Miami 8th Eastern Conference44-38
New York 5th Eastern Conference47-35

Miami @ New York props

Madison Square Garden

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Kyle Lowry Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Lowry
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Under
-109
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Under
-109
Projection Rating

Kyle Lowry has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the NBA (86th percentile). The Knicks have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Heat. The Miami Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against New York is a hard one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a mere 3.2 free throws per game this year when the Knicks are on their home court (11th-least in the league). Kyle Lowry will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually lowers player performance in all stat categories.

Kyle Lowry

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.8
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.8

Kyle Lowry has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the NBA (86th percentile). The Knicks have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Heat. The Miami Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against New York is a hard one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a mere 3.2 free throws per game this year when the Knicks are on their home court (11th-least in the league). Kyle Lowry will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually lowers player performance in all stat categories.

Kevin Love Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Love
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.9
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.9
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Kevin Love has sunk 2.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.9 more than he's converted from three in all games this season away from home. The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the NBA away from home this year as it relates to attempts from beyond the arc. The matchup against New York is a positive one for attempts from downtown; when the Knicks are at home, the opposition's starting PFs have tallied the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (5.0). The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court. The Knicks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.2) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Kevin Love

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.9
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.9

Kevin Love has sunk 2.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.9 more than he's converted from three in all games this season away from home. The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the NBA away from home this year as it relates to attempts from beyond the arc. The matchup against New York is a positive one for attempts from downtown; when the Knicks are at home, the opposition's starting PFs have tallied the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (5.0). The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court. The Knicks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.2) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jimmy Butler Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Butler
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
28.8
Best Odds
Over
-106
Prop
25.5 Points Scored
Projection
28.8
Best Odds
Over
-106
Projection Rating

Jimmy Butler has averaged 35.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 11.6 more than he's averaged over the course of the year. Jimmy Butler has converted 60.7% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games on the road, 5.6% more than he's sunk in all games this year without the home court advantage. Jimmy Butler has played 33.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 91st percentile. The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the NBA away from home this year as it relates to attempts from beyond the arc. The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court.

Jimmy Butler

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 28.8
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
28.8

Jimmy Butler has averaged 35.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 11.6 more than he's averaged over the course of the year. Jimmy Butler has converted 60.7% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games on the road, 5.6% more than he's sunk in all games this year without the home court advantage. Jimmy Butler has played 33.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 91st percentile. The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the NBA away from home this year as it relates to attempts from beyond the arc. The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court.

Immanuel Quickley Points Scored Props • New York

I. Quickley
shooting guard SG • New York
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
13
Best Odds
Over
+115
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
13
Best Odds
Over
+115
Projection Rating

Immanuel Quickley has scored 18.5 points per game over the last 15 games, 4.0 more than he's scored in all games this season. Immanuel Quickley has attempted 5.2 3-pointers per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 84th percentile out of all players in the league. The Heat have played at the 9th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court, which should boost plays for the Knicks. The New York Knicks rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Immanuel Quickley

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13

Immanuel Quickley has scored 18.5 points per game over the last 15 games, 4.0 more than he's scored in all games this season. Immanuel Quickley has attempted 5.2 3-pointers per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 84th percentile out of all players in the league. The Heat have played at the 9th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court, which should boost plays for the Knicks. The New York Knicks rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Julius Randle Points Scored Props • New York

J. Randle
power forward PF • New York
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.6
Best Odds
Under
+105
Prop
19.5 Points Scored
Projection
18.6
Best Odds
Under
+105
Projection Rating

The matchup against Miami is a tough one for 3-pointers; when the Heat are away from home, the opposition's starting PFs have compiled the 15th-lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (25.8%). The New York Knicks have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Julius Randle

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.6
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.6

The matchup against Miami is a tough one for 3-pointers; when the Heat are away from home, the opposition's starting PFs have compiled the 15th-lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (25.8%). The New York Knicks have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Mitchell Robinson Points Scored Props • New York

M. Robinson
center C • New York
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.7
Best Odds
Over
-114
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.7
Best Odds
Over
-114
Projection Rating

Mitchell Robinson has successfully made 68.5% of his shot attempts from the field this year, putting him in the 97th percentile among all players in the league. The Heat have played at the 9th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court, which should boost plays for the Knicks. The New York Knicks rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists). Mitchell Robinson will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage tends to raises stat production in all stat categories.

Mitchell Robinson

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.7
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.7

Mitchell Robinson has successfully made 68.5% of his shot attempts from the field this year, putting him in the 97th percentile among all players in the league. The Heat have played at the 9th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court, which should boost plays for the Knicks. The New York Knicks rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists). Mitchell Robinson will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage tends to raises stat production in all stat categories.

Gabe Vincent Points Scored Props • Miami

G. Vincent
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14
Best Odds
Under
+110

Gabe Vincent has been called for 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the league (77th percentile). The Knicks have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Heat. The Miami Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against New York is a hard one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a mere 3.2 free throws per game this year when the Knicks are on their home court (11th-least in the league). Gabe Vincent will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling usually reduces stat production in all facets of the game.

Gabe Vincent

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14

Gabe Vincent has been called for 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the league (77th percentile). The Knicks have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Heat. The Miami Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against New York is a hard one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a mere 3.2 free throws per game this year when the Knicks are on their home court (11th-least in the league). Gabe Vincent will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling usually reduces stat production in all facets of the game.

Max Strus Points Scored Props • Miami

M. Strus
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.7
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.7
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Max Strus has sunk 41.6% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games on the road, 8.5% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the year away from home. The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the NBA away from home this year as it relates to attempts from beyond the arc. The matchup vs. the Knicks is a good one for shot attempts from the field; the opposition's starting SGs have tallied the 24th-most shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (14.0). The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court. The Knicks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.2) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Max Strus

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.7
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.7

Max Strus has sunk 41.6% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games on the road, 8.5% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the year away from home. The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the NBA away from home this year as it relates to attempts from beyond the arc. The matchup vs. the Knicks is a good one for shot attempts from the field; the opposition's starting SGs have tallied the 24th-most shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (14.0). The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court. The Knicks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.2) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

RJ Barrett Points Scored Props • New York

R. Barrett
small forward SF • New York
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.6
Best Odds
Over
-112
Prop
18.5 Points Scored
Projection
19.6
Best Odds
Over
-112
Projection Rating

RJ Barrett has made 50.3% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 7.3% more than he's put through the hoop overall this season. RJ Barrett has attempted 5.3 three-pointers per game this year, putting him in the 85th percentile out of all players in the league. RJ Barrett has been on the court for 33.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 90th percentile. The matchup vs. the Heat is a favorable one for threes; the other team's starting SFs have compiled the 29th-highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (37.5%). The Heat have played at the 9th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court, which should boost plays for the Knicks.

RJ Barrett

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.6
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.6

RJ Barrett has made 50.3% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 7.3% more than he's put through the hoop overall this season. RJ Barrett has attempted 5.3 three-pointers per game this year, putting him in the 85th percentile out of all players in the league. RJ Barrett has been on the court for 33.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 90th percentile. The matchup vs. the Heat is a favorable one for threes; the other team's starting SFs have compiled the 29th-highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (37.5%). The Heat have played at the 9th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court, which should boost plays for the Knicks.

Josh Hart Points Scored Props • New York

J. Hart
shooting guard SG • New York
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.6
Best Odds
Over
-128
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.6
Best Odds
Over
-128
Projection Rating

Josh Hart has converted 53.5% of his field goal attempts this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Josh Hart has successfully made 39.5% of his shots from downtown this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Josh Hart has averaged 36.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.3 higher than he's averaged overall this year. The matchup against the Heat is a strong one for attempts from beyond the arc; the opposition's starting SGs have totaled the 30th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.8). The Heat have played at the 9th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court, which should boost plays for the Knicks.

Josh Hart

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.6
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.6

Josh Hart has converted 53.5% of his field goal attempts this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Josh Hart has successfully made 39.5% of his shots from downtown this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Josh Hart has averaged 36.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.3 higher than he's averaged overall this year. The matchup against the Heat is a strong one for attempts from beyond the arc; the opposition's starting SGs have totaled the 30th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.8). The Heat have played at the 9th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court, which should boost plays for the Knicks.

Jalen Brunson Points Scored Props • New York

J. Brunson
point guard PG • New York
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.9
Best Odds
Over
-106
Prop
24.5 Points Scored
Projection
24.9
Best Odds
Over
-106
Projection Rating

Jalen Brunson has converted 10.0 shots made from the field per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 more than he's put through the hoop overall this season. Jalen Brunson has attempted 6.8 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 more than he's attempted overall this year. Jalen Brunson has been on the court for 39.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the year. The Heat have played at the 9th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court, which should boost plays for the Knicks. The New York Knicks rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jalen Brunson

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.9
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.9

Jalen Brunson has converted 10.0 shots made from the field per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 more than he's put through the hoop overall this season. Jalen Brunson has attempted 6.8 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 more than he's attempted overall this year. Jalen Brunson has been on the court for 39.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the year. The Heat have played at the 9th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court, which should boost plays for the Knicks. The New York Knicks rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Caleb Martin Points Scored Props • Miami

C. Martin
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.5
Best Odds
Over
-106
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.5
Best Odds
Over
-106
Projection Rating

Caleb Martin has sunk 56.0% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 9.4% more than he's converted overall this season. Caleb Martin has played 28.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 75th percentile. The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the NBA away from home this year as it relates to attempts from beyond the arc. The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court. The Knicks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.2) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Caleb Martin

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.5
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.5

Caleb Martin has sunk 56.0% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 9.4% more than he's converted overall this season. Caleb Martin has played 28.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 75th percentile. The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the NBA away from home this year as it relates to attempts from beyond the arc. The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court. The Knicks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.2) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.8
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
18.5 Points Scored
Projection
18.8
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

Bam Adebayo has successfully made 7.9 field goals per game this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the NBA. Bam Adebayo has tallied 34.1 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 93rd percentile. The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the NBA away from home this year as it relates to attempts from beyond the arc. The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court. The Knicks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.2) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.8
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.8

Bam Adebayo has successfully made 7.9 field goals per game this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the NBA. Bam Adebayo has tallied 34.1 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 93rd percentile. The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the NBA away from home this year as it relates to attempts from beyond the arc. The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court. The Knicks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.2) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Quentin Grimes Points Scored Props • New York

Q. Grimes
shooting guard SG • New York
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.56
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-115
Under
-120
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
10.56
Best Odds
Over
-115
Under
-120

Quentin Grimes has gone over 4.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Haywood Highsmith Points Scored Props • Miami

H. Highsmith
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
4.11
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
+100
Under
-135
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
4.11
Best Odds
Over
+100
Under
-135

Haywood Highsmith has gone over 4.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Isaiah Hartenstein Points Scored Props • New York

I. Hartenstein
center C • New York
Prop
2.5
Points Scored
Projection
4.73
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-120
Under
-110
Prop
2.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
4.73
Best Odds
Over
-120
Under
-110

Isaiah Hartenstein has gone over 2.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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