Jets vs Penguins Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NHL Game

Our expert NHL predictions expect Kyle Connor to fire away tonight when the Jets meet the Penguins.

Todd Cordell - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Todd Cordell • Betting Analyst
Nov 22, 2024 • 09:23 ET • 4 min read

NHL

Match starts: 3 hrs
PIT
25 %
WIN
75 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Kyle Connor Over 3.5 shots on goal (+107) Kyle Connor Over 3.5 shots on goal (+107)
Read Analysis
Kyle Conner of the Winnipeg Jets
Photo By - Imagn Images.

The Winnipeg Jets continue to pile up the wins, entering play with a 16-3 record on the season and in the midst of an 8-2 run.

They’re in a good spot to continue building on their historic start against a Pittsburgh Penguins team that has won just seven of 21 games thus far.

My Jets vs. Penguins predictions see superstar winger Kyle Connor making his presence felt against a vulnerable defensive side.

Let’s break things down further with my November 22 NHL picks.

Jets vs Penguins prediction

My Jets pick
Kyle Connor over 3.5 shots (+109 at Pinnacle)

My Jets analysis
The Pittsburgh Penguins are a mouthwatering matchup for opposing shooters, ranking 30th in shot suppression at 5v5 and 23rd while killing penalties.

They also play an extremely high-event brand of hockey that lends itself to a high volume of shots flying in both directions. In fact, the Penguins lead the NHL in combined 5v5 events (shots generated + allowed) on a per-game basis.

Their games are generally factories for shooters; nobody should benefit more than Kyle Connor. Winnipeg’s star winger is off to an electric start to the season with 12 goals and 24 points through just 19 games played. He’s been their most dangerous player and go-to shooter in all situations.

Connor has piled up 70 shots on goal and 120 attempts on the season. Nikolaj Ehlers (51) is the only Jets player within 20 shots on target while Josh Morrissey (98) is the closest teammate to Connor in attempts. He is lapping the field.

Connor has faced just three subpar shot suppression teams over his last 10 games. He cleared 3.5 shots in each of them, combining to record 15 on target against the Red Wings, Blue Jackets, and Rangers.

The Penguins certainly classify as a subpar shot suppression side, and Connor has already shown the ability to take advantage. The two teams met earlier in the season and Connor registered four shots on a healthy seven attempts in a three-goal victory for the Jets.

Winnipeg has not played since Tuesday, so Connor should be well-rested and ready to go. Connor logged 20+ minutes in both games the Jets have played following two rest games, and that kind of workload could be in the cards again so long as the game remains remotely competitive.

Jets vs Penguins Odds analysis

Winnipeg and Pittsburgh don’t play very often. When they do, goals generally don’t follow. Eight of their past 10 head-to-head meetings have gone Under the number.

The Penguins have had a miserable season in the win column, and their puck line backers have fared no better. The Pens are 8-13 on the puck line this season.

We’ve seen very little movement across the board in this game. The Jets have moved just two cents on the moneyline while the total remains exactly as it opened.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Jets vs Penguins odds

Jets vs Penguins live odds

Jets vs Penguins opening odds

  • Puck line: Winnipeg -1.5 (+163) | Pittsburgh +1.5 (-190)
  • Moneyline: Winnipeg (-152) | Pittsburgh (+134)
  • Over/Under: Over 6.5 (+103) | Under -6.5 (-117)

Odds courtesy of Pinnacle

Jets vs Penguins trend

Kyle Connor has recorded four shots or more in five of the past seven games against Pittsburgh. Find more NHL betting trends for Jets vs. Penguins. Find more NHL betting trends for Jets vs. Penguins.

How to watch Jets vs Penguins

Location: PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh, PA
Date: Friday, 11-22-2024
Puck drop: 7:00 p.m. ET
TV: TSN3

Jets vs Penguins latest injuries

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Todd Cordell - Covers
Betting Analyst

Todd Cordell is a data-driven betting analyst. He uses numbers to help identify value across a wide variety of sports, with NHL being his specialty. Shot props, in particular, have proven to be a very fruitful market. Todd has served as a betting analyst in the public sphere for many years, most recently with theScore covering the NHL and MLB.

When not writing about sports betting, Todd stays busy analyzing the New Jersey Devils with a fine-tooth comb for InfernalAccess, his Devils-centric blog. Todd attended Sheridan College and graduated in 2014 with a diploma in print journalism.

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