Real Madrid vs Atalanta Predictions & Picks for Today’s UEFA Super Cup Final Match

Vinicius Junior can score with the best of him, and he'll have relatively low pushback in doing so on Wednesday.

Emanuel Rosu - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Emanuel Rosu • Betting Analyst
Aug 13, 2024 • 08:49 ET • 4 min read
Vinicius Junior Real Madrid
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

Real Madrid face Atalanta in the UEFA Super Cup Final. The Italian side looks to break the odds and surprise once more against a top-class rival, but that's easier said than done.

Kylian Mbappe is set to make his Spanish debut, but it's Vinicius Junior who has the spotlight in my Real Madrid vs. Atalanta predictions for August 14.

Real Madrid vs Atalanta picks and predictions

My best bet:
Vinicius Junior to score (+120 at Betano)

My analysis
Vini Jr. was one of Real Madrid's standout players last season, netting 24 goals and assisting on 11 others. When defending against Vini Jr., danger can come in all forms.

The 24-year-old is a permanent hassle, and defenders know he's a full package of football weaponry. Atalanta's 3-man defense is even more of an advantage to Vinicius, as he should be allowed more space on the flank. That will prove disastrous for the Italian side.

In case of an early goal, this match can turn into a scoring fest, as Atalanta is by no means the team to park the bus. Real have better players and plenty of options to harm, so I believe they'll celebrate the opportunity with a solid outing in Warsaw with Vini Jr. leading the way.

Real Madrid vs Atalanta same-game parlay (SGP)

Vinicius Junior to score

Over 9.5 corners

Over 1.5 Atalanta offsides

Real Madrid will look to profit early from the quality they have up front. There should be plenty of running back and defending from Atalanta, as they'll look to contain an explosive attacking line.

With three against three in Madrid's attacks, it's surely going to be interesting to see how Atalanta's defenders receive the support they need from their teammates. Betting on corners looks too good to refuse ahead of this clash.

Real's defending line will be set high, and Atalanta will try to use some electric counters and ball movements to speculate. That will create context for offside positions, adding to a nice SGP which returns +670 with Betano.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Real Madrid vs Atalanta odds

Real Madrid Real Madrid Atalanta Atalanta
-192 Moneyline +490
+345 Draw +345
Over 2.5 (-154) Total Under 2.5 (+125)

Odds courtesy of Betano as of 8-11.

Real Madrid vs Atalanta game info

Location: PGE Narodowy, Warsaw, Poland
Date: Wednesday, 8-14-2024
Time: 3:00 p.m. ET
TV: CBS Sports Network, Paramount+
Weather: 87.6 degrees, Overcast, 8.5 mph southward winds. 

Not intended for use in MA.
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Emanuel Rosu
Betting Analyst

Emanuel Roșu studied public administration but only to have a degree in something. He was always passionate about football. Writing about it, that is, as we've seen him play and he should feel fortunate he never took that road. He is based in Bucharest and has reported on Champions League, Europa League, and European Championship matches for various media outlets in Europe. He wrote stories for The Guardian, BBC, FourFourTwo, and many more. He represents Romania in the vote for the "Ballon d'Or", the most important individual trophy in world football.

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