Phoenix 6th WESTERN CONFERENCE49-33
Denver 2nd WESTERN CONFERENCE57-25
TNT

Phoenix @ Denver props

Ball Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Royce O'Neale Points Scored Props • Phoenix

R. O'Neale
small forward SF • Phoenix
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Over
-104
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Over
-104
Projection Rating

Royce O'Neale has sunk 3.2 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's made from three in all games this season. Royce O'Neale has tallied 30.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.3 more than he's tallied over the course of the season. The Suns have played at the 2nd-quickest tempo in the league over the last 25 games. The Phoenix Suns rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). Royce O'Neale has successfully made 83.3% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 17.4% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year without the home court advantage.

Royce O'Neale

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.8
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.8

Royce O'Neale has sunk 3.2 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's made from three in all games this season. Royce O'Neale has tallied 30.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.3 more than he's tallied over the course of the season. The Suns have played at the 2nd-quickest tempo in the league over the last 25 games. The Phoenix Suns rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). Royce O'Neale has successfully made 83.3% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 17.4% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year without the home court advantage.

Jusuf Nurkic Points Scored Props • Phoenix

J. Nurkic
center C • Phoenix
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Under
+105

In contrast to last season's 31.5% mark, Jusuf Nurkic's three-point performance has been reduced this season to 21.3%. Jusuf Nurkic has accumulated 3.2 personal fouls per game when playing away from home this year, putting him in the 98th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling. As it relates to shot attempts from downtown, the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league on the road over the last 20 games has been the Phoenix Suns. The Nuggets have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Suns. Playing at home, the Denver Nuggets have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.6) in the league to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jusuf Nurkic

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.9
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.9

In contrast to last season's 31.5% mark, Jusuf Nurkic's three-point performance has been reduced this season to 21.3%. Jusuf Nurkic has accumulated 3.2 personal fouls per game when playing away from home this year, putting him in the 98th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling. As it relates to shot attempts from downtown, the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league on the road over the last 20 games has been the Phoenix Suns. The Nuggets have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Suns. Playing at home, the Denver Nuggets have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.6) in the league to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Eric Gordon Points Scored Props • Phoenix

E. Gordon
shooting guard SG • Phoenix
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.5
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.5
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Eric Gordon slots into the 92nd percentile for three-point shots made, averaging 2.5 per game this year. Eric Gordon has played 29.9 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. The matchup against the Nuggets is a challenging one for shots from behind the three-point arc; opposing teams have totaled the 2nd-fewest three attempts per game in the NBA this year (31.3). The Suns have played at the 2nd-quickest tempo in the league over the last 25 games. The Phoenix Suns rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Eric Gordon

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.5
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.5

Among all players in the league, Eric Gordon slots into the 92nd percentile for three-point shots made, averaging 2.5 per game this year. Eric Gordon has played 29.9 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. The matchup against the Nuggets is a challenging one for shots from behind the three-point arc; opposing teams have totaled the 2nd-fewest three attempts per game in the NBA this year (31.3). The Suns have played at the 2nd-quickest tempo in the league over the last 25 games. The Phoenix Suns rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Reggie Jackson Points Scored Props • Denver

R. Jackson
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.4
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.4
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Over the last 15 games, their opposition has shot 34.4% on three-pointers (5th-weakest in the NBA) against the Suns, making this a hard matchup. The Suns have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should lead to increased possessions for the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 7thbest in in the league with 11.8 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. Reggie Jackson has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games, 21.4% more than he's made overall this season. This year, opposing squads have attempted 21.9 foul shots per game (10th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Suns, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

Reggie Jackson

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.4
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.4

Over the last 15 games, their opposition has shot 34.4% on three-pointers (5th-weakest in the NBA) against the Suns, making this a hard matchup. The Suns have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should lead to increased possessions for the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 7thbest in in the league with 11.8 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. Reggie Jackson has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games, 21.4% more than he's made overall this season. This year, opposing squads have attempted 21.9 foul shots per game (10th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Suns, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

Kevin Durant Points Scored Props • Phoenix

K. Durant
small forward SF • Phoenix
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.1
Best Odds
Under
-110

Kevin Durant has tallied 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA when it comes to getting T'ed up (94th percentile). As it relates to shot attempts from downtown, the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league on the road over the last 20 games has been the Phoenix Suns. The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets is a hard one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposition's starting PFs have totaled the 12th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.7). The Nuggets have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Suns. Playing at home, the Denver Nuggets have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.6) in the league to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Kevin Durant

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.1
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.1

Kevin Durant has tallied 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA when it comes to getting T'ed up (94th percentile). As it relates to shot attempts from downtown, the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league on the road over the last 20 games has been the Phoenix Suns. The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets is a hard one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposition's starting PFs have totaled the 12th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.7). The Nuggets have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Suns. Playing at home, the Denver Nuggets have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.6) in the league to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Aaron Gordon Points Scored Props • Denver

A. Gordon
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.1
Best Odds
Over
-122

Out of all players in the NBA, Aaron Gordon places in the 88th percentile for shooting proficiency with a a remarkable 56.9% rate this year. Out of all players in the league, Aaron Gordon places in the 79th percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 30.4 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year. The Suns have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should lead to increased possessions for the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 7thbest in in the league with 11.8 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. Aaron Gordon has sunk 4.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.8 more than he's made in all games this year playing at home.

Aaron Gordon

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.1
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.1

Out of all players in the NBA, Aaron Gordon places in the 88th percentile for shooting proficiency with a a remarkable 56.9% rate this year. Out of all players in the league, Aaron Gordon places in the 79th percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 30.4 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year. The Suns have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should lead to increased possessions for the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 7thbest in in the league with 11.8 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. Aaron Gordon has sunk 4.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.8 more than he's made in all games this year playing at home.

Bradley Beal Points Scored Props • Phoenix

B. Beal
shooting guard SG • Phoenix
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.6
Best Odds
Over
-105

Bradley Beal has successfully made 63.5% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 11.1% more than he's converted in all games this season. Bradley Beal has successfully made 70.3% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games, 31.4% higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year. Out of all players in the league, Bradley Beal registers in the 87th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 32.3 minutes per game this year. The Suns have played at the 2nd-quickest tempo in the league over the last 25 games. The Phoenix Suns rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Bradley Beal

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.6
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.6

Bradley Beal has successfully made 63.5% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 11.1% more than he's converted in all games this season. Bradley Beal has successfully made 70.3% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games, 31.4% higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year. Out of all players in the league, Bradley Beal registers in the 87th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 32.3 minutes per game this year. The Suns have played at the 2nd-quickest tempo in the league over the last 25 games. The Phoenix Suns rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Grayson Allen Points Scored Props • Phoenix

G. Allen
shooting guard SG • Phoenix
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.4
Best Odds
Over
-124

Grayson Allen has attempted 8.2 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.8 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. Grayson Allen has averaged 32.0 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. The matchup against Denver is a strong one; when the Denver Nuggets are at home, they have given up the 29th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SGs over the last 5 games (20.4). The Suns have played at the 2nd-quickest tempo in the league over the last 25 games. The Phoenix Suns rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Grayson Allen

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.4
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.4

Grayson Allen has attempted 8.2 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.8 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. Grayson Allen has averaged 32.0 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. The matchup against Denver is a strong one; when the Denver Nuggets are at home, they have given up the 29th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SGs over the last 5 games (20.4). The Suns have played at the 2nd-quickest tempo in the league over the last 25 games. The Phoenix Suns rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jokic Points Scored Props • Denver

N. Jokic
center C • Denver
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.2
Best Odds
Over
-106
Prop
25.5 Points Scored
Projection
26.2
Best Odds
Over
-106
Projection Rating

Nikola Jokic has successfully made 67.8% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games at home, 6.1% higher than he's sunk in all games this year with the home court advantage. Out of all players in the league, Nikola Jokic places in the 91st percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 34.1 minutes per game when playing at home this year. Over the last 15 games, their opposition has shot 34.4% on three-pointers (5th-weakest in the NBA) against the Suns, making this a hard matchup. The Suns have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should lead to increased possessions for the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 7thbest in in the league with 11.8 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

Nikola Jokic

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.2
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.2

Nikola Jokic has successfully made 67.8% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games at home, 6.1% higher than he's sunk in all games this year with the home court advantage. Out of all players in the league, Nikola Jokic places in the 91st percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 34.1 minutes per game when playing at home this year. Over the last 15 games, their opposition has shot 34.4% on three-pointers (5th-weakest in the NBA) against the Suns, making this a hard matchup. The Suns have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should lead to increased possessions for the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 7thbest in in the league with 11.8 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points Scored Props • Denver

K. Caldwell-Pope
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.1
Best Odds
Over
-112

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has made 2.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's made from three overall this year. Out of all players in the league, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope measures in the 83rd percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 31.5 minutes per game on his home court this year. The Suns have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should lead to increased possessions for the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 7thbest in in the league with 11.8 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 8.8% more than he's converted over the course of the season playing at home.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.1
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.1

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has made 2.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's made from three overall this year. Out of all players in the league, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope measures in the 83rd percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 31.5 minutes per game on his home court this year. The Suns have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should lead to increased possessions for the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 7thbest in in the league with 11.8 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 8.8% more than he's converted over the course of the season playing at home.

Michael Porter Jr. Points Scored Props • Denver

M. Porter Jr.
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.4
Best Odds
Over
-132
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.4
Best Odds
Over
-132
Projection Rating

Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 3.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 more than he's made from downtown in all games this year. Among all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. ranks in the 83rd percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 31.5 minutes per game playing at home this year. The matchup against Phoenix is a favorable one for three-pointers; when the Suns are the visiting squad, opposing starting SFs have posted the 23rd-highest 3-point rate in the league this year (41.1%). The Suns have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should lead to increased possessions for the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 7thbest in in the league with 11.8 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

Michael Porter Jr.

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.4
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.4

Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 3.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 more than he's made from downtown in all games this year. Among all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. ranks in the 83rd percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 31.5 minutes per game playing at home this year. The matchup against Phoenix is a favorable one for three-pointers; when the Suns are the visiting squad, opposing starting SFs have posted the 23rd-highest 3-point rate in the league this year (41.1%). The Suns have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should lead to increased possessions for the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 7thbest in in the league with 11.8 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Murray
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.7
Best Odds
Over
-110

Jamal Murray has converted 55.4% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 8.3% higher than he's made in all games this season. Jamal Murray has successfully made 2.5 shots from behind the three-point arc per game while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile among all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the league, Jamal Murray comes in at the 77th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 30.1 minutes per game while playing at home this year. The Suns have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should lead to increased possessions for the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 7thbest in in the league with 11.8 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

Jamal Murray

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.7
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.7

Jamal Murray has converted 55.4% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 8.3% higher than he's made in all games this season. Jamal Murray has successfully made 2.5 shots from behind the three-point arc per game while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile among all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the league, Jamal Murray comes in at the 77th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 30.1 minutes per game while playing at home this year. The Suns have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should lead to increased possessions for the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 7thbest in in the league with 11.8 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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