Tuesday sees Leicester welcome Liverpool to the King Power Stadium. Leicester has struggled to maintain their usually brilliant standards this season and Liverpool travel there six points adrift of first place Man City who holds the top spot in the Premier League.
Can Jurgen Klopp’s team make up ground on them or will Brendan Rodgers get Leicester back in form? Don’t miss our Leicester vs. Liverpool tips and predictions.
Leicester City vs Liverpool match odds
Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.
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Leicester City vs Liverpool betting tips
Predictions made on 12/27/2021 at 11:00 a.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.
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Leicester City vs Liverpool game info
• Location: King Power Stadium, Leicester, England
• Date: Tuesday, December 28, 2021
• Time: 3:00 p.m. ET
• TV: NBC Sports
Leicester City vs Liverpool betting preview
Weather
Temperatures will be sitting in the mid-40s but it’s expected that we won’t see any rain.
Injuries
Leicester City: No injuries to report.
Liverpool: No injuries to report.
Leicester City vs Liverpool predictions
Our predictions are compiled from the analysis of the spread and total and are indications of where we are leaning for this game.
Our best bet is the play that we like the most for this game, which we would actually put some of our bankroll behind.
Side analysis
There isn’t much in common with Leicester and Liverpool right now. Brendan Rodgers is having his first real slump with the Foxes who have struggled this season. They sit in 10th in the Premier League, their lowest position at this time in what feels like years. Meanwhile, Liverpool are in a title race with Man City and Chelsea and will have ambitions of silverware this year. One area where they have some common ground is their managers' disgust at the busy fixture list.
A busy Christmas schedule of soccer is one of the traditions of the English game, with games packed in often in the holiday period. Jurgen Klopp, a man who fiercely defends traditions when they suit him and Brendan Rodgers have both gone on record criticizing the busy fixture list. For Rodgers and his injury-plagued Leicester team, it’s a “ridiculous schedule” and Klopp believes that it’s put players “at the edge”.
There’s an element of reason to their complaints. Injuries, in particular for Leicester, and the ongoing health crisis in the United Kingdom, have deprived teams of their players and forced the cancellations of some games. However, these are very expensively assembled squads with youth academies supplying some of the most talented young players in the world.
Despite Klopp’s suggestion that his team are decimated it’s telling that he’s likely going to be selected a starting 11 featuring 10 players who have played an international level for their countries, with only the left-back Konstantinos Tsimikas the exception, playing because Andrew Robertson is not injured or unwell, but suspended for getting himself sent off. Liverpool will be welcoming back Virgil van Dijk, Thiago and Fabinho who have all returned after recovering from COVID-19.
Leicester has a far more valid reason for complaint with Ricardo Pereira out after a serious knee injury. Ryan Bertrand, Jonny Evans, Patson Daka, Caglar Soyuncu and Wesley Fofana will all miss the game. It’s hoped that Leicester legend Jamie Vardy will return to the starting lineup, having been on the bench against Manchester City. He will likely be joined by Wilfred Ndidi, the dynamic midfielder who provides so much of the drive for his team.
It’s not been an ideal time for Leicester City, who were already struggling, to face Man City and then Liverpool in back-to-back games. Although Leicester did lose 6-3 to City, they managed to get the score back to 4-3 at one stage having been four goals down. That showed an impressive amount of fight and heart. That’s something this group of players can never be doubted about. Facing Liverpool will be incredibly hard but they’ll give their all and will hope to give Liverpool a game.
Hope is likely all they can do though. Liverpool beat Leicester in the Carabao Cup on December 22nd and given the injuries, they should do it again. Klopp’s Liverpool is an incredible team who are very hard to match up with. There’s very little tactical surprise with them but although you know what they’re going to do, it remains hard to stop. Klopp has coached them brilliantly, they all know their individual roles and responsibilities and his fitness coaches have made them arguably the fittest team in the Premier League.
Liverpool’s front three of Diego Jota, Sadio Mane and the current best player on the planet, Mohamed Salah, will feast upon Leicester’s backline, which could see Jannik Vestergaard joined in defense by Wilfred Ndidi and Daniel Amartey, both at their best as midfielders. Only Man City, Chelsea and Wolves have conceded fewer goals than Liverpool and it’s going to be hard for Leicester to outscore Liverpool, especially when Liverpool has scored an average of more than 2.5 goals per game.
Prediction: Liverpool (-275)
Over/Under analysis
At odds of -275, I wouldn’t personally recommend betting on Over 2.5 goals but at the same time, I’m very confident that it’ll happen. Those odds imply a 73.3% chance of it happening and given how injury-hit this Leicester team is, particularly their defense, it’s an easy wager to make.
Liverpool has been scoring over 2.5 per goals per game themselves and when you factor that in against a makeshift defense it feels like a lock. Leicester despite their injuries is healthier in attack than defense, meaning that there’s a good chance we see them find the back of the net too.
The Over has landed in 88.9% of Liverpool’s games on the road this year and 62.5% of Leicester City’s home games. The price is probably a fair one but those odds don’t appeal to me for a bet.
Prediction: Over 2.5 (-275)
Best bet
I would never usually recommend wagering on something at odds of -200 but this feels like such a lock that it’s worth the risk at those odds.
Mohamed Salah is probably, in current form, the best player in the world. Salah finding the back of the net has become inevitable this season and it’s never a surprise to see the Egyptian firing one home.
In 18 Premier League games he’s scored 15 times, which means he scores a goal on average in 83% of his games. The -200 odds that he scores imply odds of 66.7% that he’ll score. You can see that discrepancy is big and well worth betting on alone because of it. Add to that the injuries impacting Leicester’s defense and it feels like charity.
Pick: Mohamed Salah to score (-200)
