LIVE 03:10 3rd Oct 6
DEN 71 2.5 o216.5
BOS 103 -2.5 u216.5
NY -3.0 o217.5
CHA 3.0 u217.5
WAS -3.5 o220.5
TOR 3.5 u220.5
MIL 1.0 o218.5
DET -1.0 u218.5
PHO 2.5 o221.0
LAL -2.5 u221.0
LA 4th WESTERN CONFERENCE51-31
Boston 1st EASTERN CONFERENCE64-18
NBALP

LA @ Boston props

TD Garden

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Kawhi Leonard Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

K. Leonard
small forward SF • L.A. Clippers
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.2
Best Odds
Under
-130

The LA Clippers have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the league away from their home court this year. The LA Clippers are expected to see a decline in opportunities today from facing the 5th-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Boston Celtics). The Celtics have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the league to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Kawhi Leonard has sunk a measly 3.7 free throws per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 4.8 mark last year. As a team, the LA Clippers have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the free-throw line of late: 4th-worst in the NBA over the last 10 games, tallying a mere 20.5 free throws per game.

Kawhi Leonard

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.2
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.2

The LA Clippers have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the league away from their home court this year. The LA Clippers are expected to see a decline in opportunities today from facing the 5th-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Boston Celtics). The Celtics have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the league to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Kawhi Leonard has sunk a measly 3.7 free throws per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 4.8 mark last year. As a team, the LA Clippers have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the free-throw line of late: 4th-worst in the NBA over the last 10 games, tallying a mere 20.5 free throws per game.

James Harden Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

J. Harden
shooting guard SG • L.A. Clippers
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
18
Best Odds
Under
-120

The LA Clippers have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the league away from their home court this year. The LA Clippers are expected to see a decline in opportunities today from facing the 5th-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Boston Celtics). The Celtics have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the league to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). In contrast to last year's 5.2 clip, James Harden's free throws drained have diminished this year to 4.3 per game. As a team, the LA Clippers have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the free-throw line of late: 4th-worst in the NBA over the last 10 games, tallying a mere 20.5 free throws per game.

James Harden

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18

The LA Clippers have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the league away from their home court this year. The LA Clippers are expected to see a decline in opportunities today from facing the 5th-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Boston Celtics). The Celtics have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the league to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). In contrast to last year's 5.2 clip, James Harden's free throws drained have diminished this year to 4.3 per game. As a team, the LA Clippers have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the free-throw line of late: 4th-worst in the NBA over the last 10 games, tallying a mere 20.5 free throws per game.

Russell Westbrook Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

R. Westbrook
point guard PG • L.A. Clippers
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.7
Best Odds
Over
-128
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.7
Best Odds
Over
-128
Projection Rating

Russell Westbrook has logged 16.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.9 higher than he's logged in all games this season. Russell Westbrook has successfully made 50.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 26.5% higher than he's made from downtown in all games this season. This matchup is a difficult one for field goals; when the Celtics are playing at home, opposing clubs have posted the 2nd-lowest field goal percentage in the league against them this year (44.3%). Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, and the LA Clippers grade out 6thbest in in the league while playing on the road with 11.0 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. Russell Westbrook has attempted 4.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.

Russell Westbrook

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.7
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.7

Russell Westbrook has logged 16.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.9 higher than he's logged in all games this season. Russell Westbrook has successfully made 50.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 26.5% higher than he's made from downtown in all games this season. This matchup is a difficult one for field goals; when the Celtics are playing at home, opposing clubs have posted the 2nd-lowest field goal percentage in the league against them this year (44.3%). Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, and the LA Clippers grade out 6thbest in in the league while playing on the road with 11.0 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. Russell Westbrook has attempted 4.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.

Paul George Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

P. George
small forward SF • L.A. Clippers
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.3
Best Odds
Over
-110

Paul George has averaged 23.4 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league by this metric: 94th percentile. Paul George has converted 4.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 10 games, 0.7 more than he's made from three over the course of the year. Among all players in the NBA, Paul George places in the 94th percentile for playing time, putting up an enormous 34.5 minutes per game this year. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, and the LA Clippers grade out 6thbest in in the league while playing on the road with 11.0 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. This year when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 3.9 foul shots per game (23rd-highest in the league) against the Boston Celtics, succeeding in their efforts to get to the free-throw line.

Paul George

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.3
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.3

Paul George has averaged 23.4 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league by this metric: 94th percentile. Paul George has converted 4.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 10 games, 0.7 more than he's made from three over the course of the year. Among all players in the NBA, Paul George places in the 94th percentile for playing time, putting up an enormous 34.5 minutes per game this year. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, and the LA Clippers grade out 6thbest in in the league while playing on the road with 11.0 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. This year when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 3.9 foul shots per game (23rd-highest in the league) against the Boston Celtics, succeeding in their efforts to get to the free-throw line.

Al Horford Points Scored Props • Boston

A. Horford
center C • Boston
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.6
Best Odds
Under
-117

Al Horford has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the season. The showdown with Mason Plumlee measures in the 3rd percentile for difficulty with rival starting Cs scoring a mere 0.3 3-point shots per game this year. The 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Boston Celtics. The LA Clippers have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the NBA while traveling this year, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Boston Celtics. While playing on the road, the LA Clippers have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.7) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Al Horford

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.6
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.6

Al Horford has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the season. The showdown with Mason Plumlee measures in the 3rd percentile for difficulty with rival starting Cs scoring a mere 0.3 3-point shots per game this year. The 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Boston Celtics. The LA Clippers have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the NBA while traveling this year, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Boston Celtics. While playing on the road, the LA Clippers have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.7) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Derrick White Points Scored Props • Boston

D. White
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
17
Best Odds
Over
-115

Derrick White has attempted 9.4 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.7 higher than he's attempted overall this season. Out of all players in the league, Derrick White rates in the 85th percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 32.2 minutes per game this year. This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PGs have shot 45.6% on shot attempts from the field (24th-highest in the NBA) against the Clippers, branding this as a strong matchup. The Celtics check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). Derrick White has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 10.4% more than he's made in all games this season at home.

Derrick White

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17

Derrick White has attempted 9.4 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.7 higher than he's attempted overall this season. Out of all players in the league, Derrick White rates in the 85th percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 32.2 minutes per game this year. This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PGs have shot 45.6% on shot attempts from the field (24th-highest in the NBA) against the Clippers, branding this as a strong matchup. The Celtics check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). Derrick White has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 10.4% more than he's made in all games this season at home.

Payton Pritchard Points Scored Props • Boston

P. Pritchard
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9
Best Odds
Over
+102
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9
Best Odds
Over
+102
Projection Rating

Payton Pritchard has successfully made 39.9% of his 3-point attempts this year, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among all players in the league. The matchup against the Clippers is a difficult one for scoring; opposing clubs have shot for the 7th-lowest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (46.6%). The Celtics check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). Payton Pritchard has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 21.8% more than he's sunk over the course of the season. Payton Pritchard is expected to see a spike in effectiveness for all stats in light of owning the home court advantage in this contest.

Payton Pritchard

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9

Payton Pritchard has successfully made 39.9% of his 3-point attempts this year, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among all players in the league. The matchup against the Clippers is a difficult one for scoring; opposing clubs have shot for the 7th-lowest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (46.6%). The Celtics check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). Payton Pritchard has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 21.8% more than he's sunk over the course of the season. Payton Pritchard is expected to see a spike in effectiveness for all stats in light of owning the home court advantage in this contest.

Terance Mann Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

T. Mann
shooting guard SG • L.A. Clippers
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.9
Best Odds
Over
+100

Terance Mann has successfully made 47.5% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 10 games, 16.7% higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year. The matchup against the Boston Celtics is a tough one for threes; opposing squads have posted the lowest 3-point rate in the NBA over the last 15 games (30.8%). This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting SGs have tallied 6.8 three attempts per game (27th-highest in the league) against the Celtics, marking this as a strong matchup. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, and the LA Clippers grade out 6thbest in in the league while playing on the road with 11.0 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. Terance Mann has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games on the road, 37.5% higher than he's sunk overall this season away from his home court.

Terance Mann

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.9
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.9

Terance Mann has successfully made 47.5% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 10 games, 16.7% higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year. The matchup against the Boston Celtics is a tough one for threes; opposing squads have posted the lowest 3-point rate in the NBA over the last 15 games (30.8%). This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting SGs have tallied 6.8 three attempts per game (27th-highest in the league) against the Celtics, marking this as a strong matchup. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, and the LA Clippers grade out 6thbest in in the league while playing on the road with 11.0 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. Terance Mann has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games on the road, 37.5% higher than he's sunk overall this season away from his home court.

Mason Plumlee Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

M. Plumlee
center C • L.A. Clippers
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.2
Best Odds
Under
-115

In comparison to last year's 6.0 clip, Mason Plumlee's shots taken have diminished this year to 3.6 per game. The LA Clippers have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the league away from their home court this year. The LA Clippers are expected to see a decline in opportunities today from facing the 5th-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Boston Celtics). The Celtics have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the league to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Relative to last year's 67.1% rate, Mason Plumlee's free-throw ability has regressed this year to 52.6%.

Mason Plumlee

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.2
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.2

In comparison to last year's 6.0 clip, Mason Plumlee's shots taken have diminished this year to 3.6 per game. The LA Clippers have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the league away from their home court this year. The LA Clippers are expected to see a decline in opportunities today from facing the 5th-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Boston Celtics). The Celtics have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the league to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Relative to last year's 67.1% rate, Mason Plumlee's free-throw ability has regressed this year to 52.6%.

Jaylen Brown Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Brown
shooting guard SG • Boston
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.7
Best Odds
Over
-125

Out of all players in the NBA, Jaylen Brown slots into the 89th percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 33.4 minutes per game this year. The Celtics check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). Jaylen Brown has converted 4.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.4 more than he's put through the net overall this year while on his home court. Jaylen Brown should see a spike in output in all stat categories as a result of owning the home court advantage in this contest.

Jaylen Brown

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.7
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.7

Out of all players in the NBA, Jaylen Brown slots into the 89th percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 33.4 minutes per game this year. The Celtics check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). Jaylen Brown has converted 4.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.4 more than he's put through the net overall this year while on his home court. Jaylen Brown should see a spike in output in all stat categories as a result of owning the home court advantage in this contest.

Norman Powell Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

N. Powell
shooting guard SG • L.A. Clippers
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.1
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.1
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Norman Powell has converted 2.9 shots from downtown per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.8 more than he's made from 3-point range overall this season away from his home court. This matchup is a difficult one for field goals; when the Celtics are playing at home, opposing clubs have posted the 2nd-lowest field goal percentage in the league against them this year (44.3%). Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, and the LA Clippers grade out 6thbest in in the league while playing on the road with 11.0 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. Norman Powell has made 95.0% of his foul shots over the last 10 games on the road, 9.5% higher than he's converted overall this year when playing on the road. The matchup against the Celtics is a tough one for getting to the foul line; opposing squads have attempted a measly 19.2 foul shots per game this year (least in the NBA).

Norman Powell

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.1
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.1

Norman Powell has converted 2.9 shots from downtown per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.8 more than he's made from 3-point range overall this season away from his home court. This matchup is a difficult one for field goals; when the Celtics are playing at home, opposing clubs have posted the 2nd-lowest field goal percentage in the league against them this year (44.3%). Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, and the LA Clippers grade out 6thbest in in the league while playing on the road with 11.0 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. Norman Powell has made 95.0% of his foul shots over the last 10 games on the road, 9.5% higher than he's converted overall this year when playing on the road. The matchup against the Celtics is a tough one for getting to the foul line; opposing squads have attempted a measly 19.2 foul shots per game this year (least in the NBA).

Sam Hauser Points Scored Props • Boston

S. Hauser
small forward SF • Boston
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.5
Best Odds
Over
+115
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.5
Best Odds
Over
+115
Projection Rating

Compared to last season's 3.8 rate, Sam Hauser's shot attempts from downtown have increased this season to 5.4 per game. The matchup against the Clippers is a difficult one for scoring; opposing clubs have shot for the 7th-lowest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (46.6%). The Celtics check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). Sam Hauser has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games, 16.7% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season. Sam Hauser will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium usually improves player production for all stats.

Sam Hauser

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.5
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.5

Compared to last season's 3.8 rate, Sam Hauser's shot attempts from downtown have increased this season to 5.4 per game. The matchup against the Clippers is a difficult one for scoring; opposing clubs have shot for the 7th-lowest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (46.6%). The Celtics check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). Sam Hauser has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games, 16.7% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season. Sam Hauser will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium usually improves player production for all stats.

Jrue Holiday Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Holiday
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14
Best Odds
Over
-114

Jrue Holiday has sunk 3.8 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year. Among all players in the league, Jrue Holiday registers in the 88th percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 33.0 minutes per game at home this year. The Celtics check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). Jrue Holiday has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 16.8% higher than he's put through the net in all games this year. The matchup vs. the LA Clippers may be a strong one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a monstrous 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (26th-most in the league).

Jrue Holiday

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14

Jrue Holiday has sunk 3.8 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year. Among all players in the league, Jrue Holiday registers in the 88th percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 33.0 minutes per game at home this year. The Celtics check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). Jrue Holiday has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 16.8% higher than he's put through the net in all games this year. The matchup vs. the LA Clippers may be a strong one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a monstrous 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (26th-most in the league).

Jayson Tatum Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Tatum
small forward SF • Boston
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
29
Best Odds
Over
-125

Out of all players in the league, Jayson Tatum ranks in the 98th percentile, tallying a monstrous 27.0 points per game this year. Among all players in the league, Jayson Tatum lands in the 96th percentile for playing time, averaging a massive 35.5 minutes per game while at home this year. The Celtics check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). Jayson Tatum has converted 7.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season. The matchup against the Clippers is a positive one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PFs have attempted a colossal 4.1 foul shots per game this year (22nd-most in the NBA).

Jayson Tatum

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 29
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
29

Out of all players in the league, Jayson Tatum ranks in the 98th percentile, tallying a monstrous 27.0 points per game this year. Among all players in the league, Jayson Tatum lands in the 96th percentile for playing time, averaging a massive 35.5 minutes per game while at home this year. The Celtics check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). Jayson Tatum has converted 7.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season. The matchup against the Clippers is a positive one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PFs have attempted a colossal 4.1 foul shots per game this year (22nd-most in the NBA).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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