The final day of the Round of 16 at Euro 2020 brings one of the most highly anticipated matchups of the round, with Germany coming to Wembley Stadium to take on England.
Undefeated in the group stage, England are slight +150 favorites, while Germany survived the Group of Death and come into this match as +190 underdogs.
Which of these two rivals will win the latest chapter? Read on for our tips and predictions.
Game info
• Location: Wembley Stadium, London, England
• Date: Tuesday, June 29, 2021
• Time: 12:00 p.m. ET
• TV: ESPN, TSN
England vs Germany betting tips
- England (+150)
- Half-time result - England (+225)
Read on for complete analysis
England vs Germany match odds
England: +150
Germany: +190
Draw: +220
Total: 2.5
Over 2.5: +110
Under 2.5: -138
Odds as of June 25, 2021, at 2:00 p.m. ET.
Euro 2020 sharp money and line movement report
By Patrick EversonIn one of the most highly anticipated Round-of-16 knockout matches, PointsBet USA has England a modest +140 favorite, Germany a +195 pup and Draw +220 on the three-way regulation moneyline. Those prices represent a slight change from the opening numbers of England +150/Germany +190/Draw +210. As of 10:30 a.m. ET, 90 minutes before this contest starts, underdog Germany is taking 59 percent of bets and 52 percent of money. The English side is seeing just 23 percent of bets, translating to 36 percent of cash, while Draw is getting 18 percent of bets and 12 percent of money. However, the market of To Qualify For The Next Round – be it in regulation, overtime or on penalty kicks – is a bigger concern at PointsBet. "Germany to qualify for the next round is actually our biggest liability," PointsBet USA's Wyatt Yearout said. The total is at 2.5 (Under -135), with the Over attracting 81 percent of bets/59 percent of handle.
England vs Germany betting preview
Weather
It will be a wet day in London for this Euro game, with an 85 percent chance of precipitation at kickoff, humidity around 75 percent, and temperatures expected to be at 65 degrees Fahrenheit.
Key injuries
England: Ben Chilwell (Questionable), Mason Mount (Questionable).
Germany: Jonas Hofmann (Questionable), Lukas Klostermann (Out).
Matchup
| England | Germany | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | World Ranking | 12 |
| 2 | Goals For | 6 |
| 0 | Goals Against | 5 |
| 1-0 vs. Czech Republic | Previous Game | 2-2 vs. Hungary |
| Raheem Sterling | Player to Watch | Kai Havertz |
England vs Germany predictions
Moneyline pick
While England had a few nervous moments during the group stage and did not attack with the level of intent some want them to, they were relatively untroubled in going undefeated and winning their group on seven points. With France and Portugal proving in recent history that it's pragmatism, not expansive soccer, that wins tournaments, England have to feel confident going into the knockout stages.
Concerns over their backline ahead of Euro 2020 have been calmed by a solid performance over the course of the group stage, with first-choice center-back pairing John Stones and Harry Maguire reunited for the group stage finale. While the midfield's best performance came in the first group stage game, they've controlled every game so far and, like Maguire, England's best midfielder Jordan Henderson only made his tournament debut against the Czech Republic.
Best of all, despite a quiet start for a vaunted attack, there's reason to believe the best is yet to come. Mercurial attacker Jack Grealish has finally cracked the starting lineup and should retain his place against Germany, Raheem Sterling has both England goals and has never played better in an England shirt, and Harry Kane seemingly woke up by the end of the group stage.
While England was given the luxury of playing themselves into the tournament, Germany was dropped into a snake pit. Their tournament began against reigning World Cup champions France, a match in which they were roundly outplayed and lucky to lose just 1-0 in a group where goal differential would become crucial. A bizarre, seemingly anomalous domination of Portugal followed in a match that saw them tear apart the 2016 Euro champions in a 4-2 victory. However, the mediocre Germany of recent history reappeared in the finale against Hungary in a wild final day for the Group of Death.
Neither of these teams proved to be tournament contenders in the group stage, but England appeared competent throughout the group stage, and while their execution wasn't flawless, their intentions were clear. Germany, on other hand, were an erratic mess that lacked structure and thrived off chaos. Though that got them through the Group of Death, without the benefit of playing in Munich, Germany's tournament ends in the Round of 16.
PREDICTION: England (+150)
Half-time pick
While England have been supremely content to methodically navigate each match at Euro 2020 so far, occasionally getting booed by the Wembley crowd for a perceived lack of urgency, they have been lively out of the gate in every game.
Their high press, which has been executed consistently well so far, and lofted balls over the top, have been particularly effective early in matches. Though England have scored just twice at Euro 2020, they have been unlucky not to have had their games take on completely different complexions.
In the sixth minute in the group stage opener against Croatia, Phil Foden cut in and curled a terrific effort which hit the post. In the 11th minute against Scotland, center-back John Stones had a clear header from six yards out that was missed. In the group stage finale against the Czech Republic, Raheem Sterling had a beautiful chipped ball hit the post in the fourth minute, then got his goal in the 12th.
That sets things up for a bright start on Tuesday, as England get to face one of the tournament's slow starters in Germany. They have conceded inside of 20 minutes in every match so far, and were lucky not to be down by more than just one goal against France early on.
England have been unlucky not to take control early in every match so far, but they'll do so against Germany and settle the nerves of home supporters.
PREDICTION: Half-time pick - England (+225)
Picks made on 6/26/2021 at 5:30 p.m. ET
Euro 2020 betting sites
As a signature tournament for the most popular sport in the world, almost every online sportsbook and betting site will offer odds for Euro 2020. Check out the best soccer betting sites available where you live.
