CLE -8.5 o211.5
MIA 8.5 u211.5
HOU 4.0 o203.0
GS -4.0 u203.0
Los Angeles 7th Western Conference43-39
Denver 1st Western Conference53-29
TSN, ESPN

Los Angeles @ Denver picks

Ball Arena

LAL vs DEN Picks

NBA Picks
Points Scored
N. Jokic u28.5 Points Scored
Projection 25.2 (Under)
Best Odds
u28.5 +110 draftkings
Projection updated: 711 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
28.5 -120
28.5 -110
28.5 -137
28.5 +100
28.5 -140
28.5 +110
28.5 -120
28.5 -102

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games on their home court. The Lakers have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (13.8) in the league to opposing teams over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists). As a team, the Denver Nuggets have been bad at drawing fouls: 8th-worst in the league this year, drawing a measly 22.4 foul shot attempts per game. The matchup vs. the Lakers may be a challenging one for getting to the free throw line; the other team's starting Cs have attempted a measly 1.9 free throws per game over the last 25 games (11th-least in the league).

Points Scored
A. Gordon o12.5 Points Scored
Projection 16.6 (Over)
Best Odds
o12.5 -134 bet_rivers_co
Projection updated: 711 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
13.5 +100
13.5 -135
12.5 -134
12.5 +100
13.5 -106
13.5 -128
13.5 -110
13.5 -120
13.5 +102
13.5 -124

Aaron Gordon has made 53.8% of his shot attempts from the field while at home this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the league. Aaron Gordon has tallied 36.0 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.6 more than he's tallied over the course of the year. The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a favorable one; when the Lakers are the visiting team, they have given up the 26th-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PFs over the last 15 games (18.7). The Lakers have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home stadium this year, which ought to boost possessions for the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Points Scored
A. Davis u25.5 Points Scored
Projection 22.4 (Under)
Best Odds
u25.5 -106 caesars
Projection updated: 711 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
24.5 -120
24.5 -110
25.5 -117
25.5 -114
25.5 -128
25.5 -106
24.5 -140
24.5 +110
25.5 -104
25.5 -118

Anthony Davis has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game away from his home court this year, ranking in the 80th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled. The Los Angeles Lakers have been the lowest scoring offense in the league when playing away from home this year in terms of 3-pointers. The matchup vs. Denver is a tough one for 3-pointers; when the Nuggets are playing at home, the opposing team's starting Cs have tallied the 13th-least three-point shots per game in the league this year (0.3). The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 15 games with the home court advantage, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Lakers. The matchup vs. Denver is a challenging one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting Cs have attempted a mere 3.1 free throws per game this year when the Nuggets are at home (6th-least in the NBA).

Points Scored
R. Hachimura u11.5 Points Scored
Projection 9.7 (Under)
Best Odds
u11.5 -104 bet_rivers_co
Projection updated: 711 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
11.5 -125
11.5 -110
11.5 -129
11.5 -104
11.5 -114
11.5 -120
11.5 -125
11.5 -105
11.5 -110
11.5 -110

The Los Angeles Lakers have been the lowest scoring offense in the league when playing away from home this year in terms of 3-pointers. The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 15 games with the home court advantage, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Lakers. Rui Hachimura will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium usually lowers stat production in all facets of the game.

Points Scored
J. Murray u25.5 Points Scored
Projection 23 (Under)
Best Odds
u25.5 -127 bet_rivers_co
Projection updated: 711 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
24.5 -120
24.5 -110
25.5 -105
25.5 -127
24.5 -123
24.5 -111
24.5 -120
24.5 -110
24.5 -115
24.5 -105

Jamal Murray has tallied 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 more than he's tallied in all games this year. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games on their home court. The Lakers have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (13.8) in the league to opposing teams over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists). As a team, the Denver Nuggets have been bad at drawing fouls: 8th-worst in the league this year, drawing a measly 22.4 foul shot attempts per game.

LAL vs DEN Consensus Picks

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Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Total

73% picking L.A. Lakers vs Denver to go Over

73%
27%

Total PicksLAL 230, DEN 86

Total

61% picking L.A. Lakers vs Denver to go Over

61%
39%

Total PicksLAL 105, DEN 67

LAL vs DEN Top User Picks

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User Picks

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