Man City vs Arsenal Predictions & Picks for Today’s EPL Matchup

Erling Haaland's been firing on all cylinders to start this EPL season, and we have no reason to suspect he'll cool down against City's EPL rival.

Emanuel Rosu - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Emanuel Rosu • Betting Analyst
Sep 20, 2024 • 12:37 ET • 4 min read
Erling Haaland EPL
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The two most prominent Premier League title contenders, Man. City and Arsenal, clash in a much-anticipated match at the Etihad this Sunday.

City’s taken the Premier League crown each of the past two seasons, thanks in large part to goal machine Erling Haaland, and my Man City vs. Arsenal predictions think he’ll keep the pressure on the Gunners.

I believe there's a nice return to be won, and break down my EPL betting picks for September 22.

EPL predictions for Man City vs Arsenal

My best bet:
Erling Haaland 2+ shots on target (+137 at Betano)

My analysis

Just a month into the new football season, Erling Haaland has already netted 10 times. 10 times! The Norwegian killer enjoyed a hat-trick against both West Ham United and Ipswich, and left his mark with a brace against Brentford last weekend. Even though he didn't score against Inter in the Champions League, he's very difficult to contain.

In the four Premier League games he played since the start of the campaign, Haaland sent 14 shots on target, averaging 3.5 SOTs per game. He scored nine goals. Haaland leads the EPL in shots on target stats with incredible authority. Liverpool's Mohamed Salah is well behind him with eight shots, while Arsenal's Bukayo Saka has just half of Haaland's total in third.

At +130 via Betano, a bet on Haaland finding two shots to trouble Arsenal's keeper looks excellent to me. If you're into a bit of adrenaline, you could consider the option of 3+ Haaland goals in this match at +450.

Man City vs Arsenal same-game parlay (SGP)

Erling Haaland 2+ shots on target

Man City 5+ corners

Under 1.5 first-half goals

There are many reasons why this isn’t expected to be a classic. The two sides know each other to perfection. Both teams come into this clash after tough Champions League battles, and are aware that their early confrontation will still leave space for a lot to happen until the season's conclusion. Neither City, nor Arsenal will play for a draw, of course, but none will go on "all-out attack" mode either.

City will do their passing and Arsenal will challenge, but if big events will happen in this game, they are expected to come in the second part of the match, when the brain and the feet get a bit tired. A bet on Under 1.5 goals in the first half looks solid to round up a +600 SGP via Betano.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Man City vs Arsenal odds

Man City vs Arsenal live odds

Man City vs Arsenal opening odds

  • Moneyline: Man. City -120 | Arsenal +340
  • Draw: +260
  • Over/Under: Over 2.5 +100 | Under 2.5 -122

Man City vs Arsenal side and Over/Under analysis

  • Man City have won their last 13 matches in the Premier League.

  • City have scored at least two goals in each of their last 13 Premier League games.

  • City have been winning at both half time and full time in 10 of their last 11 EPL encounters.

Man City vs Arsenal game info

Location: Etihad Stadium, Manchester, UK
Date: Sunday, 9-22-2024
Time: 11:30 a.m. ET
TV: USA Network
Weather: 70F, partly cloudy, 12mph wind, 20% POP
Man City  recent EPL form W-W-W-W
Arsenal  recent EPL form W-W-D-W

Man City vs Arsenal key injuries

Man City: Nathan Ake CB (out), Kevin De Bruyne AM (questionable), Oscar Bobb RW (out).
Arsenal: Takehiro Tomiyasu RB (out), Oleksandr Zinchenko LB (out), Mikel Merono CM (out), Martin Odegaard AM (out).

Not intended for use in MA.
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Emanuel Rosu
Betting Analyst

Emanuel Roșu studied public administration but only to have a degree in something. He was always passionate about football. Writing about it, that is, as we've seen him play and he should feel fortunate he never took that road. He is based in Bucharest and has reported on Champions League, Europa League, and European Championship matches for various media outlets in Europe. He wrote stories for The Guardian, BBC, FourFourTwo, and many more. He represents Romania in the vote for the "Ballon d'Or", the most important individual trophy in world football.

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