Houston 11th WESTERN CONFERENCE41-41
New Orleans 7th WESTERN CONFERENCE49-33
NBALP

Houston @ New Orleans props

Smoothie King Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Amen Thompson Points Scored Props • Houston

A. Thompson
shooting guard SG • Houston
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Amen Thompson has converted 58.9% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 8.2% more than he's made overall this season without the home court advantage. Amen Thompson has averaged 34.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 15.0 more than he's averaged overall this season. The matchup against the New Orleans Pelicans is a difficult one for 3-point shots; their opposition has posted the 2nd-lowest 3-point percentage in the league this year (34.5%). The Rockets have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games. The Rockets will likely see a spike in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 8th-most up-tempo pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Pelicans).

Amen Thompson

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.7
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.7

Amen Thompson has converted 58.9% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 8.2% more than he's made overall this season without the home court advantage. Amen Thompson has averaged 34.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 15.0 more than he's averaged overall this season. The matchup against the New Orleans Pelicans is a difficult one for 3-point shots; their opposition has posted the 2nd-lowest 3-point percentage in the league this year (34.5%). The Rockets have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games. The Rockets will likely see a spike in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 8th-most up-tempo pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Pelicans).

Larry Nance Jr. Points Scored Props • New Orleans

L. Nance Jr.
small forward SF • New Orleans
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.9
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.9
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Larry Nance Jr. has made 64.2% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games at home, 10.1% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year while playing at home. Larry Nance Jr. has converted 62.5% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 10 games at home, 16.4% more than he's made from 3-point range overall this season playing at home. The matchup vs. the Houston Rockets is a difficult one for threes; the other team has compiled the lowest three rate in the league this year (34.5%). The Pelicans have played at the 8th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games playing at home. The Pelicans are expected to see a rise in opportunities today from squaring off against the 7th-fastest tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Houston Rockets).

Larry Nance Jr.

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.9
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.9

Larry Nance Jr. has made 64.2% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games at home, 10.1% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year while playing at home. Larry Nance Jr. has converted 62.5% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 10 games at home, 16.4% more than he's made from 3-point range overall this season playing at home. The matchup vs. the Houston Rockets is a difficult one for threes; the other team has compiled the lowest three rate in the league this year (34.5%). The Pelicans have played at the 8th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games playing at home. The Pelicans are expected to see a rise in opportunities today from squaring off against the 7th-fastest tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Houston Rockets).

CJ McCollum Points Scored Props • New Orleans

C. McCollum
shooting guard SG • New Orleans
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.8
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
19.8
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, CJ McCollum rates in the 88th percentile for shots, totaling 14.9 per game this year. CJ McCollum has attempted 9.2 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season. Out of all players in the league, CJ McCollum measures in the 85th percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 32.2 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year. The matchup against Houston is a favorable one for scoring; when the Houston Rockets are on the road, the opposing team's starting PGs have put up the 22nd-highest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (45.5%). The Pelicans have played at the 8th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games playing at home.

CJ McCollum

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.8
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.8

Out of all players in the NBA, CJ McCollum rates in the 88th percentile for shots, totaling 14.9 per game this year. CJ McCollum has attempted 9.2 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season. Out of all players in the league, CJ McCollum measures in the 85th percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 32.2 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year. The matchup against Houston is a favorable one for scoring; when the Houston Rockets are on the road, the opposing team's starting PGs have put up the 22nd-highest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (45.5%). The Pelicans have played at the 8th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games playing at home.

Cam Whitmore Points Scored Props • Houston

C. Whitmore
small forward SF • Houston
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Under
-104
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Under
-104
Projection Rating

Cam Whitmore has been called for 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 0.1 higher than he's been called for over the course of the year on the road. When it comes to scoring, the Houston Rockets's feeble 111.3 points per game while on the road measures as the 8th-fewest in the league this year. This year when they are the visiting squad, their opposition has secured 11.4 offensive boards per game (6th-highest in the NBA) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans (saving possessions that can lead to more opportunities for offense). Cam Whitmore will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city generally worsens player production for all stats.

Cam Whitmore

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.8
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.8

Cam Whitmore has been called for 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 0.1 higher than he's been called for over the course of the year on the road. When it comes to scoring, the Houston Rockets's feeble 111.3 points per game while on the road measures as the 8th-fewest in the league this year. This year when they are the visiting squad, their opposition has secured 11.4 offensive boards per game (6th-highest in the NBA) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans (saving possessions that can lead to more opportunities for offense). Cam Whitmore will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city generally worsens player production for all stats.

Zion Williamson Points Scored Props • New Orleans

Z. Williamson
power forward PF • New Orleans
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.3
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
23.5 Points Scored
Projection
25.3
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Zion Williamson has sunk 100.0% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games at home, 37.5% more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year with the home court advantage. Zion Williamson has averaged 33.8 minutes per game over the last 14 games when playing at home, 4.3 more than he's averaged overall this year at home. The Pelicans have played at the 8th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games playing at home. The Pelicans are expected to see a rise in opportunities today from squaring off against the 7th-fastest tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Houston Rockets). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans rank 10thbest in in the NBA playing at home with 11.5 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Zion Williamson

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.3
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.3

Zion Williamson has sunk 100.0% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games at home, 37.5% more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year with the home court advantage. Zion Williamson has averaged 33.8 minutes per game over the last 14 games when playing at home, 4.3 more than he's averaged overall this year at home. The Pelicans have played at the 8th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games playing at home. The Pelicans are expected to see a rise in opportunities today from squaring off against the 7th-fastest tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Houston Rockets). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans rank 10thbest in in the NBA playing at home with 11.5 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Dillon Brooks Points Scored Props • Houston

D. Brooks
shooting guard SG • Houston
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.6
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.6
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Dillon Brooks has successfully made 3.4 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the year. Dillon Brooks has averaged 31.4 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 83rd percentile. The Rockets have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games. The Rockets will likely see a spike in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 8th-most up-tempo pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Pelicans). The Houston Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Dillon Brooks

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.6
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.6

Dillon Brooks has successfully made 3.4 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the year. Dillon Brooks has averaged 31.4 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 83rd percentile. The Rockets have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games. The Rockets will likely see a spike in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 8th-most up-tempo pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Pelicans). The Houston Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Herbert Jones Points Scored Props • New Orleans

H. Jones
power forward PF • New Orleans
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.1
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.1
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Herbert Jones has successfully made 54.2% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 15 games, 15.2% higher than he's converted over the course of the year. The Pelicans have played at the 8th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games playing at home. The Pelicans are expected to see a rise in opportunities today from squaring off against the 7th-fastest tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Houston Rockets). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans rank 10thbest in in the NBA playing at home with 11.5 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. Herbert Jones has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 9.4% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season with the home court advantage.

Herbert Jones

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.1
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.1

Herbert Jones has successfully made 54.2% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 15 games, 15.2% higher than he's converted over the course of the year. The Pelicans have played at the 8th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games playing at home. The Pelicans are expected to see a rise in opportunities today from squaring off against the 7th-fastest tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Houston Rockets). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans rank 10thbest in in the NBA playing at home with 11.5 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. Herbert Jones has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 9.4% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season with the home court advantage.

Jalen Green Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Green
shooting guard SG • Houston
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.1
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.1
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Jalen Green measures in the 87th percentile for shots while playing on the road, posting 14.5 per game this year. Jalen Green has attempted 6.5 3-point shots per game this year, placing him in the 91st percentile among all players in the league. Among all players in the league, Jalen Green places in the 80th percentile for playing time, compiling an enormous 30.5 minutes per game this year. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied 6.1 3-point attempts per game (27th-highest in the league) vs. the Pelicans, resulting in a strong matchup. The Rockets have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games.

Jalen Green

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.1
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.1

Out of all players in the league, Jalen Green measures in the 87th percentile for shots while playing on the road, posting 14.5 per game this year. Jalen Green has attempted 6.5 3-point shots per game this year, placing him in the 91st percentile among all players in the league. Among all players in the league, Jalen Green places in the 80th percentile for playing time, compiling an enormous 30.5 minutes per game this year. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied 6.1 3-point attempts per game (27th-highest in the league) vs. the Pelicans, resulting in a strong matchup. The Rockets have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games.

Alperen Sengun Points Scored Props • Houston

A. Sengun
center C • Houston
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.3
Best Odds
Under
-102
Prop
19.5 Points Scored
Projection
19.3
Best Odds
Under
-102
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Alperen Sengun ranks in the 99th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a colossal 3.3 fouls per game this year. When it comes to scoring, the Houston Rockets's feeble 111.3 points per game while on the road measures as the 8th-fewest in the league this year. This year when they are the visiting squad, their opposition has secured 11.4 offensive boards per game (6th-highest in the NBA) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans (saving possessions that can lead to more opportunities for offense). Alperen Sengun should experience a decrease in efficiency in all stat categories due to playing on the visting team in this contest.

Alperen Sengun

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.3
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.3

Out of all players in the league, Alperen Sengun ranks in the 99th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a colossal 3.3 fouls per game this year. When it comes to scoring, the Houston Rockets's feeble 111.3 points per game while on the road measures as the 8th-fewest in the league this year. This year when they are the visiting squad, their opposition has secured 11.4 offensive boards per game (6th-highest in the NBA) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans (saving possessions that can lead to more opportunities for offense). Alperen Sengun should experience a decrease in efficiency in all stat categories due to playing on the visting team in this contest.

Fred VanVleet Points Scored Props • Houston

F. VanVleet
point guard PG • Houston
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14
Best Odds
Over
-104

Out of all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet comes in at the 96th percentile for 3-point attempts, totaling 7.7 per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet lands in the 99th percentile for playing time, logging a massive 36.8 minutes per game this year. This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting PGs have totaled 7.5 three attempts per game (29th-highest in the league) against the New Orleans Pelicans, labeling this as a strong matchup. The Rockets have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games. The Rockets will likely see a spike in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 8th-most up-tempo pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Pelicans).

Fred VanVleet

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14

Out of all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet comes in at the 96th percentile for 3-point attempts, totaling 7.7 per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet lands in the 99th percentile for playing time, logging a massive 36.8 minutes per game this year. This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting PGs have totaled 7.5 three attempts per game (29th-highest in the league) against the New Orleans Pelicans, labeling this as a strong matchup. The Rockets have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games. The Rockets will likely see a spike in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 8th-most up-tempo pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Pelicans).

Trey Murphy III Points Scored Props • New Orleans

T. Murphy III
small forward SF • New Orleans
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.3
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.3
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

Trey Murphy III has made 27.3% of his 3-pointers while playing at home this year, placing him in the 25th percentile out of all players in the league. Trey Murphy III has been on the court for just 25.8 minutes per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 31.2 minutes per game last season. Over the last 5 games, opposing teams have secured 11.4 offensive rebounds per game (8th-highest in the league) vs. the Houston Rockets (maintaining possessions that can bring about more opportunities for offense). Over the last 10 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting SFs have attempted 2.0 foul shots per game (13th-fewest in the league) against the Rockets, making it tough to get to the foul line.

Trey Murphy III

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.3
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.3

Trey Murphy III has made 27.3% of his 3-pointers while playing at home this year, placing him in the 25th percentile out of all players in the league. Trey Murphy III has been on the court for just 25.8 minutes per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 31.2 minutes per game last season. Over the last 5 games, opposing teams have secured 11.4 offensive rebounds per game (8th-highest in the league) vs. the Houston Rockets (maintaining possessions that can bring about more opportunities for offense). Over the last 10 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting SFs have attempted 2.0 foul shots per game (13th-fewest in the league) against the Rockets, making it tough to get to the foul line.

Brandon Ingram Points Scored Props • New Orleans

B. Ingram
small forward SF • New Orleans
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.9
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
20.5 Points Scored
Projection
20.9
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Brandon Ingram has posted 21.4 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league by this metric: 91st percentile. Brandon Ingram has successfully made 2.5 3-point shots per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.6 more than he's made from three in all games this year while on his home court. Brandon Ingram has been on the court for 33.3 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 88th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. The matchup against Houston is a good one for 3-pointers; when the Rockets are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the 28th-most 3-pointers per game in the NBA this year (2.4). The Pelicans have played at the 8th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games playing at home.

Brandon Ingram

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.9
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.9

Brandon Ingram has posted 21.4 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league by this metric: 91st percentile. Brandon Ingram has successfully made 2.5 3-point shots per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.6 more than he's made from three in all games this year while on his home court. Brandon Ingram has been on the court for 33.3 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 88th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. The matchup against Houston is a good one for 3-pointers; when the Rockets are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the 28th-most 3-pointers per game in the NBA this year (2.4). The Pelicans have played at the 8th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games playing at home.

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Smith Jr.
power forward PF • Houston
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.9
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.9
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Jabari Smith Jr. has attempted 5.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's attempted overall this season. Jabari Smith Jr. has averaged 36.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.6 more than he's averaged over the course of the season. The Rockets have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games. The Rockets will likely see a spike in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 8th-most up-tempo pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Pelicans). The Houston Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jabari Smith Jr.

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.9
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.9

Jabari Smith Jr. has attempted 5.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's attempted overall this season. Jabari Smith Jr. has averaged 36.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.6 more than he's averaged over the course of the season. The Rockets have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games. The Rockets will likely see a spike in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 8th-most up-tempo pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Pelicans). The Houston Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jonas Valanciunas Points Scored Props • New Orleans

J. Valanciunas
center C • New Orleans
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.5
Best Odds
Over
-103
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.5
Best Odds
Over
-103
Projection Rating

Jonas Valanciunas has successfully made 70.6% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 13.2% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year. This year, opposing clubs have averaged 46.1% on field goal attempts (5th-worst in the league) against the Houston Rockets, creating a tough matchup. The number of points tallied against Alperen Sengun has been remarkably high (16.7 per game) when he is away from his home court and squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year (90th percentile). The Pelicans have played at the 8th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games playing at home. The Pelicans are expected to see a rise in opportunities today from squaring off against the 7th-fastest tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Houston Rockets).

Jonas Valanciunas

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.5
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.5

Jonas Valanciunas has successfully made 70.6% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 13.2% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year. This year, opposing clubs have averaged 46.1% on field goal attempts (5th-worst in the league) against the Houston Rockets, creating a tough matchup. The number of points tallied against Alperen Sengun has been remarkably high (16.7 per game) when he is away from his home court and squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year (90th percentile). The Pelicans have played at the 8th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games playing at home. The Pelicans are expected to see a rise in opportunities today from squaring off against the 7th-fastest tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Houston Rockets).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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