Final OT Nov 21
DET 121 -2.0 o222.0
CHA 123 2.0 u222.0
Final Nov 21
MIN 105 -7.0 o226.0
TOR 110 7.0 u226.0
Final Nov 21
UTA 118 3.0 o224.0
SA 126 -3.0 u224.0
Final Nov 21
ORL 119 5.0 o216.0
LAL 118 -5.0 u216.0
Miami 8th EASTERN CONFERENCE46-36
LA 4th WESTERN CONFERENCE51-31
BSN, Sportsnet

Miami @ LA props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Duncan Robinson Points Scored Props • Miami

D. Robinson
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.2
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.2
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Duncan Robinson rates in the 94th percentile for three-pointers sunk while on the road, tallying 2.9 per game this year. In regard to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Miami Heat's remarkable 39.3% rate of converted threes rates best in the league this year. The matchup vs. the Clippers is a difficult one for shots from the field; opposing clubs have put up the 5th-lowest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (45.9%). The LA Clippers have played at the 4th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 17 games at home, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Heat. Duncan Robinson has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 20.3% more than he's put through the net overall this season.

Duncan Robinson

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.2
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.2

Out of all players in the NBA, Duncan Robinson rates in the 94th percentile for three-pointers sunk while on the road, tallying 2.9 per game this year. In regard to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Miami Heat's remarkable 39.3% rate of converted threes rates best in the league this year. The matchup vs. the Clippers is a difficult one for shots from the field; opposing clubs have put up the 5th-lowest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (45.9%). The LA Clippers have played at the 4th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 17 games at home, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Heat. Duncan Robinson has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 20.3% more than he's put through the net overall this season.

Tyler Herro Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Herro
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.9
Best Odds
Under
-114

The matchup against the Clippers is a tough one for shots from the field; the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied the 11th-least shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (11.6). The Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league while playing on the road this year. The Heat check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). The LA Clippers have allowed the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Tyler Herro will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling usually reduces player performance in all facets of the game.

Tyler Herro

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.9
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.9

The matchup against the Clippers is a tough one for shots from the field; the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied the 11th-least shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (11.6). The Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league while playing on the road this year. The Heat check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). The LA Clippers have allowed the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Tyler Herro will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling usually reduces player performance in all facets of the game.

Kyle Lowry Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Lowry
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.6
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.6
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Kyle Lowry has converted 52.9% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 11.7% more than he's made in all games this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Kyle Lowry slots into the 82nd percentile for three-pointers scored, tallying 2.0 per game this year. In regard to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Miami Heat's remarkable 39.3% rate of converted threes rates best in the league this year. The LA Clippers have played at the 4th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 17 games at home, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Heat.

Kyle Lowry

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.6
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.6

Kyle Lowry has converted 52.9% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 11.7% more than he's made in all games this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Kyle Lowry slots into the 82nd percentile for three-pointers scored, tallying 2.0 per game this year. In regard to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Miami Heat's remarkable 39.3% rate of converted threes rates best in the league this year. The LA Clippers have played at the 4th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 17 games at home, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Heat.

Kevin Love Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Love
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.4
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.4
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Kevin Love has attempted 6.4 threes per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 more than he's attempted overall this season. In regard to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Miami Heat's remarkable 39.3% rate of converted threes rates best in the league this year. The matchup vs. the Clippers is a difficult one for shots from the field; opposing clubs have put up the 5th-lowest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (45.9%). The LA Clippers have played at the 4th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 17 games at home, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Heat. Kevin Love has successfully made 90.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 10.5% higher than he's made over the course of the year without the home court advantage.

Kevin Love

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.4
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.4

Kevin Love has attempted 6.4 threes per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 more than he's attempted overall this season. In regard to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Miami Heat's remarkable 39.3% rate of converted threes rates best in the league this year. The matchup vs. the Clippers is a difficult one for shots from the field; opposing clubs have put up the 5th-lowest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (45.9%). The LA Clippers have played at the 4th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 17 games at home, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Heat. Kevin Love has successfully made 90.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 10.5% higher than he's made over the course of the year without the home court advantage.

Norman Powell Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

N. Powell
shooting guard SG • L.A. Clippers
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.3
Best Odds
Over
-102
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.3
Best Odds
Over
-102
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Norman Powell registers in the 82nd percentile for three-point prowess with the home court advantage with a a terrific 42.6% rate this year. When it comes to scoring, the Clippers's excellent 124.0 points per game settles in as the 4th-most in the NBA over the last 10 games. The 4th-fastest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 17 games has been the LA Clippers. Over the last 20 games, their opposition has snagged 8.8 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the league) against the Miami Heat (turning over possessions that could otherwise produce further opportunities for offense). Norman Powell has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 12.1% more than he's put through the hoop overall this season.

Norman Powell

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.3
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.3

Out of all players in the league, Norman Powell registers in the 82nd percentile for three-point prowess with the home court advantage with a a terrific 42.6% rate this year. When it comes to scoring, the Clippers's excellent 124.0 points per game settles in as the 4th-most in the NBA over the last 10 games. The 4th-fastest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 17 games has been the LA Clippers. Over the last 20 games, their opposition has snagged 8.8 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the league) against the Miami Heat (turning over possessions that could otherwise produce further opportunities for offense). Norman Powell has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 12.1% more than he's put through the hoop overall this season.

Ivica Zubac Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

I. Zubac
center C • L.A. Clippers
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.7
Best Odds
Over
-125

Among all players in the league, Ivica Zubac measures in the 95th percentile for scoring efficiency with a an excellent 65.6% rate this year. When it comes to scoring, the Clippers's excellent 124.0 points per game settles in as the 4th-most in the NBA over the last 10 games. The 4th-fastest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 17 games has been the LA Clippers. Over the last 20 games, their opposition has snagged 8.8 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the league) against the Miami Heat (turning over possessions that could otherwise produce further opportunities for offense). Ivica Zubac figures to see a rise in performance for all stats due to possessing the home court advantage in this contest.

Ivica Zubac

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.7
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.7

Among all players in the league, Ivica Zubac measures in the 95th percentile for scoring efficiency with a an excellent 65.6% rate this year. When it comes to scoring, the Clippers's excellent 124.0 points per game settles in as the 4th-most in the NBA over the last 10 games. The 4th-fastest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 17 games has been the LA Clippers. Over the last 20 games, their opposition has snagged 8.8 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the league) against the Miami Heat (turning over possessions that could otherwise produce further opportunities for offense). Ivica Zubac figures to see a rise in performance for all stats due to possessing the home court advantage in this contest.

Terance Mann Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

T. Mann
shooting guard SG • L.A. Clippers
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
7
Best Odds
Under
-118
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
7
Best Odds
Under
-118
Projection Rating

In comparison to last year's 52.5% rate, Terance Mann's scoring prowess has declined this year to 35.3%. In comparison to last year's 36.1% mark, Terance Mann's three-point performance has decreased this year to 21.8%. Among all players in the NBA, Terance Mann registers in the 83rd percentile for technical fouls, putting up a monstrous 0.1 fouls per game this year. The LA Clippers will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 2nd-most lethargic pace away offense in the NBA this year (the Heat). The Clippers have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Terance Mann

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7

In comparison to last year's 52.5% rate, Terance Mann's scoring prowess has declined this year to 35.3%. In comparison to last year's 36.1% mark, Terance Mann's three-point performance has decreased this year to 21.8%. Among all players in the NBA, Terance Mann registers in the 83rd percentile for technical fouls, putting up a monstrous 0.1 fouls per game this year. The LA Clippers will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 2nd-most lethargic pace away offense in the NBA this year (the Heat). The Clippers have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.8
Best Odds
Under
-110

Among all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo registers in the 10th percentile for shot attempts from downtown, posting 0.2 per game this year. The showdown with Ivica Zubac registers in the 3rd percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs notching just 10.5 points per game this year when they are away from home. The Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league while playing on the road this year. The Heat check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). The LA Clippers have allowed the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.8
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.8

Among all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo registers in the 10th percentile for shot attempts from downtown, posting 0.2 per game this year. The showdown with Ivica Zubac registers in the 3rd percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs notching just 10.5 points per game this year when they are away from home. The Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league while playing on the road this year. The Heat check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). The LA Clippers have allowed the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Russell Westbrook Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

R. Westbrook
point guard PG • L.A. Clippers
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds
Over
-104
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds
Over
-104
Projection Rating

Russell Westbrook has sunk 58.2% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 10.4% more than he's sunk overall this season. When it comes to scoring, the Clippers's excellent 124.0 points per game settles in as the 4th-most in the NBA over the last 10 games. The 4th-fastest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 17 games has been the LA Clippers. Over the last 20 games, their opposition has snagged 8.8 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the league) against the Miami Heat (turning over possessions that could otherwise produce further opportunities for offense). This year when they are at home, the other team has attempted 19.9 free throws per game (3rd-fewest in the league) against the Miami Heat, struggling to get to the charity stripe.

Russell Westbrook

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.9
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.9

Russell Westbrook has sunk 58.2% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 10.4% more than he's sunk overall this season. When it comes to scoring, the Clippers's excellent 124.0 points per game settles in as the 4th-most in the NBA over the last 10 games. The 4th-fastest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 17 games has been the LA Clippers. Over the last 20 games, their opposition has snagged 8.8 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the league) against the Miami Heat (turning over possessions that could otherwise produce further opportunities for offense). This year when they are at home, the other team has attempted 19.9 free throws per game (3rd-fewest in the league) against the Miami Heat, struggling to get to the charity stripe.

Kawhi Leonard Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

K. Leonard
small forward SF • L.A. Clippers
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.2
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
22.5 Points Scored
Projection
23.2
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Kawhi Leonard has notched 30.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 6.0 higher than he's notched in all games this year. Kawhi Leonard has sunk 54.3% of his 3-point shots over the last 10 games, 9.8% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year. Kawhi Leonard has played 34.4 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. When it comes to scoring, the Clippers's excellent 124.0 points per game settles in as the 4th-most in the NBA over the last 10 games. This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting SFs have tallied 5.8 3-point attempts per game (28th-highest in the NBA) against the Heat, branding this as a strong matchup.

Kawhi Leonard

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.2
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.2

Kawhi Leonard has notched 30.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 6.0 higher than he's notched in all games this year. Kawhi Leonard has sunk 54.3% of his 3-point shots over the last 10 games, 9.8% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year. Kawhi Leonard has played 34.4 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. When it comes to scoring, the Clippers's excellent 124.0 points per game settles in as the 4th-most in the NBA over the last 10 games. This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting SFs have tallied 5.8 3-point attempts per game (28th-highest in the NBA) against the Heat, branding this as a strong matchup.

James Harden Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

J. Harden
shooting guard SG • L.A. Clippers
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.9
Best Odds
Over
-118

James Harden has attempted 8.6 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 more than he's attempted overall this season. Among all players in the league, James Harden places in the 89th percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 34.0 minutes per game this year. When it comes to scoring, the Clippers's excellent 124.0 points per game settles in as the 4th-most in the NBA over the last 10 games. The matchup against the Miami Heat is a good one; they have allowed the 27th-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1). The 4th-fastest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 17 games has been the LA Clippers.

James Harden

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.9
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.9

James Harden has attempted 8.6 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 more than he's attempted overall this season. Among all players in the league, James Harden places in the 89th percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 34.0 minutes per game this year. When it comes to scoring, the Clippers's excellent 124.0 points per game settles in as the 4th-most in the NBA over the last 10 games. The matchup against the Miami Heat is a good one; they have allowed the 27th-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1). The 4th-fastest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 17 games has been the LA Clippers.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Jaquez Jr.
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.9
Best Odds
Over
-120

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has sunk 39.7% of his attempts from downtown this year, ranking in the 79th percentile out of all players in the league. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has tallied 36.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.4 higher than he's tallied overall this season. In regard to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Miami Heat's remarkable 39.3% rate of converted threes rates best in the league this year. The matchup vs. the LA Clippers is a positive one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; opposing starting SFs have tallied the 24th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.3). The LA Clippers have played at the 4th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 17 games at home, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Heat.

Jaime Jaquez Jr.

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.9
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.9

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has sunk 39.7% of his attempts from downtown this year, ranking in the 79th percentile out of all players in the league. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has tallied 36.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.4 higher than he's tallied overall this season. In regard to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Miami Heat's remarkable 39.3% rate of converted threes rates best in the league this year. The matchup vs. the LA Clippers is a positive one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; opposing starting SFs have tallied the 24th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.3). The LA Clippers have played at the 4th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 17 games at home, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Heat.

Paul George Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

P. George
small forward SF • L.A. Clippers
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.8
Best Odds
Over
-120

Out of all players in the NBA, Paul George slots into the 93rd percentile for shots taken, registering 17.9 per game this year. Paul George has sunk 4.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 more than he's converted from three overall this year. Paul George has averaged 34.3 minutes per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. When it comes to scoring, the Clippers's excellent 124.0 points per game settles in as the 4th-most in the NBA over the last 10 games. The matchup against the Heat is a positive one for threes; the opposing team's starting PFs have put up the 29th-highest three rate in the NBA this year (43.4%).

Paul George

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.8
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.8

Out of all players in the NBA, Paul George slots into the 93rd percentile for shots taken, registering 17.9 per game this year. Paul George has sunk 4.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 more than he's converted from three overall this year. Paul George has averaged 34.3 minutes per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. When it comes to scoring, the Clippers's excellent 124.0 points per game settles in as the 4th-most in the NBA over the last 10 games. The matchup against the Heat is a positive one for threes; the opposing team's starting PFs have put up the 29th-highest three rate in the NBA this year (43.4%).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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