Final Oct 6
DEN 104 2.5 o216.5
BOS 130 -2.5 u216.5
Final Oct 6
NY 111 -3.5 o215.5
CHA 109 3.5 u215.5
Final Oct 6
WAS 98 -3.5 o221.5
TOR 125 3.5 u221.5
Final Oct 6
MIL 87 3.5 o215.5
DET 120 -3.5 u215.5
Final Oct 6
PHO 118 3.5 o222.0
LAL 114 -3.5 u222.0
Sacramento 9th WESTERN CONFERENCE46-36
Denver 2nd WESTERN CONFERENCE57-25
NBATV Canada, NBCSCA, Altitude Sports

Sacramento @ Denver props

Ball Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Keegan Murray Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Murray
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.1
Best Odds
Over
-106
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.1
Best Odds
Over
-106
Projection Rating

Keegan Murray has attempted 12.3 shots from the field per game this year, quite a bit more than his 9.7 rate last year. Out of all players in the league, Keegan Murray registers in the 86th percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 32.2 minutes per game on the road this year. The Sacramento Kings check in as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games. The 10th-quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Sacramento Kings. Keegan Murray has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 19.1% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year.

Keegan Murray

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.1
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.1

Keegan Murray has attempted 12.3 shots from the field per game this year, quite a bit more than his 9.7 rate last year. Out of all players in the league, Keegan Murray registers in the 86th percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 32.2 minutes per game on the road this year. The Sacramento Kings check in as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games. The 10th-quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Sacramento Kings. Keegan Murray has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 19.1% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year.

Davion Mitchell Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Mitchell
point guard PG • Sacramento
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.8
Best Odds
Under
-105
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.8
Best Odds
Under
-105
Projection Rating

This year when they are on the road, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 20.5% on threes (14th-weakest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, designating this as a challenging matchup. The Sacramento Kings are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from facing the 4th-slowest pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Nuggets). The Kings rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). The Denver Nuggets have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the league to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists). Davion Mitchell has attempted 0.5 foul shots per game this year, ranking in the 19th percentile out of all players in the league.

Davion Mitchell

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.8
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.8

This year when they are on the road, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 20.5% on threes (14th-weakest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, designating this as a challenging matchup. The Sacramento Kings are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from facing the 4th-slowest pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Nuggets). The Kings rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). The Denver Nuggets have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the league to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists). Davion Mitchell has attempted 0.5 foul shots per game this year, ranking in the 19th percentile out of all players in the league.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points Scored Props • Denver

K. Caldwell-Pope
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11
Best Odds
Over
-120

Out of all players in the NBA, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope slots into the 83rd percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 31.5 minutes per game at home this year. The matchup against the Sacramento Kings is a positive one; they have allowed the 29th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SGs this year (18.1). The Sacramento Kings have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should increase opportunities for the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). The Sacramento Kings have allowed the least offensive boards per game (9.1) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11

Out of all players in the NBA, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope slots into the 83rd percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 31.5 minutes per game at home this year. The matchup against the Sacramento Kings is a positive one; they have allowed the 29th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SGs this year (18.1). The Sacramento Kings have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should increase opportunities for the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). The Sacramento Kings have allowed the least offensive boards per game (9.1) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

De'Aaron Fox Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Fox
point guard PG • Sacramento
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.5
Best Odds
Under
+100
Prop
25.5 Points Scored
Projection
24.5
Best Odds
Under
+100
Projection Rating

De'Aaron Fox has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game when playing on the road this year, putting him in the 86th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone. This year when they are on the road, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 20.5% on threes (14th-weakest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, designating this as a challenging matchup. The Sacramento Kings are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from facing the 4th-slowest pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Nuggets). The Kings rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). The Denver Nuggets have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the league to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

De'Aaron Fox

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.5
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.5

De'Aaron Fox has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game when playing on the road this year, putting him in the 86th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone. This year when they are on the road, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 20.5% on threes (14th-weakest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, designating this as a challenging matchup. The Sacramento Kings are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from facing the 4th-slowest pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Nuggets). The Kings rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). The Denver Nuggets have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the league to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Kevin Huerter Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Huerter
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Kevin Huerter has converted 2.8 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 more than he's made from three in all games this season. The Sacramento Kings check in as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games. The matchup vs. Denver is a strong one; when the Denver Nuggets are on their home court, they have given up the 29th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting SGs over the last 5 games (20.4). The 10th-quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Sacramento Kings. Kevin Huerter has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 21.6% higher than he's put through the net overall this season.

Kevin Huerter

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.6
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.6

Kevin Huerter has converted 2.8 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 more than he's made from three in all games this season. The Sacramento Kings check in as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games. The matchup vs. Denver is a strong one; when the Denver Nuggets are on their home court, they have given up the 29th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting SGs over the last 5 games (20.4). The 10th-quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Sacramento Kings. Kevin Huerter has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 21.6% higher than he's put through the net overall this season.

Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Murray
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.5
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
21.5 Points Scored
Projection
22.5
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Jamal Murray has attempted 18.7 shots from the field per game over the last 10 games when playing at home, 2.6 more than he's attempted over the course of the year at home. Jamal Murray has attempted 7.2 threes per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 1.2 higher than he's attempted overall this season at home. Out of all players in the league, Jamal Murray registers in the 80th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 30.7 minutes per game on his home court this year. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should increase opportunities for the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Jamal Murray

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.5
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.5

Jamal Murray has attempted 18.7 shots from the field per game over the last 10 games when playing at home, 2.6 more than he's attempted over the course of the year at home. Jamal Murray has attempted 7.2 threes per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 1.2 higher than he's attempted overall this season at home. Out of all players in the league, Jamal Murray registers in the 80th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 30.7 minutes per game on his home court this year. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should increase opportunities for the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Reggie Jackson Points Scored Props • Denver

R. Jackson
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.2
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.2
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

The Sacramento Kings have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should increase opportunities for the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). The Sacramento Kings have allowed the least offensive boards per game (9.1) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). Reggie Jackson has made 91.7% of his foul shots over the last 15 games, 13.1% more than he's sunk in all games this season. Reggie Jackson will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium usually increases player production for all stats.

Reggie Jackson

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.2
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.2

The Sacramento Kings have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should increase opportunities for the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). The Sacramento Kings have allowed the least offensive boards per game (9.1) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). Reggie Jackson has made 91.7% of his foul shots over the last 15 games, 13.1% more than he's sunk in all games this season. Reggie Jackson will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium usually increases player production for all stats.

Harrison Barnes Points Scored Props • Sacramento

H. Barnes
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.2
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.2
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Harrison Barnes has scored 17.4 points per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 4.0 more than he's scored overall this season on the road. Harrison Barnes has made 3.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.8 higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year while playing on the road. Harrison Barnes has played 29.6 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 78th percentile. The Sacramento Kings check in as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games. The 10th-quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Sacramento Kings.

Harrison Barnes

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.2
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.2

Harrison Barnes has scored 17.4 points per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 4.0 more than he's scored overall this season on the road. Harrison Barnes has made 3.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.8 higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year while playing on the road. Harrison Barnes has played 29.6 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 78th percentile. The Sacramento Kings check in as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games. The 10th-quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Sacramento Kings.

Domantas Sabonis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Sabonis
power forward PF • Sacramento
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.2
Best Odds
Over
-108
Prop
21.5 Points Scored
Projection
22.2
Best Odds
Over
-108
Projection Rating

Domantas Sabonis has successfully made 9.4 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season. Domantas Sabonis has been on the court for 35.7 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 96th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. The Sacramento Kings check in as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games. This matchup is a challenging one for scoring; opposing clubs have compiled the 4th-lowest field goal rate in the league over the last 5 games when the Denver Nuggets are on their home court (43.5%). The matchup against Nikola Jokic is a strong one for field goal attempts; when facing opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a whopping 11.7 shots made from the field per game (93rd percentile).

Domantas Sabonis

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.2
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.2

Domantas Sabonis has successfully made 9.4 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season. Domantas Sabonis has been on the court for 35.7 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 96th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. The Sacramento Kings check in as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games. This matchup is a challenging one for scoring; opposing clubs have compiled the 4th-lowest field goal rate in the league over the last 5 games when the Denver Nuggets are on their home court (43.5%). The matchup against Nikola Jokic is a strong one for field goal attempts; when facing opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a whopping 11.7 shots made from the field per game (93rd percentile).

Michael Porter Jr. Points Scored Props • Denver

M. Porter Jr.
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.4
Best Odds
Over
-119
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.4
Best Odds
Over
-119
Projection Rating

Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 15.2 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 more than he's attempted over the course of the season. Out of all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. lands in the 83rd percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 31.6 minutes per game at home this year. The matchup vs. the Sacramento Kings is a positive one for 3-point shots; the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied the 28th-most 3-point shots per game in the league this year (2.3). The Sacramento Kings have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should increase opportunities for the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Michael Porter Jr.

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.4
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.4

Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 15.2 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 more than he's attempted over the course of the season. Out of all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. lands in the 83rd percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 31.6 minutes per game at home this year. The matchup vs. the Sacramento Kings is a positive one for 3-point shots; the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied the 28th-most 3-point shots per game in the league this year (2.3). The Sacramento Kings have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should increase opportunities for the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Aaron Gordon Points Scored Props • Denver

A. Gordon
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
15
Best Odds
Over
-104

Aaron Gordon has made 56.4% of his shot attempts from the field this year, putting him in the 88th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Aaron Gordon has been on the court for 30.4 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. The matchup vs. the Kings is a good one for field goals; opposing starting PFs have put up the 25th-highest FG% in the NBA this year (52.6%). The Sacramento Kings have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should increase opportunities for the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Aaron Gordon

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15

Aaron Gordon has made 56.4% of his shot attempts from the field this year, putting him in the 88th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Aaron Gordon has been on the court for 30.4 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. The matchup vs. the Kings is a good one for field goals; opposing starting PFs have put up the 25th-highest FG% in the NBA this year (52.6%). The Sacramento Kings have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should increase opportunities for the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jokic Points Scored Props • Denver

N. Jokic
center C • Denver
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.8
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
26.5 Points Scored
Projection
26.8
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic measures in the 98th percentile for field goals converted on his home court, putting up a monstrous 9.9 per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic measures in the 91st percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 34.1 minutes per game at home this year. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should increase opportunities for the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). The Sacramento Kings have allowed the least offensive boards per game (9.1) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jokic

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.8
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.8

Among all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic measures in the 98th percentile for field goals converted on his home court, putting up a monstrous 9.9 per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic measures in the 91st percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 34.1 minutes per game at home this year. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should increase opportunities for the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). The Sacramento Kings have allowed the least offensive boards per game (9.1) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Malik Monk Points Scored Props • Sacramento

M. Monk
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Malik Monk has successfully made 7.0 baskets per game over the last 10 games, 1.7 more than he's sunk over the course of the season. Malik Monk has attempted 5.6 shots from downtown per game on the road this year, ranking in the 87th percentile among all players in the league. The Sacramento Kings check in as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games. This year, opposing squads have totaled 11.4 three-pointers per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, resulting in a hard matchup. The 10th-quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Sacramento Kings.

Malik Monk

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.7
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.7

Malik Monk has successfully made 7.0 baskets per game over the last 10 games, 1.7 more than he's sunk over the course of the season. Malik Monk has attempted 5.6 shots from downtown per game on the road this year, ranking in the 87th percentile among all players in the league. The Sacramento Kings check in as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games. This year, opposing squads have totaled 11.4 three-pointers per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, resulting in a hard matchup. The 10th-quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Sacramento Kings.

Chris Duarte Points Scored Props • Sacramento

C. Duarte
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
--
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-105
Under
-125
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
--
Best Odds
Over
-105
Under
-125

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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