Milwaukee 3rd EASTERN CONFERENCE49-33
Denver 2nd WESTERN CONFERENCE57-25
TSN, BSN, Altitude Sports

Milwaukee @ Denver props

Ball Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Reggie Jackson Points Scored Props • Denver

R. Jackson
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
10
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
10
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Reggie Jackson has successfully made 53.1% of his three-point attempts over the last 10 games at home, 12.1% more than he's converted from downtown in all games this season with the home court advantage. Over the last 15 games when they are on their home court, opposing teams have averaged 33.2 three attempts per game (6th-fewest in the league) against the Bucks, identifying this as a tough matchup. The Denver Nuggets will likely see a spike in possessions today from facing the speediest tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Milwaukee Bucks). The Denver Nuggets check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Reggie Jackson has successfully made 91.7% of his foul shots over the last 15 games at home, 15.6% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year while playing at home.

Reggie Jackson

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10

Reggie Jackson has successfully made 53.1% of his three-point attempts over the last 10 games at home, 12.1% more than he's converted from downtown in all games this season with the home court advantage. Over the last 15 games when they are on their home court, opposing teams have averaged 33.2 three attempts per game (6th-fewest in the league) against the Bucks, identifying this as a tough matchup. The Denver Nuggets will likely see a spike in possessions today from facing the speediest tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Milwaukee Bucks). The Denver Nuggets check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Reggie Jackson has successfully made 91.7% of his foul shots over the last 15 games at home, 15.6% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year while playing at home.

Malik Beasley Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

M. Beasley
shooting guard SG • Milwaukee
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Over
+100

Among all players in the NBA, Malik Beasley ranks in the 95th percentile for 3-pointers hit, compiling 2.8 per game this year. In terms of offense, the Bucks's superb 122.9 points per game as the away team places most in the league this year. The matchup against Denver is a positive one; when the Denver Nuggets are playing at home, they have given up the 29th-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SGs over the last 5 games (20.4). The quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Bucks. Malik Beasley has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts when playing away from home this year, ranking in the 100th percentile out of all players in the league.

Malik Beasley

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.2
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.2

Among all players in the NBA, Malik Beasley ranks in the 95th percentile for 3-pointers hit, compiling 2.8 per game this year. In terms of offense, the Bucks's superb 122.9 points per game as the away team places most in the league this year. The matchup against Denver is a positive one; when the Denver Nuggets are playing at home, they have given up the 29th-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SGs over the last 5 games (20.4). The quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Bucks. Malik Beasley has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts when playing away from home this year, ranking in the 100th percentile out of all players in the league.

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

G. Antetokounmpo
small forward SF • Milwaukee
Prop
31.5
Points Scored
Projection
28.8
Best Odds
Under
-120

This year, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 3.7 3-point attempts per game (12th-lowest in the league) vs. the Nuggets, designating this as a hard matchup. The Denver Nuggets have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should decrease plays for the Bucks. The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 10 games when they are away from home, opposing squads have grabbed 10.5 offensive boards per game (10th-most in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets (maintaining possessions that can spark more chances for offense). This year, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) against the Denver Nuggets, struggling to get to the free-throw line.

Giannis Antetokounmpo

Prop: 31.5 Points Scored
Projection: 28.8
Prop:
31.5 Points Scored
Projection:
28.8

This year, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 3.7 3-point attempts per game (12th-lowest in the league) vs. the Nuggets, designating this as a hard matchup. The Denver Nuggets have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should decrease plays for the Bucks. The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 10 games when they are away from home, opposing squads have grabbed 10.5 offensive boards per game (10th-most in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets (maintaining possessions that can spark more chances for offense). This year, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) against the Denver Nuggets, struggling to get to the free-throw line.

Peyton Watson Points Scored Props • Denver

P. Watson
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.2
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.2
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Peyton Watson has sunk 60.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 13 games at home, 30.8% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season playing at home. Over the last 15 games when they are on their home court, opposing teams have averaged 33.2 three attempts per game (6th-fewest in the league) against the Bucks, identifying this as a tough matchup. The Denver Nuggets will likely see a spike in possessions today from facing the speediest tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Milwaukee Bucks). The Denver Nuggets check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). In contrast to last year's 45.7% clip, Peyton Watson's foul-shot effectiveness has spiked this year to 62.0%.

Peyton Watson

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.2
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.2

Peyton Watson has sunk 60.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 13 games at home, 30.8% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season playing at home. Over the last 15 games when they are on their home court, opposing teams have averaged 33.2 three attempts per game (6th-fewest in the league) against the Bucks, identifying this as a tough matchup. The Denver Nuggets will likely see a spike in possessions today from facing the speediest tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Milwaukee Bucks). The Denver Nuggets check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). In contrast to last year's 45.7% clip, Peyton Watson's foul-shot effectiveness has spiked this year to 62.0%.

Brook Lopez Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

B. Lopez
center C • Milwaukee
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.5
Best Odds
Over
-120

Brook Lopez has converted 51.0% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 5.6% more than he's converted over the course of the season on the road. Brook Lopez has tallied 30.5 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, putting him in the 80th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. In terms of offense, the Bucks's superb 122.9 points per game as the away team places most in the league this year. Over the last 5 games, opposing clubs have shot 30.4% on 3-pointers (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, branding this as a hard matchup. The number of field goal attempts against Nikola Jokic has been quite high (11.3 per game) when squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year (93rd percentile).

Brook Lopez

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.5
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.5

Brook Lopez has converted 51.0% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 5.6% more than he's converted over the course of the season on the road. Brook Lopez has tallied 30.5 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, putting him in the 80th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. In terms of offense, the Bucks's superb 122.9 points per game as the away team places most in the league this year. Over the last 5 games, opposing clubs have shot 30.4% on 3-pointers (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, branding this as a hard matchup. The number of field goal attempts against Nikola Jokic has been quite high (11.3 per game) when squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year (93rd percentile).

Bobby Portis Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

B. Portis
power forward PF • Milwaukee
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Bobby Portis has sunk 44.3% of his 3-point attempts over the last 10 games, 12.8% higher than he's converted from 3-point range overall this season. In terms of offense, the Bucks's superb 122.9 points per game as the away team places most in the league this year. This year, opposing squads have tallied 11.3 three-pointers per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) against the Nuggets, resulting in a tough matchup. The quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Bucks.

Bobby Portis

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.8
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.8

Bobby Portis has sunk 44.3% of his 3-point attempts over the last 10 games, 12.8% higher than he's converted from 3-point range overall this season. In terms of offense, the Bucks's superb 122.9 points per game as the away team places most in the league this year. This year, opposing squads have tallied 11.3 three-pointers per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) against the Nuggets, resulting in a tough matchup. The quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Bucks.

Nikola Jokic Points Scored Props • Denver

N. Jokic
center C • Denver
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.7
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
27.5 Points Scored
Projection
26.7
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

Nikola Jokic has committed 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while at home, 0.8 more than he's committed in all games this year at home. The Nuggets have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games. This year, their opposition has grabbed 11.0 offensive boards per game (10th-most in the NBA) vs. the Bucks (continuing possessions that can produce more opportunities for offense). As a team, the Denver Nuggets have been poor at getting to the free-throw line: 5th-worst in the NBA this year, drawing a lowly 21.0 foul shot attempts per game. The clash with Brook Lopez when it comes to drawing fouls rates in the 7th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs attempting a mere 2.5 free throws per game this year.

Nikola Jokic

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.7
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.7

Nikola Jokic has committed 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while at home, 0.8 more than he's committed in all games this year at home. The Nuggets have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games. This year, their opposition has grabbed 11.0 offensive boards per game (10th-most in the NBA) vs. the Bucks (continuing possessions that can produce more opportunities for offense). As a team, the Denver Nuggets have been poor at getting to the free-throw line: 5th-worst in the NBA this year, drawing a lowly 21.0 foul shot attempts per game. The clash with Brook Lopez when it comes to drawing fouls rates in the 7th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs attempting a mere 2.5 free throws per game this year.

Damian Lillard Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

D. Lillard
point guard PG • Milwaukee
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.4
Best Odds
Over
-110

Damian Lillard has played 34.7 minutes per game away from home this year, ranking in the 94th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. In terms of offense, the Bucks's superb 122.9 points per game as the away team places most in the league this year. The quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Bucks. The matchup vs. Denver may be a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a monstrous 6.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Nuggets are playing at home (28th-most in the league).

Damian Lillard

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.4
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.4

Damian Lillard has played 34.7 minutes per game away from home this year, ranking in the 94th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. In terms of offense, the Bucks's superb 122.9 points per game as the away team places most in the league this year. The quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Bucks. The matchup vs. Denver may be a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a monstrous 6.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Nuggets are playing at home (28th-most in the league).

Pat Connaughton Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

P. Connaughton
shooting guard SG • Milwaukee
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
4.5
Best Odds
Over
+118
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
4.5
Best Odds
Over
+118
Projection Rating

Pat Connaughton has converted 47.1% of his 3-point attempts over the last 15 games, 10.4% more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this season. In terms of offense, the Bucks's superb 122.9 points per game as the away team places most in the league this year. This year, opposing squads have tallied 11.3 three-pointers per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) against the Nuggets, resulting in a tough matchup. The quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Bucks. Pat Connaughton has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 10 games, 25.0% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year.

Pat Connaughton

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 4.5
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
4.5

Pat Connaughton has converted 47.1% of his 3-point attempts over the last 15 games, 10.4% more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this season. In terms of offense, the Bucks's superb 122.9 points per game as the away team places most in the league this year. This year, opposing squads have tallied 11.3 three-pointers per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) against the Nuggets, resulting in a tough matchup. The quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Bucks. Pat Connaughton has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 10 games, 25.0% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points Scored Props • Denver

K. Caldwell-Pope
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds
Under
-110

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has been called for 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 15 games, 0.1 higher than he's been called for over the course of the season. The Nuggets have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games. This year, their opposition has grabbed 11.0 offensive boards per game (10th-most in the NBA) vs. the Bucks (continuing possessions that can produce more opportunities for offense). As a team, the Denver Nuggets have been poor at getting to the free-throw line: 5th-worst in the NBA this year, drawing a lowly 21.0 foul shot attempts per game.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.4
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.4

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has been called for 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 15 games, 0.1 higher than he's been called for over the course of the season. The Nuggets have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games. This year, their opposition has grabbed 11.0 offensive boards per game (10th-most in the NBA) vs. the Bucks (continuing possessions that can produce more opportunities for offense). As a team, the Denver Nuggets have been poor at getting to the free-throw line: 5th-worst in the NBA this year, drawing a lowly 21.0 foul shot attempts per game.

Michael Porter Jr. Points Scored Props • Denver

M. Porter Jr.
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.9
Best Odds
Over
-114
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.9
Best Odds
Over
-114
Projection Rating

Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 8.2 baskets per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.3 higher than he's sunk over the course of the year playing at home. Among all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. rates in the 82nd percentile for playing time, registering a massive 31.3 minutes per game this year. This year when they are at home, the other team's starting SFs have totaled 7.0 field goals per game (28th-highest in the league) against the Milwaukee Bucks, designating this as a strong matchup. The Denver Nuggets will likely see a spike in possessions today from facing the speediest tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Milwaukee Bucks). The Denver Nuggets check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Michael Porter Jr.

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.9
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.9

Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 8.2 baskets per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.3 higher than he's sunk over the course of the year playing at home. Among all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. rates in the 82nd percentile for playing time, registering a massive 31.3 minutes per game this year. This year when they are at home, the other team's starting SFs have totaled 7.0 field goals per game (28th-highest in the league) against the Milwaukee Bucks, designating this as a strong matchup. The Denver Nuggets will likely see a spike in possessions today from facing the speediest tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Milwaukee Bucks). The Denver Nuggets check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Aaron Gordon Points Scored Props • Denver

A. Gordon
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14
Best Odds
Over
-122

Aaron Gordon has made 68.5% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games at home, 6.9% more than he's put through the net overall this season when playing at home. Out of all players in the NBA, Aaron Gordon comes in at the 82nd percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 31.2 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled 1.8 3-pointers per game (24th-most in the league) vs. the Bucks, identifying this as a good matchup. The Denver Nuggets will likely see a spike in possessions today from facing the speediest tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Milwaukee Bucks). The Denver Nuggets check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Aaron Gordon

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14

Aaron Gordon has made 68.5% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games at home, 6.9% more than he's put through the net overall this season when playing at home. Out of all players in the NBA, Aaron Gordon comes in at the 82nd percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 31.2 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled 1.8 3-pointers per game (24th-most in the league) vs. the Bucks, identifying this as a good matchup. The Denver Nuggets will likely see a spike in possessions today from facing the speediest tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Milwaukee Bucks). The Denver Nuggets check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Murray
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.6
Best Odds
Over
-110

Jamal Murray has attempted 18.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season. Jamal Murray has converted 3.2 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's made from three overall this season. Jamal Murray has averaged 36.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.6 more than he's averaged overall this year. The matchup against the Milwaukee Bucks is a favorable one; they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the league to opposing starting PGs this year (21.7). The Denver Nuggets will likely see a spike in possessions today from facing the speediest tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).

Jamal Murray

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.6
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.6

Jamal Murray has attempted 18.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season. Jamal Murray has converted 3.2 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's made from three overall this season. Jamal Murray has averaged 36.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.6 more than he's averaged overall this year. The matchup against the Milwaukee Bucks is a favorable one; they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the league to opposing starting PGs this year (21.7). The Denver Nuggets will likely see a spike in possessions today from facing the speediest tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).

Khris Middleton Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

K. Middleton
small forward SF • Milwaukee
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.6
Best Odds
Over
-112

Out of all players in the league, Khris Middleton lands in the 81st percentile for field goals sunk, posting a whopping 5.6 per game this year. In terms of offense, the Bucks's superb 122.9 points per game as the away team places most in the league this year. The quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Bucks. Khris Middleton has sunk 3.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 more than he's sunk overall this season.

Khris Middleton

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.6
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.6

Out of all players in the league, Khris Middleton lands in the 81st percentile for field goals sunk, posting a whopping 5.6 per game this year. In terms of offense, the Bucks's superb 122.9 points per game as the away team places most in the league this year. The quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Bucks. Khris Middleton has sunk 3.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 more than he's sunk overall this season.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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