Final Mar 27
IND 162 -12.0 o234.0
WAS 109 12.0 u234.0
Final Mar 27
SA 116 14.0 o236.5
CLE 124 -14.0 u236.5
Final Mar 27
DAL 101 7.0 o216.0
ORL 92 -7.0 u216.0
Final Mar 27
ATL 112 1.5 o224.5
MIA 122 -1.5 u224.5
Final Mar 27
MEM 104 10.5 o237.0
OKC 125 -10.5 u237.0
Final Mar 27
LAL 117 -4.0 o236.5
CHI 119 4.0 u236.5
Final Mar 27
HOU 121 -13.5 o227.0
UTA 110 13.5 u227.0
Final Mar 27
POR 107 5.5 o227.0
SAC 128 -5.5 u227.0
Detroit 5th EASTERN CONFERENCE41-32
Dallas 10th WESTERN CONFERENCE36-38

Detroit @ Dallas props

American Airlines Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

P.J. Washington Points Scored Props • Dallas

P. Washington
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.1
Best Odds
Under
-122
Prop
19.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.1
Best Odds
Under
-122
Projection Rating

The matchup against the Detroit Pistons is a hard one for shots from behind the three-point arc; opposing starting PFs have tallied the 2nd-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.0). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks rank 1stworst in in the NBA with just 7.2 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

P.J. Washington

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.1
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.1

The matchup against the Detroit Pistons is a hard one for shots from behind the three-point arc; opposing starting PFs have tallied the 2nd-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.0). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks rank 1stworst in in the NBA with just 7.2 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Naji Marshall Points Scored Props • Dallas

N. Marshall
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
17
Best Odds
Under
-115

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks rank 1stworst in in the NBA with just 7.2 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Naji Marshall

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks rank 1stworst in in the NBA with just 7.2 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Cade Cunningham Points Scored Props • Detroit

C. Cunningham
point guard PG • Detroit
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.7
Best Odds
Under
-125
Prop
27.5 Points Scored
Projection
25.7
Best Odds
Under
-125
Projection Rating

This year when they are away from home, opposing starting PGs have totaled 4.6 3-point attempts per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, creating a hard matchup. As a team, the Detroit Pistons have been poor at getting to the foul line as the road team: 10th-worst in the league this year, tallying a mere 20.8 free throws per game. Over the last 20 games, opposing starting PGs have attempted 2.9 foul shots per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Mavericks, finding it difficult to get to the foul line. Cade Cunningham will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road usually worsens player performance for all stats.

Cade Cunningham

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.7
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.7

This year when they are away from home, opposing starting PGs have totaled 4.6 3-point attempts per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, creating a hard matchup. As a team, the Detroit Pistons have been poor at getting to the foul line as the road team: 10th-worst in the league this year, tallying a mere 20.8 free throws per game. Over the last 20 games, opposing starting PGs have attempted 2.9 foul shots per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Mavericks, finding it difficult to get to the foul line. Cade Cunningham will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road usually worsens player performance for all stats.

Tobias Harris Points Scored Props • Detroit

T. Harris
power forward PF • Detroit
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.5
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.5
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Tobias Harris has sunk 54.0% of his field goals over the last 15 games, 7.1% more than he's made overall this season. Tobias Harris has tallied 31.3 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. The matchup against the Dallas Mavericks is a strong one for shot attempts from the field; the other team's starting PFs have averaged the most FG attempts per game in the league this year (16.0). The Detroit Pistons have played at the quickest pace in the league over the last 20 games. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to more possessions for the Detroit Pistons.

Tobias Harris

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.5
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.5

Tobias Harris has sunk 54.0% of his field goals over the last 15 games, 7.1% more than he's made overall this season. Tobias Harris has tallied 31.3 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. The matchup against the Dallas Mavericks is a strong one for shot attempts from the field; the other team's starting PFs have averaged the most FG attempts per game in the league this year (16.0). The Detroit Pistons have played at the quickest pace in the league over the last 20 games. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to more possessions for the Detroit Pistons.

Klay Thompson Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Thompson
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.8
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.8
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

This year, opposing starting SGs have shot 27.6% on three-pointers (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Detroit Pistons, creating a tough matchup. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks rank 1stworst in in the NBA with just 7.2 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Klay Thompson

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.8
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.8

This year, opposing starting SGs have shot 27.6% on three-pointers (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Detroit Pistons, creating a tough matchup. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks rank 1stworst in in the NBA with just 7.2 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Ausar Thompson Points Scored Props • Detroit

A. Thompson
small forward SF • Detroit
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.2
Best Odds
Over
-104
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.2
Best Odds
Over
-104
Projection Rating

Ausar Thompson has converted 64.5% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 8.5% more than he's sunk overall this year on the road. Ausar Thompson has sunk 50.0% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games, 23.8% more than he's made from downtown overall this year. The Detroit Pistons have played at the quickest pace in the league over the last 20 games. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to more possessions for the Detroit Pistons. The Detroit Pistons rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Ausar Thompson

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.2
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.2

Ausar Thompson has converted 64.5% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 8.5% more than he's sunk overall this year on the road. Ausar Thompson has sunk 50.0% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games, 23.8% more than he's made from downtown overall this year. The Detroit Pistons have played at the quickest pace in the league over the last 20 games. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to more possessions for the Detroit Pistons. The Detroit Pistons rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Spencer Dinwiddie Points Scored Props • Dallas

S. Dinwiddie
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.1
Best Odds
Under
-113
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.1
Best Odds
Under
-113
Projection Rating

The matchup vs. Detroit is a challenging one for shots from the field; when the Pistons are away from home, the opposing team's starting PGs have posted the 2nd-lowest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (37.4%). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks rank 1stworst in in the NBA with just 7.2 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Spencer Dinwiddie

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.1
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.1

The matchup vs. Detroit is a challenging one for shots from the field; when the Pistons are away from home, the opposing team's starting PGs have posted the 2nd-lowest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (37.4%). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks rank 1stworst in in the NBA with just 7.2 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Tim Hardaway Jr. Points Scored Props • Detroit

T. Hardaway Jr.
shooting guard SG • Detroit
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds
Over
-128
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds
Over
-128
Projection Rating

The matchup against Dallas is a strong one for 3-pointers; when the Dallas Mavericks are at home, the opposition's starting SGs have totaled the 3rd-most three-point shots per game in the league this year (2.8). The Detroit Pistons have played at the quickest pace in the league over the last 20 games. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to more possessions for the Detroit Pistons. The Detroit Pistons rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists). Tim Hardaway Jr. has sunk 87.0% of his free throws over the last 15 games, 7.8% higher than he's made overall this year.

Tim Hardaway Jr.

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.4
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.4

The matchup against Dallas is a strong one for 3-pointers; when the Dallas Mavericks are at home, the opposition's starting SGs have totaled the 3rd-most three-point shots per game in the league this year (2.8). The Detroit Pistons have played at the quickest pace in the league over the last 20 games. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to more possessions for the Detroit Pistons. The Detroit Pistons rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists). Tim Hardaway Jr. has sunk 87.0% of his free throws over the last 15 games, 7.8% higher than he's made overall this year.

Jalen Duren Points Scored Props • Detroit

J. Duren
center C • Detroit
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.3
Best Odds
Under
-106
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.3
Best Odds
Under
-106
Projection Rating

Jalen Duren has attempted 0.0 threes per game while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 4th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Among all players in the league, Jalen Duren registers in the 99th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a colossal 3.2 fouls per game this year. As a team, the Detroit Pistons have been poor at getting to the foul line as the road team: 10th-worst in the league this year, tallying a mere 20.8 free throws per game. The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting Cs against Kai Jones has been quite low since the start of last season (2.3 foul shot attempts per game when they are at home: 7th percentile). Jalen Duren will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road tends to lower stat production in all stat categories.

Jalen Duren

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.3
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.3

Jalen Duren has attempted 0.0 threes per game while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 4th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Among all players in the league, Jalen Duren registers in the 99th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a colossal 3.2 fouls per game this year. As a team, the Detroit Pistons have been poor at getting to the foul line as the road team: 10th-worst in the league this year, tallying a mere 20.8 free throws per game. The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting Cs against Kai Jones has been quite low since the start of last season (2.3 foul shot attempts per game when they are at home: 7th percentile). Jalen Duren will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road tends to lower stat production in all stat categories.

Max Christie Points Scored Props • Dallas

M. Christie
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds
Over
-136
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds
Over
-136
Projection Rating

Max Christie has attempted 6.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. As it relates to shooting, the Dallas Mavericks's exceptional 120.2 points per game rates 7th-most in the league over the last 5 games. The Mavericks have played at the 4th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Detroit Pistons have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Mavericks. Max Christie has converted a terrific 1.6 foul shots per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 0.6 mark last year.

Max Christie

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.4
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.4

Max Christie has attempted 6.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. As it relates to shooting, the Dallas Mavericks's exceptional 120.2 points per game rates 7th-most in the league over the last 5 games. The Mavericks have played at the 4th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Detroit Pistons have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Mavericks. Max Christie has converted a terrific 1.6 foul shots per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 0.6 mark last year.

Malik Beasley Points Scored Props • Detroit

M. Beasley
shooting guard SG • Detroit
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.7
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.7
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Compared to last year's 9.0 clip, Malik Beasley's shots from the field have surged this year to 12.9 per game. Relative to last year's 2.8 mark, Malik Beasley's 3-pointers sunk have jumped this year to 3.9 per game. The Detroit Pistons have played at the quickest pace in the league over the last 20 games. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to more possessions for the Detroit Pistons. The Detroit Pistons rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Malik Beasley

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.7
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.7

Compared to last year's 9.0 clip, Malik Beasley's shots from the field have surged this year to 12.9 per game. Relative to last year's 2.8 mark, Malik Beasley's 3-pointers sunk have jumped this year to 3.9 per game. The Detroit Pistons have played at the quickest pace in the league over the last 20 games. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to more possessions for the Detroit Pistons. The Detroit Pistons rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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