Final Oct 4
BOS 107 -1.0 o217.5
DEN 103 1.0 u217.5
Final Oct 4
MIN 124 -4.5 o215.5
LAL 107 4.5 u215.5
Memphis 13th WESTERN CONFERENCE27-55
New Orleans 7th WESTERN CONFERENCE49-33
BSN

Memphis @ New Orleans props

Smoothie King Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Ja Morant Points Scored Props • Memphis

J. Morant
point guard PG • Memphis
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.1
Best Odds
Under
-118

The Grizzlies rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league this year. Over the last 15 games when they are away from home, opposing teams have grabbed 12.1 offensive boards per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Pelicans (saving possessions that can generate further opportunities for offense). Ja Morant will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage usually reduces player performance for all stats.

Ja Morant

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.1
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.1

The Grizzlies rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league this year. Over the last 15 games when they are away from home, opposing teams have grabbed 12.1 offensive boards per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Pelicans (saving possessions that can generate further opportunities for offense). Ja Morant will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage usually reduces player performance for all stats.

Naji Marshall Points Scored Props • New Orleans

N. Marshall
power forward PF • New Orleans
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.4
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.4
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

Naji Marshall has sunk 49.1% of his 3-pointers this year, putting him in the 96th percentile among all players in the NBA. The 7th-fastest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Pelicans. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which ought to boost plays for the Pelicans. Offensive rebounds retain possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans rank 8thbest in in the league when playing at home with 10.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. The Memphis Grizzlies have allowed the 9th-least offensive boards per game (10.6) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Naji Marshall

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.4
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.4

Naji Marshall has sunk 49.1% of his 3-pointers this year, putting him in the 96th percentile among all players in the NBA. The 7th-fastest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Pelicans. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which ought to boost plays for the Pelicans. Offensive rebounds retain possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans rank 8thbest in in the league when playing at home with 10.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. The Memphis Grizzlies have allowed the 9th-least offensive boards per game (10.6) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jaren Jackson Jr. Points Scored Props • Memphis

J. Jackson Jr.
power forward PF • Memphis
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.8
Best Odds
Over
-114

Among all players in the NBA, Jaren Jackson Jr. places in the 89th percentile, averaging a colossal 21.4 points per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Jaren Jackson Jr. rates in the 77th percentile for shot attempts from downtown, registering 5.0 per game this year. Out of all players in the league, Jaren Jackson Jr. rates in the 77th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 30.0 minutes per game when playing on the road this year. The 6th-speediest pace-of-play visiting team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 15 games in their home stadium, which should lead to increased plays for the Grizzlies.

Jaren Jackson Jr.

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.8
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.8

Among all players in the NBA, Jaren Jackson Jr. places in the 89th percentile, averaging a colossal 21.4 points per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Jaren Jackson Jr. rates in the 77th percentile for shot attempts from downtown, registering 5.0 per game this year. Out of all players in the league, Jaren Jackson Jr. rates in the 77th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 30.0 minutes per game when playing on the road this year. The 6th-speediest pace-of-play visiting team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 15 games in their home stadium, which should lead to increased plays for the Grizzlies.

Santi Aldama Points Scored Props • Memphis

S. Aldama
power forward PF • Memphis
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

In contrast to last season's 3.4 clip, Santi Aldama's 3-point attempts have increased this season to 5.0 per game. This year when they are on the road, opposing teams have averaged 33.5% on three-pointers (4th-worst in the league) vs. the Pelicans, making this a tough matchup. The 6th-speediest pace-of-play visiting team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 15 games in their home stadium, which should lead to increased plays for the Grizzlies. The Grizzlies have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Santi Aldama

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.7
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.7

In contrast to last season's 3.4 clip, Santi Aldama's 3-point attempts have increased this season to 5.0 per game. This year when they are on the road, opposing teams have averaged 33.5% on three-pointers (4th-worst in the league) vs. the Pelicans, making this a tough matchup. The 6th-speediest pace-of-play visiting team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 15 games in their home stadium, which should lead to increased plays for the Grizzlies. The Grizzlies have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Desmond Bane Points Scored Props • Memphis

D. Bane
shooting guard SG • Memphis
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.5
Best Odds
Under
-119

Desmond Bane has tallied 2.9 personal fouls per game when playing away from home this year, putting him in the 89th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling. The Grizzlies rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league this year. The matchup vs. the New Orleans Pelicans is a challenging one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting SFs have totaled the 15th-least shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (9.1). Over the last 15 games when they are away from home, opposing teams have grabbed 12.1 offensive boards per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Pelicans (saving possessions that can generate further opportunities for offense). Over the last 20 games, opposing starting SFs have attempted 2.1 foul shots per game (13th-fewest in the league) against the New Orleans Pelicans, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.

Desmond Bane

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.5
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.5

Desmond Bane has tallied 2.9 personal fouls per game when playing away from home this year, putting him in the 89th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling. The Grizzlies rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league this year. The matchup vs. the New Orleans Pelicans is a challenging one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting SFs have totaled the 15th-least shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (9.1). Over the last 15 games when they are away from home, opposing teams have grabbed 12.1 offensive boards per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Pelicans (saving possessions that can generate further opportunities for offense). Over the last 20 games, opposing starting SFs have attempted 2.1 foul shots per game (13th-fewest in the league) against the New Orleans Pelicans, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.

Trey Murphy III Points Scored Props • New Orleans

T. Murphy III
small forward SF • New Orleans
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.8
Best Odds
Over
-104
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.8
Best Odds
Over
-104
Projection Rating

Trey Murphy III has attempted 5.8 three-pointers per game while playing at home this year, placing him in the 88th percentile among all players in the NBA. The 7th-fastest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Pelicans. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which ought to boost plays for the Pelicans. Offensive rebounds retain possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans rank 8thbest in in the league when playing at home with 10.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. The Memphis Grizzlies have allowed the 9th-least offensive boards per game (10.6) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Trey Murphy III

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.8
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.8

Trey Murphy III has attempted 5.8 three-pointers per game while playing at home this year, placing him in the 88th percentile among all players in the NBA. The 7th-fastest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Pelicans. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which ought to boost plays for the Pelicans. Offensive rebounds retain possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans rank 8thbest in in the league when playing at home with 10.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. The Memphis Grizzlies have allowed the 9th-least offensive boards per game (10.6) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Brandon Ingram Points Scored Props • New Orleans

B. Ingram
small forward SF • New Orleans
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.3
Best Odds
Under
-105

The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games at home as it relates to three-point attempts. The matchup against Memphis is a challenging one for field goal attempts; when the Grizzlies are away from home, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied the 14th-least shot attempts per game in the league this year (9.7). The matchup against the Grizzlies may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.6 foul shots per game over the last 12 games (12th-least in the league).

Brandon Ingram

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.3
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.3

The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games at home as it relates to three-point attempts. The matchup against Memphis is a challenging one for field goal attempts; when the Grizzlies are away from home, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied the 14th-least shot attempts per game in the league this year (9.7). The matchup against the Grizzlies may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.6 foul shots per game over the last 12 games (12th-least in the league).

Marcus Smart Points Scored Props • Memphis

M. Smart
point guard PG • Memphis
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Marcus Smart has attempted 5.2 shots from downtown per game on the road this year, ranking in the 81st percentile among all players in the NBA. The matchup vs. the Pelicans is a favorable one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled the 27th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.1). The 6th-speediest pace-of-play visiting team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 15 games in their home stadium, which should lead to increased plays for the Grizzlies. The Grizzlies have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Marcus Smart

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.3
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.3

Marcus Smart has attempted 5.2 shots from downtown per game on the road this year, ranking in the 81st percentile among all players in the NBA. The matchup vs. the Pelicans is a favorable one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled the 27th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.1). The 6th-speediest pace-of-play visiting team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 15 games in their home stadium, which should lead to increased plays for the Grizzlies. The Grizzlies have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Herbert Jones Points Scored Props • New Orleans

H. Jones
power forward PF • New Orleans
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.2
Best Odds
Over
-115

The 7th-fastest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Pelicans. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which ought to boost plays for the Pelicans. Offensive rebounds retain possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans rank 8thbest in in the league when playing at home with 10.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. The Memphis Grizzlies have allowed the 9th-least offensive boards per game (10.6) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). Herbert Jones has converted an impressive 88.2% of his foul shots this year, significantly higher than his 73.1 mark last year.

Herbert Jones

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.2
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.2

The 7th-fastest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Pelicans. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which ought to boost plays for the Pelicans. Offensive rebounds retain possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans rank 8thbest in in the league when playing at home with 10.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. The Memphis Grizzlies have allowed the 9th-least offensive boards per game (10.6) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). Herbert Jones has converted an impressive 88.2% of his foul shots this year, significantly higher than his 73.1 mark last year.

CJ McCollum Points Scored Props • New Orleans

C. McCollum
shooting guard SG • New Orleans
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.3
Best Odds
Over
-115

CJ McCollum has made 3.8 threes per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 more than he's made overall this year. Out of all players in the NBA, CJ McCollum registers in the 85th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 33.1 minutes per game this year. The 7th-fastest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Pelicans. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which ought to boost plays for the Pelicans. Offensive rebounds retain possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans rank 8thbest in in the league when playing at home with 10.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

CJ McCollum

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.3
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.3

CJ McCollum has made 3.8 threes per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 more than he's made overall this year. Out of all players in the NBA, CJ McCollum registers in the 85th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 33.1 minutes per game this year. The 7th-fastest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Pelicans. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which ought to boost plays for the Pelicans. Offensive rebounds retain possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans rank 8thbest in in the league when playing at home with 10.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Bismack Biyombo Points Scored Props • Memphis

B. Biyombo
center C • Memphis
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.9
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.9
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

The 6th-speediest pace-of-play visiting team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 15 games in their home stadium, which should lead to increased plays for the Grizzlies. The Grizzlies have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Bismack Biyombo

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.9
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.9

The 6th-speediest pace-of-play visiting team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 15 games in their home stadium, which should lead to increased plays for the Grizzlies. The Grizzlies have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Zion Williamson Points Scored Props • New Orleans

Z. Williamson
power forward PF • New Orleans
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
22
Best Odds
Over
-120

Zion Williamson has converted 75.0% of his three-point attempts over the last 10 games at home, 25.0% more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year while at home. Zion Williamson has been on the court for 30.2 minutes per game at home this year, placing him in the 75th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting PFs have tallied 6.5 3-point attempts per game (30th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Grizzlies, identifying this as a good matchup. The 7th-fastest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Pelicans. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which ought to boost plays for the Pelicans.

Zion Williamson

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22

Zion Williamson has converted 75.0% of his three-point attempts over the last 10 games at home, 25.0% more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year while at home. Zion Williamson has been on the court for 30.2 minutes per game at home this year, placing him in the 75th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting PFs have tallied 6.5 3-point attempts per game (30th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Grizzlies, identifying this as a good matchup. The 7th-fastest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Pelicans. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which ought to boost plays for the Pelicans.

Jonas Valanciunas Points Scored Props • New Orleans

J. Valanciunas
center C • New Orleans
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.6
Best Odds
Over
-124

Out of all players in the league, Jonas Valanciunas rates in the 88th percentile for field goal performance with a an outstanding 56.9% rate this year. The 7th-fastest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Pelicans. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which ought to boost plays for the Pelicans. Offensive rebounds retain possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans rank 8thbest in in the league when playing at home with 10.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. The Memphis Grizzlies have allowed the 9th-least offensive boards per game (10.6) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jonas Valanciunas

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.6
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.6

Out of all players in the league, Jonas Valanciunas rates in the 88th percentile for field goal performance with a an outstanding 56.9% rate this year. The 7th-fastest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Pelicans. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which ought to boost plays for the Pelicans. Offensive rebounds retain possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans rank 8thbest in in the league when playing at home with 10.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. The Memphis Grizzlies have allowed the 9th-least offensive boards per game (10.6) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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