Leicester City vs Manchester United Picks and Predictions: Both Teams Keep it Tight

It's been a rocky start to the Premier League season for both Leicester City and Manchester United, with the latter having better luck in the early going. Our betting picks highlight why we expect this to be a relatively tight and low-scoring affair.

Sam Farley - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Sam Farley • Betting Analyst
Aug 31, 2022 • 10:45 ET • 4 min read
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall Leicester City EPL
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

A busy midweek of Premier League action comes to a close on Thursday with Leicester vs. Manchester United. For Leicester City, it’s been an awful start to the season, sitting at the bottom of the Premier League with just one point, while Man United have endured a tricky start under new boss Erik ten Hag.

Can Brendan Rodgers' Leicester kick start their season or will Erik ten Hag’s revolution at Manchester United continue? There’s only one way to find out and that’s by reading our Leicester City vs. Manchester United tips and predictions.

Leicester City vs Manchester United match odds

This odds widget represents the best odds available for each betting market from regulated sportsbooks.

Compare EPL odds before betting to ensure you get the best number.

Leicester City vs Manchester United betting picks

Predictions made on 8/30/2022 at 5:15 p.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.

Best EPL bonuses

If you're signing up for a new sportsbook for some EPL betting, here are two of the best bonuses* available:

A) New users at FanDuel can bet $5 and get $150 in free bets! Sign Up Now

B) Jamie Vardy and Marcus Rashford to record 1+ shots each BOOSTED to +300 at Betway! Claim Now

*Eligible USA locations only

Leicester City vs Manchester United game info

Location: King Power Stadium, Leicester, England
Date: Thursday, September 1, 2022
Time: 3:00 p.m. ET
TV: fuboTV

Leicester City vs Manchester United betting preview

Weather

A warm day in Leicester will drop to temperatures in the mid-60s when this game kicks off at 8:00 p.m. local time.

Injuries

Leicester City: Ricardo Pereira RB (Out), Ryan Bertrand LB (Out), James Maddison AMC (Questionable).
Manchester United: Victor Lindelof CB (Out), Facundo Pellistri FWR (Out), Anthony Martial STR (Questionable).

Leicester City vs Manchester United predictions

Our side and total predictions are based upon our analysis of the line and total in this game. Our best bet is our favorite pick across all markets.

Side analysis

Heading into this game week, the home team is stuck to the bottom of the Premier League table. In four games, Leicester City have drawn just once and lost the remaining three. That isn’t good enough for a team with players of this quality and Brendan Rodgers has come under pressure for his job. Rodgers has done a brilliant job since his arrival at King Power Stadium but even he admits the club is not “stable” and they’ve lost, or are in the process of losing, some of their better players.

Meanwhile, Manchester United have already had a wild season, and we’re only four games in. They started with two humbling defeats, including a demolition by Brentford. Then we saw a brilliant, gritty performance against old rivals Liverpool followed up by a business-like win over Southampton. I’m still not entirely sure what to make of this team. They need to give Ten Hag time and it’s clear that some of the principles he’s installing in the team are working. There are times when their passing has been intricate in a way that hasn’t been seen by the team in years.

It looks like Anthony Martial will miss the game. As will Antony, the new Brazilian signing from Ajax, who wasn’t registered in time to play. Young forward Anthony Elanga was poor against Southampton, meaning that with Arsenal on the horizon this weekend, we will probably see Cristiano Ronaldo recalled to the starting lineup with Marcus Rashford and Jadon Sancho flanking him. That Arsenal game on Sunday means that we should see a lot of rotation in this game to keep Ten Hag’s team fresh. That will likely mean the first start for Casemiro and possibly a return to the starting 11 for Fred, Luke Shaw, and Harry Maguire.

Leicester will mirror United’s 4-3-3 with Harvey Barnes and Ayoze Perez either side of Jamie Vardy. The midfield trio of James Maddison, Wilfred Ndidi, and Youri Tielemans will be key to any hopes Leicester have of winning this game. Ndidi, in particular, needs to provide the engine and work rate that allows a talent like Maddison more creative freedom. When this trio works well, they’re a joy to watch, but they haven't been at their best recently. 

If I were to lean towards a team winning this game I’d side with Man United but the +110 doesn’t quite feel worth the risk. Instead, I’d choose to back the game to be a draw at halftime. Leicester have been level at halftime in their past two games and it’s clear that Rodgers is focused on keeping his team tough to beat. United were level with Southampton at halftime in the last game and I see this match unfolding much like that one.

Prediction: Draw at Halftime (+130 to DraftKings)

Over/Under analysis

We’ve seen that there has been a deliberate attempt by Erik ten Hag to make sure United don’t leave such big holes in the two games since that humiliating Brentford loss. They look like they’ve shortened the gaps between defenders and the Casemiro arrival gives them a legitimate world class player to screen for the back four. 

With United and Leicester both looking to keep things tight, it makes the Under 2.5 goals market look like huge value at +126. 

Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals (+126 at FanDuel)

Best bet

The best bet for Leicester vs. Man United has to be Under 2.5 goals at +126. We’re just four games into the season and that sample size doesn’t tell the whole story.

If you look at the way both teams have played in recent times, last weekend in particular, then it’s clear both are fairly wasteful in front of goal and both are making sure that they’re defensive-focused and keeping it tight.

PickUnder 2.5 Goals (+126 at FanDuel)

Pages related to this topic

Betting Analyst

Sam is based in the United Kingdom, where he grew up living and breathing soccer, before discovering - and playing - a different kind of football at the University of Bristol. He’s worked in the media covering soccer and the NFL for the better part of a decade, and has been a regular on the Matchbook NFL Podcast. His work has also appeared in a wide range of publications including The Telegraph, The Independent, VICE, and MSN.

The search for great betting value is a daily one, and Sam always hunts out big prices with a particular focus on player props. Sam’s best advice for bettors is to track their bets on a spreadsheet, that way you can keep an eye on your P&L but also the types of bets and sports that you are most successful in. He also recommends using a variety of different sportsbooks, with bet365, Betfair and Paddy Power amongst his favorites.

Popular Content

Legal Canadian sports betting

Best Canadian betting sites Ontario sports betting
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo