Final OT Nov 21
DET 121 -2.0 o222.0
CHA 123 2.0 u222.0
Final Nov 21
MIN 105 -7.0 o226.0
TOR 110 7.0 u226.0
Final Nov 21
UTA 118 3.0 o224.0
SA 126 -3.0 u224.0
Final Nov 21
ORL 119 5.0 o216.0
LAL 118 -5.0 u216.0
Dallas 5th WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32
LA 4th WESTERN CONFERENCE51-31

Dallas @ LA props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Paul George Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

P. George
small forward SF • L.A. Clippers
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.1
Best Odds
Over
+1600

Among all players in the league, Paul George measures in the 96th percentile for 3-point attempts when playing at home, logging 7.6 per game this year. Among all players in the league, Paul George comes in at the 90th percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 33.5 minutes per game when playing at home this year. The LA Clippers have been the 4th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 16.0 field goal attempts per game (highest in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, making this a strong matchup. Paul George has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 8.8% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season playing at home.

Paul George

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.1
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.1

Among all players in the league, Paul George measures in the 96th percentile for 3-point attempts when playing at home, logging 7.6 per game this year. Among all players in the league, Paul George comes in at the 90th percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 33.5 minutes per game when playing at home this year. The LA Clippers have been the 4th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 16.0 field goal attempts per game (highest in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, making this a strong matchup. Paul George has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 8.8% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season playing at home.

James Harden Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

J. Harden
shooting guard SG • L.A. Clippers
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.6
Best Odds
Over
+1300

James Harden has registered 21.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.6 more than he's registered in all games this season. James Harden has converted 3.4 treys per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 more than he's made from downtown over the course of the year. James Harden has tallied 34.1 minutes per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. The LA Clippers have been the 4th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 2.4 three-pointers per game (9th-highest in the league) vs. the Mavericks, labeling this as a good matchup.

James Harden

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.6
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.6

James Harden has registered 21.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.6 more than he's registered in all games this season. James Harden has converted 3.4 treys per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 more than he's made from downtown over the course of the year. James Harden has tallied 34.1 minutes per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. The LA Clippers have been the 4th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 2.4 three-pointers per game (9th-highest in the league) vs. the Mavericks, labeling this as a good matchup.

Kyrie Irving Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Irving
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
27
Best Odds
Over
+1100

Kyrie Irving has successfully made 4.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's made from 3-point range overall this year. Kyrie Irving has played 39.8 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.5 more than he's played in all games this year. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks rank 9th-best in in the NBA with 11.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Kyrie Irving has successfully made 5.0 foul shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.6 higher than he's converted overall this season. The matchup vs. the LA Clippers may be a favorable one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SGs have attempted a massive 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (5th-most in the NBA).

Kyrie Irving

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27

Kyrie Irving has successfully made 4.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's made from 3-point range overall this year. Kyrie Irving has played 39.8 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.5 more than he's played in all games this year. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks rank 9th-best in in the NBA with 11.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Kyrie Irving has successfully made 5.0 foul shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.6 higher than he's converted overall this season. The matchup vs. the LA Clippers may be a favorable one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SGs have attempted a massive 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (5th-most in the NBA).

Amir Coffey Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

A. Coffey
shooting guard SG • L.A. Clippers
Prop
3.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.6
Best Odds
Over
+390
Prop
3.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.6
Best Odds
Over
+390
Projection Rating

Amir Coffey has attempted 5.2 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.3 more than he's attempted overall this year at home. Amir Coffey has been on the court for 27.5 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.7 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season. The LA Clippers have been the 4th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. Amir Coffey has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 17.0% higher than he's made in all games this season. Amir Coffey will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home tends to improve player production across the board.

Amir Coffey

Prop: 3.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.6
Prop:
3.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.6

Amir Coffey has attempted 5.2 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.3 more than he's attempted overall this year at home. Amir Coffey has been on the court for 27.5 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.7 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season. The LA Clippers have been the 4th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. Amir Coffey has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 17.0% higher than he's made in all games this season. Amir Coffey will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home tends to improve player production across the board.

P.J. Washington Points Scored Props • Dallas

P. Washington
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.5
Best Odds
Over
+130

Out of all players in the league, P.J. Washington ranks in the 87th percentile for shot attempts from downtown, tallying 5.6 per game this year. Out of all players in the league, P.J. Washington measures in the 81st percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 30.1 minutes per game while playing on the road this year. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks rank 9th-best in in the NBA with 11.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. The matchup against the LA Clippers is a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 4.1 foul shots per game this year (9th-most in the NBA).

P.J. Washington

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.5
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.5

Out of all players in the league, P.J. Washington ranks in the 87th percentile for shot attempts from downtown, tallying 5.6 per game this year. Out of all players in the league, P.J. Washington measures in the 81st percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 30.1 minutes per game while playing on the road this year. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks rank 9th-best in in the NBA with 11.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. The matchup against the LA Clippers is a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 4.1 foul shots per game this year (9th-most in the NBA).

Ivica Zubac Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

I. Zubac
center C • L.A. Clippers
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.8
Best Odds
Under
+120

Out of all players in the NBA, Ivica Zubac comes in at the 4th percentile for 3-point proficiency with a lackluster 0.0% rate since the start of last season. Ivica Zubac has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game at home this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone. The Clippers have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Clippers will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from being pitted against the 9th-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Dallas Mavericks). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the LA Clippers rank 10thworst in in the league with just 10.0 offensive boards per game this year.

Ivica Zubac

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.8
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.8

Out of all players in the NBA, Ivica Zubac comes in at the 4th percentile for 3-point proficiency with a lackluster 0.0% rate since the start of last season. Ivica Zubac has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game at home this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone. The Clippers have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Clippers will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from being pitted against the 9th-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Dallas Mavericks). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the LA Clippers rank 10thworst in in the league with just 10.0 offensive boards per game this year.

Russell Westbrook Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

R. Westbrook
point guard PG • L.A. Clippers
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.1
Best Odds
Over
+100

Russell Westbrook has successfully made 45.8% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games at home, 19.4% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the year while on his home court. The LA Clippers have been the 4th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. Russell Westbrook ought to see a spike in output across the board in light of possessing the home court advantage in this game.

Russell Westbrook

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.1
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.1

Russell Westbrook has successfully made 45.8% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games at home, 19.4% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the year while on his home court. The LA Clippers have been the 4th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. Russell Westbrook ought to see a spike in output across the board in light of possessing the home court advantage in this game.

Daniel Gafford Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Gafford
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
8
Best Odds
Over
+104

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks rank 9th-best in in the NBA with 11.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Daniel Gafford

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks rank 9th-best in in the NBA with 11.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Jones Jr.
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.2
Best Odds
Under
+101
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.2
Best Odds
Under
+101
Projection Rating

Derrick Jones Jr. has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 more than he's averaged overall this season. The 9th-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks. The Mavericks will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 5th-most lethargic pace team in the league over the last 25 games (the Clippers). Derrick Jones Jr. has sunk a measly 65.5% of his foul shot attempts this year, a significant dropoff from his 73.3 rate last year. As it relates to drawing fouls, the Mavericks's lackluster 20.7 free throw attempts per game without the home court advantage ranks 7th-worst in the league this year.

Derrick Jones Jr.

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.2
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.2

Derrick Jones Jr. has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 more than he's averaged overall this season. The 9th-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks. The Mavericks will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 5th-most lethargic pace team in the league over the last 25 games (the Clippers). Derrick Jones Jr. has sunk a measly 65.5% of his foul shot attempts this year, a significant dropoff from his 73.3 rate last year. As it relates to drawing fouls, the Mavericks's lackluster 20.7 free throw attempts per game without the home court advantage ranks 7th-worst in the league this year.

Luka Doncic Points Scored Props • Dallas

L. Doncic
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
35.5
Points Scored
Projection
32.6
Best Odds
Under
+112
Prop
35.5 Points Scored
Projection
32.6
Best Odds
Under
+112
Projection Rating

The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a tough one for field goals; when the Clippers are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PGs have compiled the 8th-lowest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (42.1%). The 9th-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks. The Mavericks will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 5th-most lethargic pace team in the league over the last 25 games (the Clippers). Luka Doncic has attempted a mere 8.6 free throws per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 10.5 mark last season. As it relates to drawing fouls, the Mavericks's lackluster 20.7 free throw attempts per game without the home court advantage ranks 7th-worst in the league this year.

Luka Doncic

Prop: 35.5 Points Scored
Projection: 32.6
Prop:
35.5 Points Scored
Projection:
32.6

The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a tough one for field goals; when the Clippers are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PGs have compiled the 8th-lowest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (42.1%). The 9th-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks. The Mavericks will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 5th-most lethargic pace team in the league over the last 25 games (the Clippers). Luka Doncic has attempted a mere 8.6 free throws per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 10.5 mark last season. As it relates to drawing fouls, the Mavericks's lackluster 20.7 free throw attempts per game without the home court advantage ranks 7th-worst in the league this year.

Terance Mann Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

T. Mann
shooting guard SG • L.A. Clippers
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.1
Best Odds
Over
-115

Terance Mann has sunk 51.7% of his attempts from downtown over the last 10 games at home, 11.7% more than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the year while on his home court. The LA Clippers have been the 4th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. This year, the opposition's starting SGs have totaled 6.1 three attempts per game (5th-most in the league) against the Mavericks, labeling this as a strong matchup. The matchup against Kyrie Irving is a favorable one for field goals; when Irving is away from his home court fellow starting SGs this year, they have sunk an enormous 48.0% of their field goals (80th percentile). Terance Mann has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 14.3% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season.

Terance Mann

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.1
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.1

Terance Mann has sunk 51.7% of his attempts from downtown over the last 10 games at home, 11.7% more than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the year while on his home court. The LA Clippers have been the 4th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. This year, the opposition's starting SGs have totaled 6.1 three attempts per game (5th-most in the league) against the Mavericks, labeling this as a strong matchup. The matchup against Kyrie Irving is a favorable one for field goals; when Irving is away from his home court fellow starting SGs this year, they have sunk an enormous 48.0% of their field goals (80th percentile). Terance Mann has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 14.3% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season.

Dereck Lively II Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Lively II
center C • Dallas
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
6
Best Odds
Under
-650
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
6
Best Odds
Under
-650
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Dereck Lively II rates in the 6th percentile for three-point performance while playing on the road with a lackluster 0.0% rate this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Dereck Lively II ranks in the 83rd percentile for personal fouls, tallying a colossal 2.4 fouls per game away from home this year. The 9th-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks. The Mavericks will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 5th-most lethargic pace team in the league over the last 25 games (the Clippers). As it relates to drawing fouls, the Mavericks's lackluster 20.7 free throw attempts per game without the home court advantage ranks 7th-worst in the league this year.

Dereck Lively II

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6

Among all players in the league, Dereck Lively II rates in the 6th percentile for three-point performance while playing on the road with a lackluster 0.0% rate this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Dereck Lively II ranks in the 83rd percentile for personal fouls, tallying a colossal 2.4 fouls per game away from home this year. The 9th-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks. The Mavericks will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 5th-most lethargic pace team in the league over the last 25 games (the Clippers). As it relates to drawing fouls, the Mavericks's lackluster 20.7 free throw attempts per game without the home court advantage ranks 7th-worst in the league this year.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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