Phoenix 6th WESTERN CONFERENCE49-33
Golden State 10th WESTERN CONFERENCE46-36
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Phoenix @ Golden State props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Draymond Green Points Scored Props • Golden State

D. Green
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9
Best Odds
Over
-105

Draymond Green has averaged 32.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 5.9 higher than he's averaged in all games this season at home. This matchup is a difficult one for three-point shots; when the Suns are on the road, their opposition has totaled the 8th-least threes per game in the league against them this year (12.4). The clash with Jusuf Nurkic registers in the 90th percentile with the opposing team's starting Cs hitting a whopping 40.4% of their treys this year. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games. The Golden State Warriors are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from competing against the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Phoenix Suns).

Draymond Green

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9

Draymond Green has averaged 32.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 5.9 higher than he's averaged in all games this season at home. This matchup is a difficult one for three-point shots; when the Suns are on the road, their opposition has totaled the 8th-least threes per game in the league against them this year (12.4). The clash with Jusuf Nurkic registers in the 90th percentile with the opposing team's starting Cs hitting a whopping 40.4% of their treys this year. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games. The Golden State Warriors are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from competing against the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Phoenix Suns).

Bradley Beal Points Scored Props • Phoenix

B. Beal
shooting guard SG • Phoenix
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
20
Best Odds
Over
-120

Bradley Beal has averaged 24.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 6.0 higher than he's averaged overall this year. Bradley Beal has converted 2.6 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's converted over the course of the year. Among all players in the NBA, Bradley Beal slots into the 90th percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 33.6 minutes per game this year. As it relates to shooting, the Suns's fantastic 125.2 points per game without the home court advantage places strongest in the league over the last 10 games. The 3rd-fastest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Suns.

Bradley Beal

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20

Bradley Beal has averaged 24.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 6.0 higher than he's averaged overall this year. Bradley Beal has converted 2.6 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's converted over the course of the year. Among all players in the NBA, Bradley Beal slots into the 90th percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 33.6 minutes per game this year. As it relates to shooting, the Suns's fantastic 125.2 points per game without the home court advantage places strongest in the league over the last 10 games. The 3rd-fastest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Suns.

Eric Gordon Points Scored Props • Phoenix

E. Gordon
shooting guard SG • Phoenix
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Over
-128
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Over
-128
Projection Rating

Eric Gordon has successfully made 47.4% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games, 9.9% more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year. Eric Gordon has averaged 30.0 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 78th percentile. As it relates to shooting, the Suns's fantastic 125.2 points per game without the home court advantage places strongest in the league over the last 10 games. The matchup against the Warriors is a difficult one for three-pointers; their opposition has posted the 2nd-lowest three percentage in the NBA over the last 5 games (31.5%). The 3rd-fastest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Suns.

Eric Gordon

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.3
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.3

Eric Gordon has successfully made 47.4% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games, 9.9% more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year. Eric Gordon has averaged 30.0 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 78th percentile. As it relates to shooting, the Suns's fantastic 125.2 points per game without the home court advantage places strongest in the league over the last 10 games. The matchup against the Warriors is a difficult one for three-pointers; their opposition has posted the 2nd-lowest three percentage in the NBA over the last 5 games (31.5%). The 3rd-fastest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Suns.

Kevin Durant Points Scored Props • Phoenix

K. Durant
small forward SF • Phoenix
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.2
Best Odds
Under
-110

Kevin Durant has averaged 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league when it comes to technicals (96th percentile). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Phoenix Suns grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with a mere 7.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. While playing at home, the Golden State Warriors have allowed the 6th-most offensive boards per game (11.5) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists). Kevin Durant has converted a lowly 5.5 free throws per game this season, quite a bit less than his 6.8 rate last season. The matchup vs. Golden State is a hard one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PFs have attempted a lowly 3.1 free throws per game this year when the Warriors are playing at home (7th-least in the league).

Kevin Durant

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.2
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.2

Kevin Durant has averaged 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league when it comes to technicals (96th percentile). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Phoenix Suns grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with a mere 7.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. While playing at home, the Golden State Warriors have allowed the 6th-most offensive boards per game (11.5) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists). Kevin Durant has converted a lowly 5.5 free throws per game this season, quite a bit less than his 6.8 rate last season. The matchup vs. Golden State is a hard one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PFs have attempted a lowly 3.1 free throws per game this year when the Warriors are playing at home (7th-least in the league).

Jonathan Kuminga Points Scored Props • Golden State

J. Kuminga
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.2
Best Odds
Over
-125

Jonathan Kuminga has sunk 9.3 shots made from the field per game over the last 10 games, 3.4 more than he's made over the course of the season. Jonathan Kuminga has tallied 33.6 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 8.3 higher than he's tallied overall this year. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games. The Golden State Warriors are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from competing against the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Phoenix Suns). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors rank 4thbest in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Jonathan Kuminga

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.2
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.2

Jonathan Kuminga has sunk 9.3 shots made from the field per game over the last 10 games, 3.4 more than he's made over the course of the season. Jonathan Kuminga has tallied 33.6 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 8.3 higher than he's tallied overall this year. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games. The Golden State Warriors are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from competing against the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Phoenix Suns). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors rank 4thbest in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Andrew Wiggins Points Scored Props • Golden State

A. Wiggins
small forward SF • Golden State
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.5
Best Odds
Over
-115

Andrew Wiggins has averaged 32.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 5.2 more than he's averaged in all games this year at home. This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting SFs have shot 41.1% on threes (23rd-best in the league) vs. the Phoenix Suns, designating this as a positive matchup. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games. The Golden State Warriors are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from competing against the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Phoenix Suns). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors rank 4thbest in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Andrew Wiggins

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.5
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.5

Andrew Wiggins has averaged 32.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 5.2 more than he's averaged in all games this year at home. This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting SFs have shot 41.1% on threes (23rd-best in the league) vs. the Phoenix Suns, designating this as a positive matchup. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games. The Golden State Warriors are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from competing against the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Phoenix Suns). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors rank 4thbest in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Grayson Allen Points Scored Props • Phoenix

G. Allen
shooting guard SG • Phoenix
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.2
Best Odds
Over
-105

Grayson Allen has successfully made 56.9% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 6.0% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season. Among all players in the league, Grayson Allen ranks in the 91st percentile for three-point effectiveness on the road with a an outstanding 45.6% rate this year. In comparison to last season's 27.5 mark, Grayson Allen's playing time has increased this season to 32.9 minutes per game. As it relates to shooting, the Suns's fantastic 125.2 points per game without the home court advantage places strongest in the league over the last 10 games. This year, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 47.0% on three-pointers (30th-best in the league) against the Warriors, identifying this as a strong matchup.

Grayson Allen

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.2
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.2

Grayson Allen has successfully made 56.9% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 6.0% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season. Among all players in the league, Grayson Allen ranks in the 91st percentile for three-point effectiveness on the road with a an outstanding 45.6% rate this year. In comparison to last season's 27.5 mark, Grayson Allen's playing time has increased this season to 32.9 minutes per game. As it relates to shooting, the Suns's fantastic 125.2 points per game without the home court advantage places strongest in the league over the last 10 games. This year, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 47.0% on three-pointers (30th-best in the league) against the Warriors, identifying this as a strong matchup.

Devin Booker Points Scored Props • Phoenix

D. Booker
shooting guard SG • Phoenix
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
28.2
Best Odds
Over
-110

Devin Booker has made 12.9 buckets per game over the last 10 games on the road, 2.1 more than he's sunk in all games this year on the road. Devin Booker has successfully made 3.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.9 higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season on the road. Devin Booker has averaged 35.9 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, ranking in the 97th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. As it relates to shooting, the Suns's fantastic 125.2 points per game without the home court advantage places strongest in the league over the last 10 games. The matchup vs. the Warriors is a positive one for threes; the other team's starting PGs have posted the 25th-highest 3-point rate in the league this year (38.4%).

Devin Booker

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 28.2
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
28.2

Devin Booker has made 12.9 buckets per game over the last 10 games on the road, 2.1 more than he's sunk in all games this year on the road. Devin Booker has successfully made 3.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.9 higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season on the road. Devin Booker has averaged 35.9 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, ranking in the 97th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. As it relates to shooting, the Suns's fantastic 125.2 points per game without the home court advantage places strongest in the league over the last 10 games. The matchup vs. the Warriors is a positive one for threes; the other team's starting PGs have posted the 25th-highest 3-point rate in the league this year (38.4%).

Klay Thompson Points Scored Props • Golden State

K. Thompson
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.1
Best Odds
Over
-114
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.1
Best Odds
Over
-114
Projection Rating

Klay Thompson has registered 20.4 points per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 3.6 higher than he's registered in all games this season at home. Out of all players in the league, Klay Thompson rates in the 77th percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 30.0 minutes per game while on his home court this year. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games. The Golden State Warriors are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from competing against the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Phoenix Suns). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors rank 4thbest in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Klay Thompson

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.1
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.1

Klay Thompson has registered 20.4 points per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 3.6 higher than he's registered in all games this season at home. Out of all players in the league, Klay Thompson rates in the 77th percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 30.0 minutes per game while on his home court this year. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games. The Golden State Warriors are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from competing against the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Phoenix Suns). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors rank 4thbest in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Stephen Curry Points Scored Props • Golden State

S. Curry
point guard PG • Golden State
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
28.3
Best Odds
Under
-110

Among all players in the NBA, Stephen Curry comes in at the 84th percentile for technical fouls, putting up an enormous 0.1 fouls per game this year. The Golden State Warriors have been the 7th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA while at home this year. This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 12.2 points per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) against the Suns, designating this as a tough matchup for offensive output. Away from home, the Phoenix Suns have allowed the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (12.0) in the league to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists). This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting PGs have attempted 2.1 free throws per game (14th-lowest in the league) vs. the Phoenix Suns, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.

Stephen Curry

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 28.3
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
28.3

Among all players in the NBA, Stephen Curry comes in at the 84th percentile for technical fouls, putting up an enormous 0.1 fouls per game this year. The Golden State Warriors have been the 7th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA while at home this year. This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 12.2 points per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) against the Suns, designating this as a tough matchup for offensive output. Away from home, the Phoenix Suns have allowed the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (12.0) in the league to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists). This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting PGs have attempted 2.1 free throws per game (14th-lowest in the league) vs. the Phoenix Suns, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.

Brandin Podziemski Points Scored Props • Golden State

B. Podziemski
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Brandin Podziemski has played 34.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.1 more than he's played overall this season. This year when they are on their home court, opposing clubs have shot 46.4% on shot attempts from the field (5th-worst in the NBA) vs. the Phoenix Suns, marking this as a hard matchup. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games. The Golden State Warriors are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from competing against the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Phoenix Suns). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors rank 4thbest in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Brandin Podziemski

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.8
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.8

Brandin Podziemski has played 34.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.1 more than he's played overall this season. This year when they are on their home court, opposing clubs have shot 46.4% on shot attempts from the field (5th-worst in the NBA) vs. the Phoenix Suns, marking this as a hard matchup. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games. The Golden State Warriors are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from competing against the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Phoenix Suns). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors rank 4thbest in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Jusuf Nurkic Points Scored Props • Phoenix

J. Nurkic
center C • Phoenix
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.7
Best Odds
Over
-110

Jusuf Nurkic has converted 64.4% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 13.5% higher than he's made over the course of the season. As it relates to shooting, the Suns's fantastic 125.2 points per game without the home court advantage places strongest in the league over the last 10 games. The 3rd-fastest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Suns. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should lead to increased possessions for the Suns. Jusuf Nurkic has attempted 4.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.

Jusuf Nurkic

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.7
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.7

Jusuf Nurkic has converted 64.4% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 13.5% higher than he's made over the course of the season. As it relates to shooting, the Suns's fantastic 125.2 points per game without the home court advantage places strongest in the league over the last 10 games. The 3rd-fastest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Suns. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should lead to increased possessions for the Suns. Jusuf Nurkic has attempted 4.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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