MIN -3.0 o216.5
LAL 3.0 u216.5
Final Oct 4
BOS 107 -1.0 o217.5
DEN 103 1.0 u217.5
New York 2nd EASTERN CONFERENCE50-32
Minnesota 3rd WESTERN CONFERENCE56-26
BSN, MSG

New York @ Minnesota props

Target Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Mitchell Robinson Points Scored Props • New York

M. Robinson
center C • New York
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.4
Best Odds
Over
-120

Mitchell Robinson has accumulated a measly 1.8 personal fouls per game this year, significantly lower than his 2.7 fouls per game last year. The New York Knicks check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists). This year, the opposition's starting Cs have attempted 4.4 free throws per game (26th-most in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, easily managing to get to the charity stripe.

Mitchell Robinson

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.4
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.4

Mitchell Robinson has accumulated a measly 1.8 personal fouls per game this year, significantly lower than his 2.7 fouls per game last year. The New York Knicks check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists). This year, the opposition's starting Cs have attempted 4.4 free throws per game (26th-most in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, easily managing to get to the charity stripe.

RJ Barrett Points Scored Props • New York

R. Barrett
small forward SF • New York
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.1
Best Odds
Under
-120

In regard to offense, the New York Knicks's subpar 110.9 points per game with the home court advantage rates 9th-weakest in the NBA this year. The most sluggish tempo road offense in the league this year has been the Knicks. The Minnesota Timberwolves have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). In contrast to last season's 1.5 rate, RJ Barrett's failed foul shots have jumped this season to 1.0 per game. The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting SFs have attempted just 2.4 free throws per game this year (6th-least in the NBA).

RJ Barrett

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.1
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.1

In regard to offense, the New York Knicks's subpar 110.9 points per game with the home court advantage rates 9th-weakest in the NBA this year. The most sluggish tempo road offense in the league this year has been the Knicks. The Minnesota Timberwolves have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). In contrast to last season's 1.5 rate, RJ Barrett's failed foul shots have jumped this season to 1.0 per game. The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting SFs have attempted just 2.4 free throws per game this year (6th-least in the NBA).

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11
Best Odds
Over
-118

Mike Conley has converted a whopping 2.4 three-point shots per game this year, significantly more than his 2.0 rate last year. Mike Conley has played 33.0 minutes per game over the last 14 games when playing on the road, 5.0 more than he's played overall this year on the road. The Knicks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.1) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists). In comparison to last year's 82.8% mark, Mike Conley's free-throw effectiveness has increased this year to 100.0%. In regard to getting to the charity stripe, the Timberwolves's remarkable 23.8 free throws per game ranks 9th-best in the league this year.

Mike Conley

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11

Mike Conley has converted a whopping 2.4 three-point shots per game this year, significantly more than his 2.0 rate last year. Mike Conley has played 33.0 minutes per game over the last 14 games when playing on the road, 5.0 more than he's played overall this year on the road. The Knicks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.1) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists). In comparison to last year's 82.8% mark, Mike Conley's free-throw effectiveness has increased this year to 100.0%. In regard to getting to the charity stripe, the Timberwolves's remarkable 23.8 free throws per game ranks 9th-best in the league this year.

Anthony Edwards Points Scored Props • Minnesota

A. Edwards
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
24
Best Odds
Under
-108

Anthony Edwards has accumulated 0.2 technical fouls per game when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 94th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled when it comes to technicals. This year when they are at home, opposing squads have averaged 13.6 threes per game (6th-most in the NBA) vs. the New York Knicks, making this a good matchup. The New York Knicks have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA in their home city this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Minnesota Timberwolves. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves rank 3rdworst in in the NBA with just 8.9 offensive boards per game since the start of last season. This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.8 foul shots per game (11th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the New York Knicks, finding it difficult to draw fouls.

Anthony Edwards

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24

Anthony Edwards has accumulated 0.2 technical fouls per game when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 94th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled when it comes to technicals. This year when they are at home, opposing squads have averaged 13.6 threes per game (6th-most in the NBA) vs. the New York Knicks, making this a good matchup. The New York Knicks have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA in their home city this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Minnesota Timberwolves. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves rank 3rdworst in in the NBA with just 8.9 offensive boards per game since the start of last season. This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.8 foul shots per game (11th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the New York Knicks, finding it difficult to draw fouls.

Jaden McDaniels Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. McDaniels
small forward SF • Minnesota
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.1
Best Odds
Over
-125

Jaden McDaniels has made a whopping 1.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 1.4 mark last season. Compared to last season's 30.3 clip, Jaden McDaniels's playing time has increased this season to 27.8 minutes per game. The matchup against New York is a favorable one; when the Knicks are away from home, they have allowed the 22nd-most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting SFs this year (15.6). The Knicks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.1) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists). Relative to last season's 74.4% clip, Jaden McDaniels's free-throw effectiveness has jumped this season to 100.0%.

Jaden McDaniels

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.1
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.1

Jaden McDaniels has made a whopping 1.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 1.4 mark last season. Compared to last season's 30.3 clip, Jaden McDaniels's playing time has increased this season to 27.8 minutes per game. The matchup against New York is a favorable one; when the Knicks are away from home, they have allowed the 22nd-most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting SFs this year (15.6). The Knicks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.1) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists). Relative to last season's 74.4% clip, Jaden McDaniels's free-throw effectiveness has jumped this season to 100.0%.

Julius Randle Points Scored Props • New York

J. Randle
power forward PF • New York
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.9
Best Odds
Over
-106

The New York Knicks check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Julius Randle has attempted 6.9 foul shots per game this year, a big improvement over his 7.2 rate last year. The matchup against Minnesota is a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted an enormous 3.6 foul shots per game since the start of last season when the Timberwolves have the home court advantage (22nd-most in the NBA).

Julius Randle

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.9
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.9

The New York Knicks check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Julius Randle has attempted 6.9 foul shots per game this year, a big improvement over his 7.2 rate last year. The matchup against Minnesota is a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted an enormous 3.6 foul shots per game since the start of last season when the Timberwolves have the home court advantage (22nd-most in the NBA).

Karl-Anthony Towns Points Scored Props • Minnesota

K. Towns
center C • Minnesota
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.7
Best Odds
Under
-105

Karl-Anthony Towns has averaged 4.2 personal fouls per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 4.1 fouls per game last season. The New York Knicks have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA in their home city this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Minnesota Timberwolves. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves rank 3rdworst in in the NBA with just 8.9 offensive boards per game since the start of last season. In comparison to last season's 4.8 mark, Karl-Anthony Towns's number of foul shots has regressed this season to 3.8 foul shots per game. The matchup against New York is a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.6 free throws per game this year when the Knicks are on their home court (12th-least in the league).

Karl-Anthony Towns

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.7
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.7

Karl-Anthony Towns has averaged 4.2 personal fouls per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 4.1 fouls per game last season. The New York Knicks have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA in their home city this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Minnesota Timberwolves. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves rank 3rdworst in in the NBA with just 8.9 offensive boards per game since the start of last season. In comparison to last season's 4.8 mark, Karl-Anthony Towns's number of foul shots has regressed this season to 3.8 foul shots per game. The matchup against New York is a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.6 free throws per game this year when the Knicks are on their home court (12th-least in the league).

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.5
Best Odds
Over
-110

Rudy Gobert has been on the court for 32.1 minutes per game away from his home court this year, placing him in the 79th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. The Knicks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.1) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists). In regard to getting to the charity stripe, the Timberwolves's remarkable 23.8 free throws per game ranks 9th-best in the league this year. Rudy Gobert will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city generally improves player production in all stat categories.

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.5
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.5

Rudy Gobert has been on the court for 32.1 minutes per game away from his home court this year, placing him in the 79th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. The Knicks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.1) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists). In regard to getting to the charity stripe, the Timberwolves's remarkable 23.8 free throws per game ranks 9th-best in the league this year. Rudy Gobert will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city generally improves player production in all stat categories.

Jalen Brunson Points Scored Props • New York

J. Brunson
point guard PG • New York
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.7
Best Odds
Over
-118

Jalen Brunson has averaged an impressive 27.9 points per game this season, a significant increase from his 24.1 points per game last season. In comparison to last season's 2.0 rate, Jalen Brunson's threes drained have increased this season to 3.9 per game. Jalen Brunson has tallied 34.5 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 94th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. The New York Knicks check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Jalen Brunson has attempted just 4.7 free throws per game this season, quite a bit less than his 5.8 rate last season.

Jalen Brunson

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.7
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.7

Jalen Brunson has averaged an impressive 27.9 points per game this season, a significant increase from his 24.1 points per game last season. In comparison to last season's 2.0 rate, Jalen Brunson's threes drained have increased this season to 3.9 per game. Jalen Brunson has tallied 34.5 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 94th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. The New York Knicks check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Jalen Brunson has attempted just 4.7 free throws per game this season, quite a bit less than his 5.8 rate last season.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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