washington and league-worst goaltending for Philadelphia, and we could see a blowout in D.C. tonight.

Flyers vs Capitals same-game parlay (SGP)

Capitals -1.5

Alex Ovechkin anytime goalscorer

Alex Ovechkin 4+ shots

Alex Ovechkin is closing in on Wayne Gretzky’s all-time goal record, and he should have ample opportunity to score tonight. The Lightning only scored two goals (one empty-netter) against the Flyers last time out, but Philadelphia has allowed 4+ goals in five of their last eight games.

Ovechkin didn’t score last game and only took one shot on goal. Look for him to pile up the shots and find the back of the net at least once against a flailing Flyers squad.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Flyers vs Capitals odds

Flyers vs Capitals live odds

Flyers vs Capitals opening odds

  • Puck line: Philadelphia +1.5 (-125) | Washington -1.5 (+105)
  • Moneyline: Philadelphia +195 | Washington -240
  • Over/Under: Over 5.5 | Under 5.5

Flyers vs Capitals trend

The Capitals have covered the puck line in 49 of their last 87 games (+6.20 units / 5% ROI). Find more NHL betting trends for Flyers vs. Capitals.

How to watch Flyers vs Capitals

Location Capital One Arena, Washington, D.C.
Date Thursday, 3-20-2025
Puck drop 7:00 p.m. ET
TV NBCS-Philadelphia, MNMT

Flyers vs Capitals latest injuries

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Ryan Gilbert - Covers
Betting Analyst

Ryan Gilbert brings the passion and pain of being a Philadelphia sports fan. After graduating from Monmouth University with a finance degree, he now uses his statistical background to find inefficiencies in betting markets. With past stops at NHL.com, NBC Sports, and currently at Covers, Ryan's hot picks blend well with the cold ice of a hockey rink.

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