Tottenham vs Manchester United Predictions & Picks for Thursday's EFL Cup Match

Players like Rasmus Hojlund have stepped up since Ruben Amorim took over as Manchester United's coach. While Spurs are coming off a big win, it wasn't indicative of how they've played of late.

Sam Farley - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Sam Farley • Betting Analyst
Dec 18, 2024 • 15:00 ET • 4 min read
Rasmus Hojlund Manchester United Soccer EFL Cup
Photo By - Imagn Images.

We’ve reached the quarterfinal stage of the EFL Cup with Tottenham Hotspur and Manchester United meeting at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. 

Both teams come into this off wins, but our Tottenham Hotspur vs Manchester United predictions are backing a United victory.

Be sure to read my EFL Cup picks for Thursday, December 19, with kickoff at 3:00 p.m. ET on CBS and Paramount+.

Tottenham vs Manchester United picks and predictions

My best bet:
Manchester United (+170 at TonyBet)

My analysis

The most interesting EFL Cup matchup comes on Thursday with Spurs hosting Man Utd and both managers will be desperate to win for different reasons.

Ange Postecoglou is fighting for his job after a poor spell. That said, he has the backing of the board and knows that lifting this trophy would be a huge achievement given Spurs’ lack of hardware in recent seasons. For Ruben Amorim, Manchester United are too far behind in the league to get silverware but if he were to win a trophy in his first season, it would give him a lot of power heading into the summer transfer window. 

We’re looking at recent form, which is why we’re backing Manchester United to get the win.

Since taking over for the sacked Erik ten Hag in November, Amorim has won four, drawn once, and lost twice. The team now plays Amorim’s favored 3-4-2-1 and has been far more attacking than anything under the previous manager.

Some players, like Amad Diallo, have emerged under Amorim. Diallo went from bit-player to one of the most exciting young stars in the English game. The Ivorian has been in incredible form and scored the winner when United beat local rivals and reigning champions Man City.

If the past month has shown improvement for Man Utd, the same can’t be said for Spurs, who come into this on the back of a 5-0 win over Southampton, the bottom team in the Premier League. They’d failed to win any of the previous five games before that.

Postecoglou is under pressure and his team is too inconsistent despite great attacking talent. This season we’ve seen Spurs beat both Man City and Aston Villa — tallying eight goals — in the Premier League, but in between those games, they lost to Galatasaray in Europe and Ipswich domestically.

Spurs have no consistency and are hampered by injuries, particularly at the back, where they’re without top goalkeeper Guglielmo Vicario, as well as Mickey van de Ven and Cristian Romero, leaving them open defensively. 

Tottenham vs Manchester United same-game parlay (SGP)

Manchester United to win

Both teams to score - Yes

Rasmus Hojlund to score

Spurs have seen both teams scoring in 75% of their Premier League games at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, including their past six. We’ve also seen both teams scoring in five of Amorim’s seven games in charge of the Man United.

Rasmus Hojlund has scored seven goals for Man Utd this season with five coming in the seven games since Amorim took over. Marcus Rashford appears to be sidelined, so Hojlund should get the start. It seems like he’s the preferred frontman and he’s thriving under the new manager.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Tottenham vs Manchester United odds

Brighton & Hove Albion Tottenham Manchester United Manchester United
+133 Moneyline +133
+285 Draw +285
Over 3.5 (-105) Total Under 3.5 (-122)

Odds courtesy of TonyBet.

Tottenham vs Manchester United opening odds

  • Moneyline: Tottenham +133 | Manchester United +170
  • Draw: +285
  • Over/Under: Over 3.5 (-105) | Under 3.5 (-122)

Tottenham vs Manchester United side and Over/Under analysis

  • Spurs have won just one of their past six games in all competitions.
  • Man Utd have racked up four wins, two defeats, and one draw under new manager Ruben Amorim.
  • 62.5% of Man Utd’s Premier League games have had Over 2.5 goals.
  • 75% of Spurs’ home games in the Premier League have had Over 2.5 goals.

Tottenham vs Manchester United game info

Location: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London, England
Date: Thursday, 12-19-2024
Time: 3:00 p.m. ET
TV: CBS, Paramount+
Weather: Clear, 57 degrees

Tottenham vs Manchester United key injuries

Tottenham: Micky van de Ven (DEF (Out), Richarlison STR (Out), Guglielmo Vicario GK (Out), Ben Davies DEF (Out), Cristian Romero CB (Out), Wilson Odobert FWR (Out), Rodrigo Bentancur CM (Out).
Manchester United: Luke Shaw LB (Out).

Not intended for use in MA.
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Betting Analyst

Sam is based in the United Kingdom, where he grew up living and breathing soccer, before discovering - and playing - a different kind of football at the University of Bristol. He’s worked in the media covering soccer and the NFL for the better part of a decade, and has been a regular on the Matchbook NFL Podcast. His work has also appeared in a wide range of publications including The Telegraph, The Independent, VICE, and MSN.

The search for great betting value is a daily one, and Sam always hunts out big prices with a particular focus on player props. Sam’s best advice for bettors is to track their bets on a spreadsheet, that way you can keep an eye on your P&L but also the types of bets and sports that you are most successful in. He also recommends using a variety of different sportsbooks, with bet365, Betfair and Paddy Power amongst his favorites.

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