Utah @ Denver picks

With respect to shooting, the Jazz's unimpressive 107.1 points per game measures as the 3rd-lowest in the NBA over the last 10 games. The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets is a tough one for three-point attempts; opposing starting SFs have averaged the 4th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.9). Over the last 20 games, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (5th-lowest in the league) vs. the Nuggets, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls. Cody Williams will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling generally worsens player performance across the board.

Christian Braun has gone under 3.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Kyle Filipowski has averaged 24.5 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 4.6 higher than he's averaged overall this season. The quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Utah Jazz. The Jazz are expected to see an increase in plays today from facing the 6th-fastest tempo team in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about further chances for scoring and assists, and the Jazz rank 2nd-best in in the NBA as the visting team with 14.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

Aaron Gordon has posted 3.5 assists per game this year at home, placing him among the NBA's leaders by this metric over this stretch: 82nd percentile. The 6th-fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets. The Utah Jazz have played at the speediest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Denver Nuggets. The Nuggets check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists). Aaron Gordon will likely see a spike in output for all stats on account of enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Aaron Gordon has notched 21.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 7.3 higher than he's notched over the course of the season. Aaron Gordon has made 55.5% of his attempts from downtown over the last 15 games, 10.4% higher than he's made from downtown over the course of the year. This year, the other team's starting PFs have tallied 2.4 3-pointers per game (highest in the NBA) against the Jazz, identifying this as a positive matchup. The 6th-fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets. The Utah Jazz have played at the speediest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Denver Nuggets.

Out of all players in the league, Walker Kessler comes in at the 17th percentile for three-point proficiency with a weak 24.6% rate this year. Out of all players in the league, Walker Kessler ranks in the 14th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc, tallying 0.6 per game this year. With respect to three-pointers, the Utah Jazz's lackluster 31.4% rate of drained threes as the away team measures as the 2nd-weakest in the league over the last 15 games. The number of threes made against Nikola Jokic has been quite low (0.5 per game) when matched up against opposing starting Cs this year (3rd percentile). Walker Kessler will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to decrease stat production for all stats.

With respect to shooting, the Jazz's unimpressive 107.1 points per game measures as the 3rd-lowest in the NBA over the last 10 games. The matchup against Denver is a challenging one for 3-point shots; when the Denver Nuggets are at home, opposing starting PGs have shot for the 2nd-lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (20.5%). Isaiah Collier is expected to experience a decrease in efficiency in all stat categories considering playing away from home in this game.

Nikola Jokic has committed 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's committed overall this season. As it relates to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets.