England vs Denmark Euro 2020 Tips and Predictions: 55 Years of Waiting

England striker Harry Kane broke his goal-scoring duck against Germany, then added goals two and three of Euro 2020 against Ukraine. Can England's captain add to his tally vs. Denmark? Check out our tips and predictions.

Alistair Corp - Publishing Editor at Covers.com
Alistair Corp • Publishing Editor
Jul 3, 2021 • 19:16 ET • 5 min read
Harry Kane England national team soccer Euro 2020
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

After a brief trip to Rome for a quarterfinal triumph over Ukraine, England return to Wembley Stadium for the semifinal of Euro 2020, where they will meet the story of the tournament, Denmark.

Denmark continued their incredible Euro journey with a 2-1 win over the Czech Republic, to set up a trip to England for the first time in the tournament. 

Can England win on home turf and return to the final of a major tournament for the first time since 1966? Read on for our England vs. Denmark tips and predictions. 

Game info

Location: Wembley Stadium, London, England
Date: Wednesday, July 7, 2021
Time: 3:00 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN, TSN

England vs Denmark betting tips

  • England (-163)
  • Harry Kane - Anytime goal (+105)

Read on for complete analysis

England vs Denmark match odds

England: -163
Denmark: +500
Draw: +275

Total: 2.5
Over 2.5: +130
Under 2.5: -163

Odds as of July 3, 2021, at 5:15 p.m. ET.

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Euro 2020 sharp money and line movement report

By Patrick Everson

As of 1:30 p.m. ET, England is a -140 favorite, Demark a +450 underdog, and Draw +250 at BetMGM. Two out of every three tickets and three out of every four dollars are on Three Lions. Denmark is taking 22 percent of tickets and 17 percent of money, and Draw is seeing 10 percent of tickets/8 percent of money. The total is at 2.5 (Under -175) although the Over is drawing 72 percent of tickets and 75 percent of money.

England vs Denmark betting preview

Weather

It will be a rainy day in London on Wednesday, with a 60 percent chance of precipitation at kickoff, with temperatures around 65 degrees Fahrenheit and 70 percent humidity.

Key injuries

England: No injuries to report.
Denmark: Christian Eriksen (Out).

Matchup

England   Denmark
4 World Ranking 10
8 Goals For 11
0 Goals Against 5
4-0 vs. Ukraine Previous Game 2-1 vs. Czech Republic
Harry Kane Player to Watch Thomas Delaney

England vs Denmark predictions

Moneyline pick

Like fellow semifinal favorites Italy, England handled their first away trip of Euro 2020 with ease, cruising by Ukraine in an emphatic 4-0 win. After a passive start to the tournament, England have not only improved in every match (with the exception of a blip against Scotland) but played with more attacking intent.

With their hammering of Ukraine, the Three Lions head into the semifinals in a fantastic situation. Their full squad is available for selection, as the three players on yellow cards made it through the quarterfinals unscathed. As a result, they can continue along with the back-four and midfield pair of Declan Rice and Kalvin Phillips who are yet to concede a goal at the tournament. Crucially, too, their forward players are in their best form yet, with their 2.14 xG against Ukraine the highest from England at the tournament, while Harry Kane's brace put him level with Raheem Sterling on three goals at Euro 2020. 

Though Denmark lost two straight games to begin the tournament, their quarterfinals win over the Czech Republic made it four good games out of five. A brief spell for the Czech Republic to begin the second half got them back in the game and actually led to them winning the xG battle 1.63-1.57, but Denmark was quick to adjust and saw out the game with relative ease.

Danish midfielders Thomas Delaney and Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg did a fantastic job of pushing possession out wide and into the channels, where they've created the majority of their opportunities at the Euros. However, they'll find it difficult to have success doing so against England. Manager Gareth Southgate has consistently overwhelmed wide areas during the tournament, with central midfielder Mason Mount drifting wide to press against Croatia and Ukraine, while against Germany, wing-backs were used to pin Germany's own wide defenders back.

England have proven that they aren't just a collection of talented players, but a well-managed team capable of adjusting to their opponent. By doing so again at Wembley on Wednesday, they'll be able to get through to the final at Euro 2020.

PREDICTION: England (-163)

Goalscorer pick

Sometimes sports are awfully simple, and that was the case with goals No. 2 and 3 of Euro 2020 for Harry Kane. After the England captain and reigning World Cup and Premier League golden boot winner went 463 minutes without a goal for his country, his game-sealing goal against Germany led to a massive relief inside Wembley, and seemingly, inside Kane's head.

That relief was clear to see on Kane's face as he tore off in celebration after scoring in the 86th minute against Germany. Kane's relief to open his goal-scoring account was reaffirmed in the fourth minute against Ukraine, when he got on the end of a fantastic through ball from Raheem Sterling and, with great composure, lofted his second of the tournament over the 'keeper. Gone was the nervous, lethargic player who began the tournament; the clinical finisher had returned. 

Kane added another and then nearly completed the hat-trick with a fantastic effort from outside the penalty area. (England would score their fourth from the ensuing corner.) All Kane needed was one — now he has three, and count on him to add to that as he leads his country into the Euro 2020 final. 

PREDICTION: Harry Kane - Anytime goalscorer (+105)

Picks made on 7/3/2021 at 5:30 p.m. ET

Euro 2020 betting sites

As a signature tournament for the most popular sport in the world, almost every online sportsbook and betting site will offer odds for Euro 2020. Check out the best soccer betting sites available where you live.

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Alistair Corp Publishing Editor at Covers.com
Publishing Editor

Alistair has been working as a publishing editor on the Covers content team since January 2021. In addition to his work as an editor, he helps cover the NFL, the NBA, Formula 1, and soccer. Prior to joining Covers, he worked as a freelance writer covering the NFL.

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