Barcelona vs Bayern Munich Predictions & Picks for Wednesday's Champions League Match

It's the pick of the round when Barcelona and Bayern Munich hook up in Spain and our soccer expert, Emanuel Rosu believes goals will come early and often.

Emanuel Rosu - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Emanuel Rosu • Betting Analyst
Oct 22, 2024 • 14:50 ET • 4 min read
Harry Kane Bayern Munich Bundesliga
Photo By - Imagn Images

This much-anticipated Champions League clash promises to offer entertainment of the highest order, as two of European football's elite clubs confront.

When Bayern and Barcelona face each other, it's like defenses melt and continuous attacks set pulses racing ending in a goal galore. It shouldn't be any different this time around in Catalonia. Here are my Barcelona v Bayern predictions and free betting picks for Wednesday, October 23.

Barcelona vs Bayern Munich picks and predictions

My best bet:
Over 3.5 goals (-112 at TonyBet)

My analysis

Let's learn the history lesson first. From their 15 previous matches, Barcelona won only two, while another two ended in draws. Bayern have a dominant balance of 11 wins against the Catalan giants. Since a 3-0 home victory in the Champions League semi-finals back in 2015, Barcelona have lost six consecutive games in front of Bayern. The dominant series from the Bavarians included a historical 8-2 triumph in the Champions League quarter-finals, in 2020. Since then, Barcelona couldn't even hit the net in front of their European nightmare, losing four consecutive matches and conceding a total of 11 goals. In total, Bayern Munich have scored at least three times in five of their last six matches against Barcelona.

The determination on both sides to win this game is huge, also given their results in the Champions League so far. Barcelona and Bayern sit on just three points each after two games, following shock defeats to AS Monaco (1-2) and Aston Villa (0-1) respectively. Barca and Bayern don't scream "goals" only when they meet. Their goalscoring form is in great shape as we speak. There have been over 4.5 goals in three of Barcelona's last four matches, whereas Bayern return to Champions League action following a 3-3 draw in Frankfurt and a 4-0 demolition of VfB Stuttgart in the German Bundesliga.

Two familiar faces will be reunited with the Bayern entourage. Barcelona's manager Hansi Flick and the team's top goal scorer, Robert Lewandowski, have a major connection with the German powerhouse, having won multiple trophies while representing the club. In fact, it was Flick who led Bayern to the merciless 8-2 score line four years ago at Stadio Da Luz in Lisbon, with Lewandowski scoring once in that encounter.

Barcelona vs Bayern Munich same-game parlay (SGP)

Over 3.5 goals

Robert Lewandowski to score

Harry Kane to score

In a clash where attacking football is expected on display, a faceoff between the most prominent goal scorers in the two teams can lead to numbers. And when the likes of Robert Lewandowski and Harry Kane are involved, the probability of goals is even higher.

Lewandowski has been in great form recently, netting ten times in Barcelona's last six games. He was on the mark twice against Young Boys in Barca's previous Champions League outing and hopes to keep goals coming when his former team Bayern comes to town. It's an extra personal motivation that could see Lewandowski aiming to take even more of a central role during the match. In front of him, Lewy will have the man who Bayern brought to replace him. England's finest attacker, Harry Kane, is also looking to impress. He's fresh from a hat-trick against Stuttgart in the League, having previously netted eight times in Bayern's last six games. There should be juice in the player markets considering the names we have on store here, as we round up a great +668 return via TonyBet.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Barcelona vs Bayern Munich odds

Barcelona vs Bayern Munich live odds

Barcelona vs Bayern Munich opening odds

  • Moneyline: Barcelona +140 | Bayern Munich +170
  • Draw: +295
  • Over/Under: Over 2.5 | Under 2.5

Barcelona vs Bayern Munich side and Over/Under analysis

  • Bayern Munich have won their last six matches against Barcelona.
  • Bayern Munich have scored at least three goals in five of their last six matches against Barcelona.
  • Bayern Munich have kept a clean sheet in their last four matches against Barcelona in all competitions.

Barcelona vs Bayern Munich game info

Location: Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys, Barcelona, Spain
Date: Wednesday, 10-23-2024
Time: 3:00 p.m. ET
TV: DAZN
Weather: Clear conditions.

Barcelona vs Bayern Munich key injuries

Barcelona: Marc-Andre ter Stegen GK (out), Ronald Araujo CB (out), Andreas Christensen CB (out).
Bayern Munich: Josip Stanisic RB (out), Hiroki Ito CB (out), Sacha Boey LB (out), Aleksandar Pavlovic DM (out), Jamal Musiala AM (out).

Not intended for use in MA.
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Emanuel Rosu
Betting Analyst

Emanuel Roșu studied public administration but only to have a degree in something. He was always passionate about football. Writing about it, that is, as we've seen him play and he should feel fortunate he never took that road. He is based in Bucharest and has reported on Champions League, Europa League, and European Championship matches for various media outlets in Europe. He wrote stories for The Guardian, BBC, FourFourTwo, and many more. He represents Romania in the vote for the "Ballon d'Or", the most important individual trophy in world football.

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