The stars will be shining both on and off the pitch when Sporting KC welcomes Inter Miami to Arrowhead Stadium on Saturday night.
Sporting KC relocated their home from Children’s Mercy Park for an evening, and many big names including Taylor Swift and Patrick Mahomes are expected in attendance to see Lionel Messi.
Sporting has just two wins in their first seven, while Inter Miami were bounced mid-week from the CONCACAF Champions Cup.
Our Sporting Kansas City vs. Inter Miami predictions for Saturday, April 13 examine the MLS odds and explain why the home side should find some goals in this one.
Sporting Kansas City vs Inter Miami CF best odds
Sporting Kansas City vs Inter Miami CF picks and predictions
Sporting KC had a bit of a slow start to the campaign, drawing their first three fixtures and scoring just two goals in the process. However, things have picked up over their last four, as they’ve taken seven of a possible 12 points.
An increase in scoring has been a big key. They’ve managed 10 goals over those four fixtures, scoring multiple times in all four outings. And our best bet is to back them to do so yet again when the Herons come to town.
For everything Inter Miami does well, defending hasn’t been one of their strong suits. For starters, they’re committing terrible errors at the back at inopportune times. Goalkeeper Drake Callender gifted Monterrey a goal on Wednesday night, as they fell 3-1 and 5-2 on aggregate.
No team in MLS has committed more errors directly leading to a shot than Miami. With aging players like Lionel Messi and Luis Suarez struggling to stay at full fitness, the lack of goals has exposed their defensive frailties.
Inter Miami haven't won any of their last five outings, conceding multiple goals in four. Across all competitions, they’ve allowed two or more goals in six of their last nine. That number could go up against a Sporting KC side averaging the third-most SOT per 90 minutes.
William Agada is playing very well of late for Sporting KC. He’s put forth eight shots on goal in his last three, boasting three goals and an assist during that span. Now Agada faces an Inter Miami team allowing the eighth-most goals per SOT this season.
He’ll be the focal point of their attack, and with the large crowd and electric atmosphere, I like Agada to help the home side get at least two goals tonight.
My best bet: Sporting KC team total Over 1.5 (-106 at TonyBet)
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Sporting Kansas City vs Inter Miami CF same-game parlay
Sporting KC team total Over 1.5
William Agada anytime goalscorer
Both teams to score - Yes
Agada has attempted a staggering 17 shots in three matches since entering Sporting KC’s starting lineup. He’s also notched 59 touches in the attacking third in that span and 20 touches inside the penalty area. If Inter Miami give him chances, he’s going to score.
While Lionel Messi may not start, he’s likely going to be on the pitch in the second half. Sporting KC have conceded in all but one match so far, and I don’t see them holding onto one here.
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Sporting Kansas City vs Inter Miami CF side and Over/Under analysis
Inter Miami have often been favored on the road, but they’re decided underdogs here. Sporting KC is priced around +130 for the win on the 3-way money line. The draw is +260 while you can get Miami at +200. The line movement since mid-week has seen money coming in on Kansas City.
If Messi doesn’t start, I like the hosts to win the first half. I’m staying away from the full-match lines because Messi Magic can cause all kinds of issues, but I do like Sporting at plus-odds.
The total of 2.5 goals is juiced towards the over, with -150 the best price on offer. You can get better odds on the Asian total of 2.75 but will need to go up to 3.0 to get plus-odds on the Over.
The public’s been siding with the Over since it opened, but the line hasn’t moved much. Nine of Miami’s last 10 matches have featured three goals, with 4+ goals scored in eight of those fixtures. In addition, Sporting KC’s last four outings have seen 3+ goals, with four or more in three straight.
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Sporting Kansas City vs Inter Miami CF game info
| Location: | Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO |
| Date: | Saturday, April 13, 2024 |
| Time: | 8:30 p.m. ET |
| TV: | Apple TV |
| Weather: | 81F, 17-25mph winds, 0% POP |
Sporting Kansas City vs Inter Miami CF key injuries
Sporting Kansas City: Logan Ndenbe D (Out), Khiry Shelton M (Doubtful), Johnny Russell M (Doubtful).
Inter Miami CF: Robert Taylor F (Doubtful), Ian Fray D (Out), Facundo Farias M (Out), Leonardo Campana F (Doubtful).
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