Minnesota 8th Western Conference42-40
Denver 1st Western Conference53-29

Minnesota @ Denver props

Ball Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Nikola Jokic Points Scored Props • Denver

N. Jokic
center C • Denver
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.8
Best Odds
Under
-143
Prop
26.5 Points Scored
Projection
21.8
Best Odds
Under
-143
Projection Rating

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Timberwolves have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). As a team, the Denver Nuggets have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the free throw line: 7th-worst in the league this year, drawing a measly 22.4 foul shots per game. The matchup vs. the Timberwolves may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting Cs have attempted a measly 1.4 free throws per game over the last 15 games (13th-least in the league).

Nikola Jokic

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.8
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.8

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Timberwolves have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). As a team, the Denver Nuggets have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the free throw line: 7th-worst in the league this year, drawing a measly 22.4 foul shots per game. The matchup vs. the Timberwolves may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting Cs have attempted a measly 1.4 free throws per game over the last 15 games (13th-least in the league).

Aaron Gordon Points Scored Props • Denver

A. Gordon
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Aaron Gordon has successfully made an impressive 57.3% of his field goal attempts this season, a sizeable increase from his 51.6 rate last season. Aaron Gordon has tallied 28.7 minutes per game at home this year, putting him in the 75th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. The matchup vs. Minnesota is a strong one for shot attempts from the field; when the Timberwolves are away from home, opposing starting PFs have tallied the 29th-most shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (12.6). The Timberwolves have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to increase possessions for the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Aaron Gordon

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.6
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.6

Aaron Gordon has successfully made an impressive 57.3% of his field goal attempts this season, a sizeable increase from his 51.6 rate last season. Aaron Gordon has tallied 28.7 minutes per game at home this year, putting him in the 75th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. The matchup vs. Minnesota is a strong one for shot attempts from the field; when the Timberwolves are away from home, opposing starting PFs have tallied the 29th-most shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (12.6). The Timberwolves have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to increase possessions for the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Murray
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
21
Best Odds
Under
-102

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Timberwolves have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). As a team, the Denver Nuggets have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the free throw line: 7th-worst in the league this year, drawing a measly 22.4 foul shots per game.

Jamal Murray

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Timberwolves have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). As a team, the Denver Nuggets have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the free throw line: 7th-worst in the league this year, drawing a measly 22.4 foul shots per game.

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14
Best Odds
Over
+104

Rudy Gobert has sunk 62.8% of his shot attempts from the field on the road this year, placing him in the 94th percentile among all players in the league. Rudy Gobert has tallied 30.3 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 81st percentile. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home court. The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year.

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14

Rudy Gobert has sunk 62.8% of his shot attempts from the field on the road this year, placing him in the 94th percentile among all players in the league. Rudy Gobert has tallied 30.3 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 81st percentile. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home court. The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year.

Kyle Anderson Points Scored Props • Minnesota

K. Anderson
small forward SF • Minnesota
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Kyle Anderson has sunk a terrific 52.4% of his field goal attempts this year, significantly higher than his 45.0 mark last year. Kyle Anderson has averaged 34.8 minutes per game over the last 10 games while playing away from home, 6.3 higher than he's averaged in all games this season on the road. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home court. This matchup is a challenging one for threes; when the Nuggets have the home court advantage, opposing teams have compiled the 2nd-lowest 3-point percentage in the league this year (32.3%). The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year.

Kyle Anderson

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.2
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.2

Kyle Anderson has sunk a terrific 52.4% of his field goal attempts this year, significantly higher than his 45.0 mark last year. Kyle Anderson has averaged 34.8 minutes per game over the last 10 games while playing away from home, 6.3 higher than he's averaged in all games this season on the road. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home court. This matchup is a challenging one for threes; when the Nuggets have the home court advantage, opposing teams have compiled the 2nd-lowest 3-point percentage in the league this year (32.3%). The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year.

Anthony Edwards Points Scored Props • Minnesota

A. Edwards
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.6
Best Odds
Over
-114
Prop
24.5 Points Scored
Projection
25.6
Best Odds
Over
-114
Projection Rating

Anthony Edwards has attempted 18.4 shots per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 95th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Anthony Edwards has converted 2.7 treys per game this year, putting him in the 94th percentile among all players in the NBA. Anthony Edwards has tallied 34.6 minutes per game away from home this year, placing him in the 95th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home court. The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year.

Anthony Edwards

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.6
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.6

Anthony Edwards has attempted 18.4 shots per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 95th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Anthony Edwards has converted 2.7 treys per game this year, putting him in the 94th percentile among all players in the NBA. Anthony Edwards has tallied 34.6 minutes per game away from home this year, placing him in the 95th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home court. The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year.

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.8
Best Odds
Over
-102
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.8
Best Odds
Over
-102
Projection Rating

Mike Conley has successfully made 3.4 3-point shots per game over the last 10 games on the road, 1.3 more than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this season away from home. Mike Conley has tallied 29.6 minutes per game away from home this year, placing him in the 79th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home court. The matchup vs. Denver is a positive one for 3-pointers; when the Nuggets have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PGs have compiled the 27th-highest three rate in the NBA this year (36.9%). The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year.

Mike Conley

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.8
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.8

Mike Conley has successfully made 3.4 3-point shots per game over the last 10 games on the road, 1.3 more than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this season away from home. Mike Conley has tallied 29.6 minutes per game away from home this year, placing him in the 79th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home court. The matchup vs. Denver is a positive one for 3-pointers; when the Nuggets have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PGs have compiled the 27th-highest three rate in the NBA this year (36.9%). The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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