Hungary vs Portugal Euro 2020 Tips and Predictions: The Champs Are Here

Defending champs Portugal will begin their title defense in Budapest against Hungary. Will the two be able to replicate a 3-3 thriller from the last tournament? Find out in our Hungary vs. Portugal tips and predictions.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Jun 11, 2021 • 14:25 ET • 6 min read
Cristiano Ronaldo Portugal national team soccer Euros
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

Euro 2020 betting is underway and Group F begins play on Tuesday, June 15, with the first game on the slate a matchup between defending European champions Portugal and Hungary.

Both nations had successful Euro 2016 tournaments and have been in good form lately, but will find it difficult to duplicate that success as they play in the Group of Death this time around. 

Portugal is a big -223 favorite for this contest, while Hungary comes back at +650 with the draw installed at +333.

Here are our best free Hungary vs. Portugal tips and predictions for June 15.

Game info

Location: Puskás Aréna, Budapest, Hungary
Date: Tuesday, June 15, 2021
Time: 12:00 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN, TSN 1/3/5

Hungary vs Portugal betting tips

  • Under 2.5 (-125)
  • First-half/Full-time Portugal-Portugal (+130)

Read on for complete analysis

Hungary vs Portugal match odds

Hungary: +650
Portugal: -223
Draw: +333

Total: 2.5
Over 2.5: +100
Under 2.5: -138

Odds as of June 11, 2021, at 1:05 p.m. ET.

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Odds analysis

By Patrick Everson

At 10:45 a.m. ET, a little more than an hour before this match begins, BetMGM has Portugal a solid -250 favorite, Hungary a distant +700 underdog and Draw +350. Bettors are piling on the favorite today, with 84 percent of tickets and 94 percent of dollars on Cristiano Ronaldo-led Portugal. Hungary is taking 11 percent of tickets/5 percent of money, while Draw is seeing 5 percent of tickets/1 percent of money. On the total of 2.5, the Over is landing 54 percent of tickets/59 percent of money.

Hungary vs Portugal betting preview

Weather

It's expected to be a clear and sunny day in Budapest with temperatures topping out in the high 70s.

Key injuries

Hungary: Dominik Szoboszlai (Out).
Portugal: Pedro Neto (Out).

Matchup

Hungary   Portugal
37 World Ranking 5
8 (Qualifying) Goals For 22 (Qualifying)
11 (Qualifying) Goals Against 6 (Qualifying)
0-2 L vs. Wales (Qualifying) Previous Game 2-0 W vs. Luxembourg (Qualifying)
Willi Orlan Player to Watch Cristiano Ronaldo

Hungary vs Portugal predictions

Over/Under pick

Hungary advanced to the Round of 16 at Euro 2016 and they'll have the benefit of opening this tournament in front of a home crowd at Puskás Aréna in Budapest. But after a brutal draw placed them in the Group of Death against Portugal, France, and Germany, they've been given odds of +350 to even qualify after the group stage.  

These two nations actually clashed at the previous tournament in 2016, with that match ending in a 3-3 draw. Since then Portugal and Hungary have faced off twice, with Portugal winning by scores of 3-0 and 1-0. 

The Magyars will be without Dominik Szoboszlai who has been ruled out for the tourney with a groin injury. The 20-year-old prodigy was crucial to their attack and in his absence, midfielder Adam Nagy and forward Adam Szalai will carry an even heavier burden. 

The two Adams typically play well internationally but have been out of form with their domestic clubs, which is bad news as they take on such a massively talented Portuguese backline that conceded just six goals in eight qualifying games.

Hungary will have to be very stout defensively with their 3-5-2 system if they want to stay competitive. With standout Willi Orban anchoring the middle of their defense, they should be able to do a respectable job of controlling possession and limiting Portugal's opportunities.

However, that will likely come at the cost of their own bravery when attacking. Expect a lower-scoring game to kick off Group F play and take the Under. 

PREDICTION: Under 2.5 (-125)

First-half/Full-time Portugal-Portugal (+130)

It won't be easy for any team in this tourney to pierce the Magyars well-structured defensive unit, but Portugal is well equipped to do so. Of course, Cristiano Ronaldo is the big name, and even at 36 years old he's still one of the best forwards in the world, scoring 11 goals in eight qualifying games last year. 

But even beyond Ronaldo, they are loaded with in-form talent up front. André Silva was the second-highest goal-scorer in the Bundesliga, Diogo Jota battled through injuries to display his prowess for a highly competitive Liverpool club, and 21-year-old João Félix looks like a future superstar. 

With Bruno Fernandes linking up from midfield, Portugal is an offensive threat from the beginning of the match until the final whistle. During qualifiers, Portugal scored in the first half in six of eight matches. 

Meanwhile, Hungary conceded in the first half in five of eight Euro Qualifiers. That gives plenty of value in betting Portugal to have the lead at the half and win the match.  

PREDICTION: First-half/Full-time Portugal-Portugal (+130)

Picks made on 6/11/2021 at 1:30 p.m. ET

Euro 2020 betting sites

As a signature tournament for the most popular sport in the world, almost every online sportsbook and betting site will offer odds for Euro 2020. Check out the best soccer betting sites available where you live.

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Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than any analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics and Oscar odds. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

You can catch Rohit breaking down every UFC event with Joe Osborne on "P4P Picks" on the Covers YouTube channel and he also has regular appearances on "Before You Bet" with Joe. In addition, he's a regular guest on "By The Book" on the Monumental Sports Network and makes guest appearances on VSIN's "The Handle" and CBS Sports.

Rohit primarily makes his bets at bet365, which offers a wide variety of prop markets, but also has accounts at several others so he can shop around for the best prices. For Rohit, bankroll management is key. He believes you should never bet what you can't afford to lose and maximize those few betting opportunities where books misprice a line.

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