Charlotte 13th EASTERN CONFERENCE21-61
Minnesota 3rd WESTERN CONFERENCE56-26
BSN

Charlotte @ Minnesota props

Target Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Brandon Miller Points Scored Props • Charlotte

B. Miller
small forward SF • Charlotte
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.6
Best Odds
Over
-120

Brandon Miller has attempted 6.5 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 10 games while playing away from home, 1.1 higher than he's attempted overall this year on the road. Out of all players in the NBA, Brandon Miller rates in the 77th percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 29.8 minutes per game on the road this year. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Charlotte Hornets rank 2ndbest in in the league with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Brandon Miller has converted 85.7% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 10.3% more than he's converted over the course of the year on the road.

Brandon Miller

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.6
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.6

Brandon Miller has attempted 6.5 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 10 games while playing away from home, 1.1 higher than he's attempted overall this year on the road. Out of all players in the NBA, Brandon Miller rates in the 77th percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 29.8 minutes per game on the road this year. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Charlotte Hornets rank 2ndbest in in the league with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Brandon Miller has converted 85.7% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 10.3% more than he's converted over the course of the year on the road.

Naz Reid Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Reid
center C • Minnesota
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Naz Reid has successfully made 2.6 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 more than he's converted from three in all games this year. In terms of three-pointers, the Timberwolves's stellar 40.0% rate of sunk threes settles in as the 2nd-highest in the league over the last 25 games. Over the last 25 games, opposing teams have averaged 32.3 3-point attempts per game (5th-lowest in the NBA) against the Hornets, creating a hard matchup. Naz Reid will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium tends to boost player production in all facets of the game.

Naz Reid

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.7
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.7

Naz Reid has successfully made 2.6 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 more than he's converted from three in all games this year. In terms of three-pointers, the Timberwolves's stellar 40.0% rate of sunk threes settles in as the 2nd-highest in the league over the last 25 games. Over the last 25 games, opposing teams have averaged 32.3 3-point attempts per game (5th-lowest in the NBA) against the Hornets, creating a hard matchup. Naz Reid will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium tends to boost player production in all facets of the game.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Alexander-Walker
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has made 43.2% of his three-point shots over the last 13 games at home, 14.0% higher than he's converted from 3-point range overall this season playing at home. In terms of three-pointers, the Timberwolves's stellar 40.0% rate of sunk threes settles in as the 2nd-highest in the league over the last 25 games. Nickeil Alexander-Walker has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 66.7% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year while playing at home. Nickeil Alexander-Walker stands to see an increase in efficiency in all stat categories due to having the home court advantage in this matchup.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.8
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.8

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has made 43.2% of his three-point shots over the last 13 games at home, 14.0% higher than he's converted from 3-point range overall this season playing at home. In terms of three-pointers, the Timberwolves's stellar 40.0% rate of sunk threes settles in as the 2nd-highest in the league over the last 25 games. Nickeil Alexander-Walker has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 66.7% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year while playing at home. Nickeil Alexander-Walker stands to see an increase in efficiency in all stat categories due to having the home court advantage in this matchup.

P.J. Washington Points Scored Props • Charlotte

P. Washington
power forward PF • Charlotte
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.2
Best Odds
Over
-120

Among all players in the NBA, P.J. Washington rates in the 82nd percentile for 3-point attempts away from home, logging 5.2 per game this year. This matchup is a challenging one for 3-pointers; when the Minnesota Timberwolves are playing at home, opposing teams have posted the 3rd-lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (33.1%). When at home and guarding other starting Cs, Rudy Gobert ranks in the 100th percentile with a monstrous 2.8 threes attempted against him per game this year. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Charlotte Hornets rank 2ndbest in in the league with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

P.J. Washington

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.2
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.2

Among all players in the NBA, P.J. Washington rates in the 82nd percentile for 3-point attempts away from home, logging 5.2 per game this year. This matchup is a challenging one for 3-pointers; when the Minnesota Timberwolves are playing at home, opposing teams have posted the 3rd-lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (33.1%). When at home and guarding other starting Cs, Rudy Gobert ranks in the 100th percentile with a monstrous 2.8 threes attempted against him per game this year. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Charlotte Hornets rank 2ndbest in in the league with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Kyle Anderson Points Scored Props • Minnesota

K. Anderson
small forward SF • Minnesota
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.4
Best Odds
Over
+105
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.4
Best Odds
Over
+105
Projection Rating

Kyle Anderson has successfully made 66.7% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games, 44.1% higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year. In terms of three-pointers, the Timberwolves's stellar 40.0% rate of sunk threes settles in as the 2nd-highest in the league over the last 25 games. Over the last 25 games, opposing teams have averaged 32.3 3-point attempts per game (5th-lowest in the NBA) against the Hornets, creating a hard matchup. Kyle Anderson will likely see a spike in effectiveness across the board due to holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Kyle Anderson

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.4
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.4

Kyle Anderson has successfully made 66.7% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games, 44.1% higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year. In terms of three-pointers, the Timberwolves's stellar 40.0% rate of sunk threes settles in as the 2nd-highest in the league over the last 25 games. Over the last 25 games, opposing teams have averaged 32.3 3-point attempts per game (5th-lowest in the NBA) against the Hornets, creating a hard matchup. Kyle Anderson will likely see a spike in effectiveness across the board due to holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.3
Best Odds
Under
-115

Among all players in the league, Rudy Gobert registers in the 6th percentile for three-point performance while on his home court with a an unimpressive 0.0% rate this year. The slowest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Timberwolves. The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions today from being pitted against the 2nd-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Hornets). The Timberwolves check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists). Away from home, the Hornets have given up the 9th-most offensive boards per game (11.3) in the league to the other team over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.3
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.3

Among all players in the league, Rudy Gobert registers in the 6th percentile for three-point performance while on his home court with a an unimpressive 0.0% rate this year. The slowest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Timberwolves. The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions today from being pitted against the 2nd-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Hornets). The Timberwolves check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists). Away from home, the Hornets have given up the 9th-most offensive boards per game (11.3) in the league to the other team over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Jaden McDaniels Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. McDaniels
small forward SF • Minnesota
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.2
Best Odds
Under
-125

Jaden McDaniels has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling. The slowest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Timberwolves. The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions today from being pitted against the 2nd-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Hornets). The Timberwolves check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists). Away from home, the Hornets have given up the 9th-most offensive boards per game (11.3) in the league to the other team over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Jaden McDaniels

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.2
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.2

Jaden McDaniels has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling. The slowest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Timberwolves. The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions today from being pitted against the 2nd-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Hornets). The Timberwolves check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists). Away from home, the Hornets have given up the 9th-most offensive boards per game (11.3) in the league to the other team over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Terry Rozier Points Scored Props • Charlotte

T. Rozier
point guard PG • Charlotte
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.7
Best Odds
Over
-114

Out of all players in the league, Terry Rozier comes in at the 95th percentile for shots from the field, totaling 18.5 per game this year. Terry Rozier has attempted 9.2 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 1.4 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. Terry Rozier has played 35.3 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, putting him in the 96th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Charlotte Hornets rank 2ndbest in in the league with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting SGs have attempted 3.6 foul shots per game (25th-most in the league) vs. the Timberwolves, easily managing to draw fouls.

Terry Rozier

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.7
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.7

Out of all players in the league, Terry Rozier comes in at the 95th percentile for shots from the field, totaling 18.5 per game this year. Terry Rozier has attempted 9.2 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 1.4 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. Terry Rozier has played 35.3 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, putting him in the 96th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Charlotte Hornets rank 2ndbest in in the league with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting SGs have attempted 3.6 foul shots per game (25th-most in the league) vs. the Timberwolves, easily managing to draw fouls.

Anthony Edwards Points Scored Props • Minnesota

A. Edwards
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.3
Best Odds
Under
-120

The slowest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Timberwolves. The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions today from being pitted against the 2nd-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Hornets). The Timberwolves check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists). Away from home, the Hornets have given up the 9th-most offensive boards per game (11.3) in the league to the other team over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Anthony Edwards

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.3
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.3

The slowest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Timberwolves. The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions today from being pitted against the 2nd-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Hornets). The Timberwolves check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists). Away from home, the Hornets have given up the 9th-most offensive boards per game (11.3) in the league to the other team over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11
Best Odds
Over
-102

Mike Conley has played 33.4 minutes per game over the last 14 games when playing at home, 4.8 more than he's played in all games this season at home. In terms of three-pointers, the Timberwolves's stellar 40.0% rate of sunk threes settles in as the 2nd-highest in the league over the last 25 games. Mike Conley has converted 3.0 free throws per game over the last 14 games at home, 2.4 more than he's converted in all games this season with the home court advantage. Mike Conley will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home usually boosts player performance for all stats.

Mike Conley

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11

Mike Conley has played 33.4 minutes per game over the last 14 games when playing at home, 4.8 more than he's played in all games this season at home. In terms of three-pointers, the Timberwolves's stellar 40.0% rate of sunk threes settles in as the 2nd-highest in the league over the last 25 games. Mike Conley has converted 3.0 free throws per game over the last 14 games at home, 2.4 more than he's converted in all games this season with the home court advantage. Mike Conley will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home usually boosts player performance for all stats.

LaMelo Ball Points Scored Props • Charlotte

L. Ball
point guard PG • Charlotte
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
22
Best Odds
Over
-112

Out of all players in the NBA, LaMelo Ball registers in the 82nd percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 30.8 minutes per game while on the road this year. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Charlotte Hornets rank 2ndbest in in the league with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. LaMelo Ball has sunk 5.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's made over the course of the season.

LaMelo Ball

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22

Out of all players in the NBA, LaMelo Ball registers in the 82nd percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 30.8 minutes per game while on the road this year. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Charlotte Hornets rank 2ndbest in in the league with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. LaMelo Ball has sunk 5.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's made over the course of the season.

Karl-Anthony Towns Points Scored Props • Minnesota

K. Towns
center C • Minnesota
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
22
Best Odds
Over
-125

Karl-Anthony Towns has made 2.6 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 higher than he's made from downtown in all games this season. Among all players in the NBA, Karl-Anthony Towns lands in the 86th percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 32.6 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year. In terms of three-pointers, the Timberwolves's stellar 40.0% rate of sunk threes settles in as the 2nd-highest in the league over the last 25 games. The matchup vs. the Hornets is a good one for field goals; the opposing team's starting PFs have compiled the 30th-highest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (55.8%). Karl-Anthony Towns has sunk 4.2 foul shots per game this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the league.

Karl-Anthony Towns

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22

Karl-Anthony Towns has made 2.6 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 higher than he's made from downtown in all games this season. Among all players in the NBA, Karl-Anthony Towns lands in the 86th percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 32.6 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year. In terms of three-pointers, the Timberwolves's stellar 40.0% rate of sunk threes settles in as the 2nd-highest in the league over the last 25 games. The matchup vs. the Hornets is a good one for field goals; the opposing team's starting PFs have compiled the 30th-highest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (55.8%). Karl-Anthony Towns has sunk 4.2 foul shots per game this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the league.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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