CLE -8.5 o211.5
MIA 8.5 u211.5
HOU 4.0 o203.0
GS -4.0 u203.0
Boston 1st EASTERN CONFERENCE64-18
Golden State 9th WESTERN CONFERENCE47-36
NBCSB, TNT

Boston @ Golden State picks

Chase Center

BOS vs GS Picks

NBA Picks
Points Scored
C. Paul o8.5 Points Scored
Projection 10.2 (Over)
Best Odds
o8.5 +104 fanduel
Projection updated: 496 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
8.5 -115
8.5 -115
8.5 -110
8.5 -120
8.5 -110
8.5 -120
8.5 +104
8.5 -128

The Warriors check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). The Boston Celtics have given up the 8th-least offensive boards per game (10.0) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). Out of all players in the league, Chris Paul places in the 88th percentile for free-throw effectiveness while on his home court with a a great 97.1% rate this year. This year, opposing squads have attempted 19.2 foul shots per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Boston Celtics, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line. Chris Paul will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium generally improves player performance across the board.

3-Pointers Made
K. Thompson u3.5 3-Pointers Made
Projection 3.1 (Under)
Best Odds
u3.5 +120 caesars
Projection updated: 496 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
3.5 -135
3.5 +105
3.5 -140
3.5 +105
3.5 -132
3.5 +100
3.5 -167
3.5 +120
3.5 -120
3.5 -110
3.5 -128
3.5 +100

Compared to last year's 10.6 mark, Klay Thompson's 3-point attempts have declined this year to 8.1 per game. Klay Thompson has averaged 0.1 technical fouls per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 80th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone when it comes to technicals. The 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Golden State Warriors. The Boston Celtics have played at the 6th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased plays for the Warriors.

Total Assists
P. Pritchard u2.5 Total Assists
Projection 2.4 (Under)
Best Odds
u2.5 +140 bet365
Projection updated: 496 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
2.5 -170
2.5 +140
2.5 -175
2.5 +130
2.5 -166
2.5 +130
2.5 -142
2.5 +116

The 6th-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Boston Celtics. The Celtics will likely experience a decrease in possessions today from sharing the court with the 8th-most lethargic pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Warriors). The Boston Celtics check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists). While on their home court, the Golden State Warriors have given up the most offensive boards per game (14.0) in the league to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists). Payton Pritchard will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to reduce stat production in all stat categories.

Points Scored
S. Curry u29.5 Points Scored
Projection 27 (Under)
Best Odds
u29.5 -112 bet_rivers_co
Projection updated: 496 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
29.5 -115
29.5 -115
27.5 -125
27.5 -105
29.5 -120
29.5 -112
28.5 -145
28.5 +106
27.5 -150
27.5 +120
28.5 -115
28.5 -105

Stephen Curry has accumulated 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games while at home, 0.1 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the season at home. The Warriors check in as the 10th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA while playing at home this year. The 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Golden State Warriors. The Boston Celtics have played at the 6th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased plays for the Warriors. This year, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 2.3 foul shots per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) against the Celtics, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.

Points Scored
B. Podziemski o10.5 Points Scored
Projection 12.2 (Over)
Best Odds
o10.5 -110 fanduel
Projection updated: 496 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
10.5 -115
10.5 -115
10.5 -115
10.5 -115
11.5 -107
11.5 -125
10.5 -119
10.5 -115
10.5 -115
10.5 -115
10.5 -110
10.5 -110

Brandin Podziemski has attempted 11.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 4.6 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. Brandin Podziemski has attempted 4.4 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's attempted overall this season. Brandin Podziemski has been on the court for 30.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.7 higher than he's been on the court for overall this season. The Warriors check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). The Boston Celtics have given up the 8th-least offensive boards per game (10.0) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

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