Minnesota 3rd WESTERN CONFERENCE56-26
Detroit 15th EASTERN CONFERENCE14-68
NBALP

Minnesota @ Detroit props

Little Caesars Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Killian Hayes Points Scored Props • Detroit

K. Hayes
point guard PG • Detroit
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.4
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.4
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

The Pistons have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court. The Detroit Pistons check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists). While playing away from home, the Timberwolves have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Killian Hayes has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 28.9% higher than he's sunk overall this year. Killian Hayes stands to get a boost in output in all stat categories as a result of enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

Killian Hayes

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.4
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.4

The Pistons have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court. The Detroit Pistons check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists). While playing away from home, the Timberwolves have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Killian Hayes has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 28.9% higher than he's sunk overall this year. Killian Hayes stands to get a boost in output in all stat categories as a result of enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

Jaden Ivey Points Scored Props • Detroit

J. Ivey
point guard PG • Detroit
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.3
Best Odds
Under
-103

Out of all players in the league, Jaden Ivey ranks in the 82nd percentile for personal fouls, averaging a massive 2.5 fouls per game while on his home court this year. In terms of shooting, the Pistons's feeble 110.2 points per game as the home team rates 2nd-lowest in the league this year. The Pistons will likely suffer a reduction in plays in this game from being pitted against the 4th-slowest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves). Over the last 20 games, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 2.2 foul shots per game (14th-lowest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

Jaden Ivey

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.3
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.3

Out of all players in the league, Jaden Ivey ranks in the 82nd percentile for personal fouls, averaging a massive 2.5 fouls per game while on his home court this year. In terms of shooting, the Pistons's feeble 110.2 points per game as the home team rates 2nd-lowest in the league this year. The Pistons will likely suffer a reduction in plays in this game from being pitted against the 4th-slowest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves). Over the last 20 games, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 2.2 foul shots per game (14th-lowest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.6
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.6
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Mike Conley ranks in the 89th percentile for 3-point shots made when playing on the road, averaging 2.3 per game this year. Out of all players in the league, Mike Conley rates in the 75th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 29.1 minutes per game this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games while playing away from home. This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have logged 21.2 points per game (29th-most in the NBA) against the Pistons, branding this as a positive matchup for offensive effectiveness. The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-speediest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Detroit Pistons).

Mike Conley

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.6
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.6

Out of all players in the NBA, Mike Conley ranks in the 89th percentile for 3-point shots made when playing on the road, averaging 2.3 per game this year. Out of all players in the league, Mike Conley rates in the 75th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 29.1 minutes per game this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games while playing away from home. This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have logged 21.2 points per game (29th-most in the NBA) against the Pistons, branding this as a positive matchup for offensive effectiveness. The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-speediest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Detroit Pistons).

Jaden McDaniels Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. McDaniels
small forward SF • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.1
Best Odds
Over
-124
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.1
Best Odds
Over
-124
Projection Rating

The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games while playing away from home. Over the last 16 games when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SFs have logged 19.5 points per game (30th-highest in the league) vs. the Pistons, making this a positive matchup for offensive output. The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-speediest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Detroit Pistons). The Detroit Pistons have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists). Jaden McDaniels has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 26.3% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season.

Jaden McDaniels

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.1
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.1

The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games while playing away from home. Over the last 16 games when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SFs have logged 19.5 points per game (30th-highest in the league) vs. the Pistons, making this a positive matchup for offensive output. The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-speediest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Detroit Pistons). The Detroit Pistons have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists). Jaden McDaniels has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 26.3% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season.

Alec Burks Points Scored Props • Detroit

A. Burks
shooting guard SG • Detroit
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.8
Best Odds
Under
-106
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.8
Best Odds
Under
-106
Projection Rating

In contrast to last season's 43.2% clip, Alec Burks's shooting efficiency has decreased this season to 36.5%. Alec Burks has been called for 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 more than he's been called for over the course of the season. In terms of shooting, the Pistons's feeble 110.2 points per game as the home team rates 2nd-lowest in the league this year. The Pistons will likely suffer a reduction in plays in this game from being pitted against the 4th-slowest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).

Alec Burks

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.8
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.8

In contrast to last season's 43.2% clip, Alec Burks's shooting efficiency has decreased this season to 36.5%. Alec Burks has been called for 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 more than he's been called for over the course of the season. In terms of shooting, the Pistons's feeble 110.2 points per game as the home team rates 2nd-lowest in the league this year. The Pistons will likely suffer a reduction in plays in this game from being pitted against the 4th-slowest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).

Anthony Edwards Points Scored Props • Minnesota

A. Edwards
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
27.3
Best Odds
Under
-114

This year, the other team's starting SGs have shot 27.6% on threes (14th-lowest in the NBA) against the Pistons, identifying this as a tough matchup. The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Timberwolves check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). Anthony Edwards will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage usually decreases player production for all stats.

Anthony Edwards

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27.3
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27.3

This year, the other team's starting SGs have shot 27.6% on threes (14th-lowest in the NBA) against the Pistons, identifying this as a tough matchup. The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Timberwolves check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). Anthony Edwards will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage usually decreases player production for all stats.

Kyle Anderson Points Scored Props • Minnesota

K. Anderson
small forward SF • Minnesota
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.4
Best Odds
Under
-102
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.4
Best Odds
Under
-102
Projection Rating

Kyle Anderson has tallied 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's tallied in all games this season. Over the last 25 games, opposing teams have scored 126.6 points per game (most in the league) against the Detroit Pistons, making this a favorable matchup for offensive performance. The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Timberwolves check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). Kyle Anderson has sunk a mere 67.6% of his foul shot attempts this year, quite a bit lower than his 77.1 rate last year.

Kyle Anderson

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.4
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.4

Kyle Anderson has tallied 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's tallied in all games this season. Over the last 25 games, opposing teams have scored 126.6 points per game (most in the league) against the Detroit Pistons, making this a favorable matchup for offensive performance. The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Timberwolves check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). Kyle Anderson has sunk a mere 67.6% of his foul shot attempts this year, quite a bit lower than his 77.1 rate last year.

Naz Reid Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Reid
center C • Minnesota
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.1
Best Odds
Over
-108
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.1
Best Odds
Over
-108
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Naz Reid lands in the 81st percentile for three-pointers hit, putting up 1.9 per game this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games while playing away from home. The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-speediest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Detroit Pistons). The Detroit Pistons have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Naz Reid

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.1
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.1

Out of all players in the league, Naz Reid lands in the 81st percentile for three-pointers hit, putting up 1.9 per game this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games while playing away from home. The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-speediest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Detroit Pistons). The Detroit Pistons have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Isaiah Stewart Points Scored Props • Detroit

I. Stewart
power forward PF • Detroit
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10
Best Odds
Over
-105

Isaiah Stewart has made 56.0% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 8.5% more than he's put through the net in all games this year. Isaiah Stewart has successfully made 57.5% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games at home, 15.8% higher than he's sunk in all games this year playing at home. Isaiah Stewart has been on the court for 30.7 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. The Pistons have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court. The Detroit Pistons check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Isaiah Stewart

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10

Isaiah Stewart has made 56.0% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 8.5% more than he's put through the net in all games this year. Isaiah Stewart has successfully made 57.5% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games at home, 15.8% higher than he's sunk in all games this year playing at home. Isaiah Stewart has been on the court for 30.7 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. The Pistons have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court. The Detroit Pistons check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.4
Best Odds
Over
-130

Rudy Gobert has made 69.5% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 5.4% more than he's converted overall this season. Among all players in the league, Rudy Gobert measures in the 86th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 32.5 minutes per game this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games while playing away from home. The matchup with Jalen Duren rates in only the 96th percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting Cs scoring a massive 16.2 points per game this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-speediest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Detroit Pistons).

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.4
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.4

Rudy Gobert has made 69.5% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 5.4% more than he's converted overall this season. Among all players in the league, Rudy Gobert measures in the 86th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 32.5 minutes per game this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games while playing away from home. The matchup with Jalen Duren rates in only the 96th percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting Cs scoring a massive 16.2 points per game this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-speediest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Detroit Pistons).

Bojan Bogdanovic Points Scored Props • Detroit

B. Bogdanovic
small forward SF • Detroit
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18
Best Odds
Over
-113

Bojan Bogdanovic has attempted 7.4 threes per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 6.0 mark last season. Bojan Bogdanovic has tallied 33.7 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking in the 89th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. The Pistons have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court. The Detroit Pistons check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists). While playing away from home, the Timberwolves have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Bojan Bogdanovic

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18

Bojan Bogdanovic has attempted 7.4 threes per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 6.0 mark last season. Bojan Bogdanovic has tallied 33.7 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking in the 89th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. The Pistons have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court. The Detroit Pistons check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists). While playing away from home, the Timberwolves have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Karl-Anthony Towns Points Scored Props • Minnesota

K. Towns
center C • Minnesota
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.3
Best Odds
Under
-118

Karl-Anthony Towns has committed 3.2 personal fouls per game away from his home court this year, placing him in the 95th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled 3.0 3-point attempts per game (14th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Detroit Pistons, making this a tough matchup. The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Timberwolves check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). Karl-Anthony Towns will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium tends to decrease player performance in all stat categories.

Karl-Anthony Towns

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.3
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.3

Karl-Anthony Towns has committed 3.2 personal fouls per game away from his home court this year, placing him in the 95th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled 3.0 3-point attempts per game (14th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Detroit Pistons, making this a tough matchup. The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Timberwolves check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). Karl-Anthony Towns will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium tends to decrease player performance in all stat categories.

Jalen Duren Points Scored Props • Detroit

J. Duren
center C • Detroit
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.8
Best Odds
Over
-122

Jalen Duren has sunk 8.2 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year. The Pistons have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court. The Detroit Pistons check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists). While playing away from home, the Timberwolves have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Jalen Duren has successfully made a terrific 70.3% of his free throws this season, significantly higher than his 61.3 rate last season.

Jalen Duren

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.8
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.8

Jalen Duren has sunk 8.2 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year. The Pistons have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court. The Detroit Pistons check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists). While playing away from home, the Timberwolves have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Jalen Duren has successfully made a terrific 70.3% of his free throws this season, significantly higher than his 61.3 rate last season.

Kevin Knox II Points Scored Props • Detroit

K. Knox II
small forward SF • Detroit
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Kevin Knox II has attempted 4.8 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. Kevin Knox II has played 26.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.0 more than he's played in all games this season. The Pistons have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court. The Detroit Pistons check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists). While playing away from home, the Timberwolves have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Kevin Knox II

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.6
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.6

Kevin Knox II has attempted 4.8 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. Kevin Knox II has played 26.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.0 more than he's played in all games this season. The Pistons have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court. The Detroit Pistons check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists). While playing away from home, the Timberwolves have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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