Fulham vs Wolves Predictions and Picks: War of Attrition Between Table Rivals

Fulham and Wolves look to be evenly matched, and both have struggled to find the net this season. Does either of these sides have an edge? Find out in our EPL betting picks.

Sam Farley - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Sam Farley • Betting Analyst
Nov 25, 2023 • 18:01 ET • 4 min read
Matheus Cunha EPL
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

On Monday, we have the final game of this Premier League gameweek as Craven Cottage plays host to Fulham vs. Wolves, with the EPL odds scripting a close contest. Both two teams find themselves in the bottom half of the Premier League table, knowing that a win will help propel them upwards.

Last time these teams met in February, it finished 1-1 but will either side come out on top this Monday? Don’t miss our Fulham vs Wolves soccer betting picks and predictions to find out.

Fulham vs Wolves best odds

EPL predictions for Fulham vs Wolves

We’ve had a fascinating weekend of Premier League action so far, but Monday’s Fulham vs. Wolves clash will be an interesting way to round off the game week. Both teams are in the bottom half of the Premier League and both have ambitions to continue to rise up the table. It’s also fair to say that neither side has struggled enough this season to be too worried about relegation. 

Just three points separate these teams in the Premier League table this year, with Wolves having one more win than Fulham. They’ve both allowed 20 goals across 12 games, but Wolves have managed to score 16 goals to Fulham’s 10. Historically, these matches have tended to not go Fulham’s way. Over the past six meetings, the results are split equally between draws and Wolves victories, with Fulham yet to notch up a win.

For our best bet for this game, we won’t be focusing on the result, we will instead be backing Under 2.5 goals, available at -133. I’d rather not back markets as short as -133 but this game has been excellently priced by the sportsbooks and it’s genuinely hard to find value in any market at all. I do think that Under 2.5 goals has an excellent chance of winning, so I’ll make an exception and back it despite the -133 odds.

Firstly, let’s look at recent results. Last season was the first that they’ve both played in the Premier League since Fulham got promoted from the Championship in the summer of 2022. Both games finished tied with a 0-0 draw in the first game at Wolves and a 1-1 result at the game at Craven Cottage in February of this year. 

Wolves have actually been in higher-scoring games in general this year, with 66.7% of their Premier League matches finishing with three or more goals, but it’s important that we notice that drops to just 50% when they’re on the road. In fact, three of six road games have finished with Under 2.5 goals, while just one of their six home matches has. That should give us hope ahead of this visit to Fulham.

The home side have failed to perform that well there, they’ve won just two of five games at Craven Cottage and just two of those five games have seen Over 2.5 goals. Fulham have managed just four goals in front of their home crowd and three of those came in one game against a terrible Sheffield United team.

These teams have scored a combined 28 goals in 24 games this season and it’s fair to assume that this game should be low-scoring. Both managers will be coming into this looking to keep their teams tight at the back and ensure that they don’t give away any stupid goals. I think we should see this end 1-0 or 1-1.

My best bet: Under 2.5 goals (-133 at TonyBet)

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Fulham vs Wolves same-game parlay

Under 2.5 goals

Matheus Cunha Over 1.5 shots

Joao Gomes Over 1.5 fouls committed

At odds of +333, this isn’t a same-game parlay that will return a monster payout but it feels like a great way to get over 3/1 odds on Fulham vs Wolves.

First up we’re going to start with our best bet for Fulham vs Wolves, as we do whenever we build these SGPs. That best bet is for Under 2.5 goals, a decision based on the relative lack of goalscoring from both teams in the Premier League this season, and the results seen at Craven Cottage this year.

Next, we’ll be backing Wolves’ Brazilian striker Matheus Cunha to have Over 1.5 shots. Big things were expected of the 24-year since arriving from Atletico Madrid but in truth, it’s not been a huge success. In 12 games the striker has only netted twice. That isn’t for the lack of trying though and we’ve seen him average 2.1 shots per game across those matches. His line here sits at 1.5 shots, so we’re taking the Over.

To wrap up the SGP, we’re taking Matheus Cunha’s fellow Brazilian Joao Gomes to commit Over 1.5 fouls. He’s started 10 games this season and is set to start against Fulham in the middle of the park. He’s averaged 2.0 fouls committed per game and I’m backing him to continue that trend in what could be a tense midfield battle.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Fulham vs Wolves side and Over/Under analysis

When it comes to picking a winner on the moneyline there’s nowhere I’d be hugely confident. 

You can get the home team at +140 or back Wolves at +190. I’d lean towards backing the draw at +230. After all these teams drew twice last season and with just three points between the clubs this season it’s clear that there isn’t a huge amount of difference between them. If this game is tight and the midfield is congested then it could well finish level, especially given that neither team is deadly in front of goal.

Under 2.5 goals is our best bet for this game, but if you wanted to go against that then you could have Over 2.5 goals at +100. Indeed, you can back both teams to score at -118, which is a pick’em with BTTS - No, also at -118.

Not intended for use in MA.
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Fulham vs Wolves game info

Location: Craven Cottage, London, England
Date: Monday, November 27, 2023
Time: 3:00 p.m. ET
TV: Peacock Premium, fubo, Hulu
Weather: 41F, 83% POP, 12mph winds

Fulham vs Wolves key injuries

Fulham: None to report.
Wolves: None to report.

Fulham vs Wolves recent league form

Teams Recent Premier League Form
Fulham Fulham L-L-D-L-W
Wolves Wolves W-L-D-W-D

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Betting Analyst

Sam is based in the United Kingdom, where he grew up living and breathing soccer, before discovering - and playing - a different kind of football at the University of Bristol. He’s worked in the media covering soccer and the NFL for the better part of a decade, and has been a regular on the Matchbook NFL Podcast. His work has also appeared in a wide range of publications including The Telegraph, The Independent, VICE, and MSN.

The search for great betting value is a daily one, and Sam always hunts out big prices with a particular focus on player props. Sam’s best advice for bettors is to track their bets on a spreadsheet, that way you can keep an eye on your P&L but also the types of bets and sports that you are most successful in. He also recommends using a variety of different sportsbooks, with bet365, Betfair and Paddy Power amongst his favorites.

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