Final Apr 7
SAC 127 5.5 o231.5
DET 117 -5.5 u231.5
Final Apr 7
PHI 105 10.5 o215.5
MIA 117 -10.5 u215.5
Charlotte 14th EASTERN CONFERENCE19-59
Dallas 10th WESTERN CONFERENCE38-41

Charlotte @ Dallas props

American Airlines Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Miles Bridges Points Scored Props • Charlotte

M. Bridges
small forward SF • Charlotte
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.9
Best Odds
Under
-113
Prop
23.5 Points Scored
Projection
20.9
Best Odds
Under
-113
Projection Rating

The Charlotte Hornets check in as the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 7th-most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 5 games on their home court, which should decrease plays for the Charlotte Hornets. The matchup vs. Dallas is a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a mere 2.5 foul shots per game this year when the Dallas Mavericks have the home court advantage (3rd-least in the league). Miles Bridges should suffer a reduction in output in all stat categories in light of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

Miles Bridges

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.9
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.9

The Charlotte Hornets check in as the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 7th-most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 5 games on their home court, which should decrease plays for the Charlotte Hornets. The matchup vs. Dallas is a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a mere 2.5 foul shots per game this year when the Dallas Mavericks have the home court advantage (3rd-least in the league). Miles Bridges should suffer a reduction in output in all stat categories in light of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

Mark Williams Points Scored Props • Charlotte

M. Williams
center C • Charlotte
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.4
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.4
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Mark Williams has sunk 69.8% of his shots from the field over the last 8 games on the road, 7.9% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season when playing away from home. Mark Williams has been on the court for 29.3 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 4.3 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the season. The 5th-speediest tempo visiting team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Hornets. The Charlotte Hornets rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists). Mark Williams has attempted 6.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 1.9 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road.

Mark Williams

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.4
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.4

Mark Williams has sunk 69.8% of his shots from the field over the last 8 games on the road, 7.9% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season when playing away from home. Mark Williams has been on the court for 29.3 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 4.3 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the season. The 5th-speediest tempo visiting team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Hornets. The Charlotte Hornets rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists). Mark Williams has attempted 6.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 1.9 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road.

Kyrie Irving Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Irving
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.9
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
28.5 Points Scored
Projection
25.9
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

The matchup against the Charlotte Hornets is a challenging one for shot attempts from the field; the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied the least field goal attempts per game in the league this year (11.3). The 7th-slowest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Charlotte Hornets is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a lowly 2.9 free throws per game this year (3rd-least in the league).

Kyrie Irving

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.9
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.9

The matchup against the Charlotte Hornets is a challenging one for shot attempts from the field; the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied the least field goal attempts per game in the league this year (11.3). The 7th-slowest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Charlotte Hornets is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a lowly 2.9 free throws per game this year (3rd-least in the league).

Naji Marshall Points Scored Props • Dallas

N. Marshall
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.1
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.1
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

Naji Marshall has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 0.8 higher than he's averaged overall this year at home. The 7th-slowest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists). This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 foul shots per game (3rd-fewest in the league) against the Hornets, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

Naji Marshall

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.1
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.1

Naji Marshall has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 0.8 higher than he's averaged overall this year at home. The 7th-slowest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists). This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 foul shots per game (3rd-fewest in the league) against the Hornets, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

Jusuf Nurkic Points Scored Props • Charlotte

J. Nurkic
center C • Charlotte
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Under
-136
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Under
-136
Projection Rating

In comparison to last year's 27.3 rate, Jusuf Nurkic's playing time has decreased this year to 22.9 minutes per game. Jusuf Nurkic has committed 2.9 personal fouls per game when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 95th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone. The Charlotte Hornets check in as the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games. The Hornets have played at the 5th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 7th-most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 5 games on their home court, which should decrease plays for the Charlotte Hornets.

Jusuf Nurkic

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.1
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.1

In comparison to last year's 27.3 rate, Jusuf Nurkic's playing time has decreased this year to 22.9 minutes per game. Jusuf Nurkic has committed 2.9 personal fouls per game when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 95th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone. The Charlotte Hornets check in as the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games. The Hornets have played at the 5th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 7th-most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 5 games on their home court, which should decrease plays for the Charlotte Hornets.

Spencer Dinwiddie Points Scored Props • Dallas

S. Dinwiddie
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Under
+100
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Under
+100
Projection Rating

The 7th-slowest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Spencer Dinwiddie

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.7
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.7

The 7th-slowest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Josh Green Points Scored Props • Charlotte

J. Green
shooting guard SG • Charlotte
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.2
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.2
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Josh Green has successfully made 49.7% of his field goals over the last 15 games, 8.1% more than he's put through the net in all games this year. The 5th-speediest tempo visiting team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Hornets. The Charlotte Hornets rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 17 games when they are on the road, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 3.5 foul shots per game (8th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks, making it fairly effortless to get to the free-throw line.

Josh Green

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.2
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.2

Josh Green has successfully made 49.7% of his field goals over the last 15 games, 8.1% more than he's put through the net in all games this year. The 5th-speediest tempo visiting team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Hornets. The Charlotte Hornets rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 17 games when they are on the road, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 3.5 foul shots per game (8th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks, making it fairly effortless to get to the free-throw line.

Moussa Diabate Points Scored Props • Charlotte

M. Diabate
center C • Charlotte
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.2
Best Odds
Under
+100
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.2
Best Odds
Under
+100
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Moussa Diabate comes in at the 6th percentile for three-point proficiency with a feeble 0.0% rate this year. The Charlotte Hornets check in as the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 7th-most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 5 games on their home court, which should decrease plays for the Charlotte Hornets. Moussa Diabate will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road usually reduces stat production for all stats.

Moussa Diabate

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.2
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.2

Among all players in the NBA, Moussa Diabate comes in at the 6th percentile for three-point proficiency with a feeble 0.0% rate this year. The Charlotte Hornets check in as the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 7th-most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 5 games on their home court, which should decrease plays for the Charlotte Hornets. Moussa Diabate will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road usually reduces stat production for all stats.

Klay Thompson Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Thompson
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.9
Best Odds
Under
-106
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.9
Best Odds
Under
-106
Projection Rating

The 7th-slowest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Klay Thompson

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.9
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.9

The 7th-slowest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

LaMelo Ball Points Scored Props • Charlotte

L. Ball
point guard PG • Charlotte
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.6
Best Odds
Over
-108
Prop
22.5 Points Scored
Projection
23.6
Best Odds
Over
-108
Projection Rating

LaMelo Ball has attempted 22.1 shots per game this year, significantly higher than his 19.2 mark last year. LaMelo Ball has attempted 11.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, a big improvement over his 9.0 mark last year. LaMelo Ball has been on the court for 32.2 minutes per game away from home this year, placing him in the 85th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. The 5th-speediest tempo visiting team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Hornets. The Charlotte Hornets rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

LaMelo Ball

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.6
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.6

LaMelo Ball has attempted 22.1 shots per game this year, significantly higher than his 19.2 mark last year. LaMelo Ball has attempted 11.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, a big improvement over his 9.0 mark last year. LaMelo Ball has been on the court for 32.2 minutes per game away from home this year, placing him in the 85th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. The 5th-speediest tempo visiting team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Hornets. The Charlotte Hornets rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Max Christie Points Scored Props • Dallas

M. Christie
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.9
Best Odds
Under
-113
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.9
Best Odds
Under
-113
Projection Rating

The 7th-slowest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Max Christie

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.9
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.9

The 7th-slowest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

P.J. Washington Points Scored Props • Dallas

P. Washington
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.2
Best Odds
Over
-108
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.2
Best Odds
Over
-108
Projection Rating

P.J. Washington has put up 19.5 points per game over the last 10 games, 5.0 more than he's put up over the course of the season. P.J. Washington has tallied 32.1 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. In terms of scoring, the Dallas Mavericks's excellent 47.7% field goal rate ranks 9th-highest in the NBA this year. This year, opposing starting PFs have shot 55.8% on field goals (highest in the NBA) vs. the Charlotte Hornets, identifying this as a favorable matchup. The Hornets have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games while traveling, which ought to raise plays for the Dallas Mavericks.

P.J. Washington

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.2
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.2

P.J. Washington has put up 19.5 points per game over the last 10 games, 5.0 more than he's put up over the course of the season. P.J. Washington has tallied 32.1 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. In terms of scoring, the Dallas Mavericks's excellent 47.7% field goal rate ranks 9th-highest in the NBA this year. This year, opposing starting PFs have shot 55.8% on field goals (highest in the NBA) vs. the Charlotte Hornets, identifying this as a favorable matchup. The Hornets have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games while traveling, which ought to raise plays for the Dallas Mavericks.

Nick Smith Jr. Points Scored Props • Charlotte

N. Smith Jr.
shooting guard SG • Charlotte
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.9
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.9
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Nick Smith Jr. has attempted 14.6 shots per game over the last 5 games, 6.2 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. Nick Smith Jr. has attempted 7.8 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 3.2 higher than he's attempted overall this year. Nick Smith Jr. has played 32.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 11.7 higher than he's played in all games this season. This year when they are away from home, opposing starting SGs have tallied 2.8 3-pointers per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, identifying this as a favorable matchup. The 5th-speediest tempo visiting team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Hornets.

Nick Smith Jr.

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.9
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.9

Nick Smith Jr. has attempted 14.6 shots per game over the last 5 games, 6.2 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. Nick Smith Jr. has attempted 7.8 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 3.2 higher than he's attempted overall this year. Nick Smith Jr. has played 32.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 11.7 higher than he's played in all games this season. This year when they are away from home, opposing starting SGs have tallied 2.8 3-pointers per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, identifying this as a favorable matchup. The 5th-speediest tempo visiting team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Hornets.

DaQuan Jeffries Points Scored Props • Charlotte

D. Jeffries
shooting guard SG • Charlotte
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.65
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-120
Under
-110
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
6.65
Best Odds
Over
-120
Under
-110

DaQuan Jeffries has gone over 4.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.

Olivier-Maxence Prosper Points Scored Props • Dallas

O. Prosper
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
3.87
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-110
Under
-118
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
3.87
Best Odds
Over
-110
Under
-118

Olivier-Maxence Prosper has gone over 6.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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