TOR 9.5 o224.5
PHI -9.5 u224.5
NY -2.5 o239.5
IND 2.5 u239.5
DET -4.5 o237.0
CHI 4.5 u237.0
MEM -4.5 o246.0
PHO 4.5 u246.0
Milwaukee 3rd EASTERN CONFERENCE49-33
Oklahoma City 1st WESTERN CONFERENCE57-25
NBATV, WMLW, KSBI OKC

Milwaukee @ Oklahoma City props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Aaron Wiggins Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

A. Wiggins
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.1
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.1
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Aaron Wiggins has successfully made 65.6% of his field goals over the last 5 games at home, 10.0% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season on his home court. Aaron Wiggins has sunk 68.3% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games at home, 17.8% more than he's made in all games this year when playing at home. In terms of offense, the Oklahoma City Thunder's excellent 122.4 points per game with the home court advantage comes in as the strongest in the league over the last 5 games. The 4th-quickest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. Aaron Wiggins will likely get a boost in effectiveness for all stats on account of owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Aaron Wiggins

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.1
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.1

Aaron Wiggins has successfully made 65.6% of his field goals over the last 5 games at home, 10.0% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season on his home court. Aaron Wiggins has sunk 68.3% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games at home, 17.8% more than he's made in all games this year when playing at home. In terms of offense, the Oklahoma City Thunder's excellent 122.4 points per game with the home court advantage comes in as the strongest in the league over the last 5 games. The 4th-quickest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. Aaron Wiggins will likely get a boost in effectiveness for all stats on account of owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Patrick Beverley Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

P. Beverley
point guard PG • Milwaukee
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.2
Best Odds
Over
-106

Patrick Beverley has made 1.8 treys per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year. Patrick Beverley has tallied 24.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.3 higher than he's tallied in all games this year. The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied 7.7 3-point attempts per game (highest in the league) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, making this a positive matchup. The Thunder have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Bucks.

Patrick Beverley

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.2
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.2

Patrick Beverley has made 1.8 treys per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year. Patrick Beverley has tallied 24.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.3 higher than he's tallied in all games this year. The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied 7.7 3-point attempts per game (highest in the league) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, making this a positive matchup. The Thunder have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Bucks.

Brook Lopez Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

B. Lopez
center C • Milwaukee
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.7
Best Odds
Over
-130

Brook Lopez has sunk 3.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's converted overall this year. Brook Lopez has been on the court for 30.7 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 82nd percentile. The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The matchup with Chet Holmgren comes in at only the 93rd percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs scoring a colossal 5.8 field goals per game this year. The Thunder have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Bucks.

Brook Lopez

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.7
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.7

Brook Lopez has sunk 3.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's converted overall this year. Brook Lopez has been on the court for 30.7 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 82nd percentile. The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The matchup with Chet Holmgren comes in at only the 93rd percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs scoring a colossal 5.8 field goals per game this year. The Thunder have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Bucks.

Pat Connaughton Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

P. Connaughton
shooting guard SG • Milwaukee
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.1
Best Odds
Over
-124
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.1
Best Odds
Over
-124
Projection Rating

Pat Connaughton has attempted 4.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 10 games while on the road, 1.2 more than he's attempted in all games this season on the road. Pat Connaughton has been on the court for 28.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.6 more than he's been on the court for in all games this year. The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The Thunder have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Bucks. Pat Connaughton has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 20.8% more than he's sunk over the course of the year.

Pat Connaughton

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.1
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.1

Pat Connaughton has attempted 4.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 10 games while on the road, 1.2 more than he's attempted in all games this season on the road. Pat Connaughton has been on the court for 28.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.6 more than he's been on the court for in all games this year. The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The Thunder have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Bucks. Pat Connaughton has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 20.8% more than he's sunk over the course of the year.

Chet Holmgren Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

C. Holmgren
center C • Oklahoma City
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.7
Best Odds
Over
-132

Chet Holmgren has converted 6.3 buckets per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 84th percentile among all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren measures in the 77th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 29.6 minutes per game on his home court this year. In terms of offense, the Oklahoma City Thunder's excellent 122.4 points per game with the home court advantage comes in as the strongest in the league over the last 5 games. While on the road and defending other starting Cs, Brook Lopez ranks in the 97th percentile with a monstrous 12.9 shots from the field against him per game this year. The 4th-quickest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Chet Holmgren

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.7
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.7

Chet Holmgren has converted 6.3 buckets per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 84th percentile among all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren measures in the 77th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 29.6 minutes per game on his home court this year. In terms of offense, the Oklahoma City Thunder's excellent 122.4 points per game with the home court advantage comes in as the strongest in the league over the last 5 games. While on the road and defending other starting Cs, Brook Lopez ranks in the 97th percentile with a monstrous 12.9 shots from the field against him per game this year. The 4th-quickest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Gordon Hayward Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

G. Hayward
small forward SF • Oklahoma City
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.6
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.6
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

Relative to last season's 11.6 mark, Gordon Hayward's shots from the field have tailed off this season to 8.0 per game. Gordon Hayward has tallied a measly 24.5 minutes per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 31.5 minutes per game last season. The Bucks have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Thunder. Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, but the Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the league with just 8.8 offensive rebounds per game this year. The matchup vs. the Bucks may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a mere 2.6 free throws per game over the last 25 games (least in the NBA).

Gordon Hayward

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.6
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.6

Relative to last season's 11.6 mark, Gordon Hayward's shots from the field have tailed off this season to 8.0 per game. Gordon Hayward has tallied a measly 24.5 minutes per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 31.5 minutes per game last season. The Bucks have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Thunder. Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, but the Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the league with just 8.8 offensive rebounds per game this year. The matchup vs. the Bucks may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a mere 2.6 free throws per game over the last 25 games (least in the NBA).

Jalen Williams Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Williams
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.4
Best Odds
Over
-121

In contrast to last season's 10.6 rate, Jalen Williams's shots have jumped this season to 14.1 per game. Relative to last year's 33.7% mark, Jalen Williams's 3-point performance has surged this year to 42.7%. Jalen Williams has been on the court for 30.5 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 79th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. In terms of offense, the Oklahoma City Thunder's excellent 122.4 points per game with the home court advantage comes in as the strongest in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. Milwaukee is a good one for shots from the field; when the Bucks are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the 3rd-most buckets per game in the league this year (7.0).

Jalen Williams

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.4
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.4

In contrast to last season's 10.6 rate, Jalen Williams's shots have jumped this season to 14.1 per game. Relative to last year's 33.7% mark, Jalen Williams's 3-point performance has surged this year to 42.7%. Jalen Williams has been on the court for 30.5 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 79th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. In terms of offense, the Oklahoma City Thunder's excellent 122.4 points per game with the home court advantage comes in as the strongest in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. Milwaukee is a good one for shots from the field; when the Bucks are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the 3rd-most buckets per game in the league this year (7.0).

Malik Beasley Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

M. Beasley
shooting guard SG • Milwaukee
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.7
Best Odds
Over
-108
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.7
Best Odds
Over
-108
Projection Rating

Malik Beasley has attempted 8.9 three-pointers per game over the last 15 games when playing on the road, 1.5 more than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road. Malik Beasley has tallied 29.3 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, putting him in the 79th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. This year, the other team's starting SGs have shot 44.1% on three-pointers (2nd-highest in the league) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, resulting in a positive matchup. The Thunder have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Bucks.

Malik Beasley

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.7
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.7

Malik Beasley has attempted 8.9 three-pointers per game over the last 15 games when playing on the road, 1.5 more than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road. Malik Beasley has tallied 29.3 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, putting him in the 79th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. This year, the other team's starting SGs have shot 44.1% on three-pointers (2nd-highest in the league) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, resulting in a positive matchup. The Thunder have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Bucks.

Luguentz Dort Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

L. Dort
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.1
Best Odds
Under
-110

The Bucks have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Thunder. Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, but the Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the league with just 8.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Luguentz Dort

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.1
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.1

The Bucks have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Thunder. Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, but the Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the league with just 8.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Josh Giddey Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Giddey
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.5
Best Odds
Over
-120

Josh Giddey has made 7.2 baskets per game over the last 10 games, 2.2 more than he's made overall this year. Josh Giddey has averaged 30.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.8 higher than he's averaged in all games this year. In terms of offense, the Oklahoma City Thunder's excellent 122.4 points per game with the home court advantage comes in as the strongest in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Bucks is a strong one; they have given up the most points per game in the league to opposing starting PGs this year (21.7). The 4th-quickest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Josh Giddey

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.5
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.5

Josh Giddey has made 7.2 baskets per game over the last 10 games, 2.2 more than he's made overall this year. Josh Giddey has averaged 30.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.8 higher than he's averaged in all games this year. In terms of offense, the Oklahoma City Thunder's excellent 122.4 points per game with the home court advantage comes in as the strongest in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Bucks is a strong one; they have given up the most points per game in the league to opposing starting PGs this year (21.7). The 4th-quickest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Bobby Portis Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

B. Portis
power forward PF • Milwaukee
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.1
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
19.5 Points Scored
Projection
19.1
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

Bobby Portis has averaged 2.2 personal fouls per game when playing away from home this year, ranking in the 77th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone. The matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder is a difficult one for field goals; the other team's starting PFs have posted the 8th-lowest FG% in the NBA this year (46.3%). The 3rd-slowest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks. The Bucks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists). Bobby Portis will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium tends to lower stat production for all stats.

Bobby Portis

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.1
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.1

Bobby Portis has averaged 2.2 personal fouls per game when playing away from home this year, ranking in the 77th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone. The matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder is a difficult one for field goals; the other team's starting PFs have posted the 8th-lowest FG% in the NBA this year (46.3%). The 3rd-slowest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks. The Bucks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists). Bobby Portis will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium tends to lower stat production for all stats.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

S. Gilgeous-Alexander
point guard PG • Oklahoma City
Prop
29.5
Points Scored
Projection
30.1
Best Odds
Over
-110

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has registered 30.4 points per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 99th percentile. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has made 52.5% of his shots from downtown over the last 15 games at home, 16.4% higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year with the home court advantage. Among all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander registers in the 92nd percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 34.3 minutes per game playing at home this year. In terms of offense, the Oklahoma City Thunder's excellent 122.4 points per game with the home court advantage comes in as the strongest in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Bucks is a strong one; they have given up the most points per game in the league to opposing starting PGs this year (21.7).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Prop: 29.5 Points Scored
Projection: 30.1
Prop:
29.5 Points Scored
Projection:
30.1

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has registered 30.4 points per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 99th percentile. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has made 52.5% of his shots from downtown over the last 15 games at home, 16.4% higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year with the home court advantage. Among all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander registers in the 92nd percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 34.3 minutes per game playing at home this year. In terms of offense, the Oklahoma City Thunder's excellent 122.4 points per game with the home court advantage comes in as the strongest in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Bucks is a strong one; they have given up the most points per game in the league to opposing starting PGs this year (21.7).

Khris Middleton Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

K. Middleton
small forward SF • Milwaukee
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.7
Best Odds
Over
-106

Khris Middleton has successfully made 61.2% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 12.2% higher than he's put through the net in all games this year. Khris Middleton has converted 50.1% of his three-point attempts over the last 15 games, 10.2% more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year. The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The Thunder have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Bucks. The matchup vs. Oklahoma may be a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a massive 4.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Thunder are on their home court (7th-most in the league).

Khris Middleton

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.7
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.7

Khris Middleton has successfully made 61.2% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 12.2% higher than he's put through the net in all games this year. Khris Middleton has converted 50.1% of his three-point attempts over the last 15 games, 10.2% more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year. The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The Thunder have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Bucks. The matchup vs. Oklahoma may be a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a massive 4.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Thunder are on their home court (7th-most in the league).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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