Final Apr 23
ORL 100 10.0 o196.0
BOS 109 -10.0 u196.0
Final Apr 23
MIA 112 12.0 o213.0
CLE 121 -12.0 u213.0
Final Apr 23
GS 94 4.0 o204.5
HOU 109 -4.0 u204.5
Golden State 7th WESTERN CONFERENCE48-33
San Antonio 13th WESTERN CONFERENCE34-48

Golden State @ San Antonio picks

Frost Bank Center

GS vs SA Picks

NBA Picks
Points Scored
K. Johnson u15.5 Points Scored
Projection 13 (Under)
Best Odds
u15.5 -120 bet_rivers_co
Projection updated: 25 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
15.5 +100
15.5 -135
15.5 -112
15.5 -120
15.5 -106
15.5 -128
14.5 -120
14.5 -110
14.5 -122
14.5 -104

The San Antonio Spurs are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play road offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Warriors).

Points Scored
S. Castle u19.5 Points Scored
Projection 16.3 (Under)
Best Odds
u19.5 -145 betmgm
Projection updated: 25 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
19.5 +110
19.5 -145
17.5 -129
17.5 -104
18.5 -118
18.5 -118
18.5 -115
18.5 -115
18.5 -106
18.5 -120

Out of all players in the NBA, Stephon Castle registers in the 20th percentile for 3-point ability with an unimpressive 26.1% rate this year. Stephon Castle has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games, 0.8 higher than he's tallied in all games this year. This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 21.6% on 3-pointers (worst in the league) vs. the Warriors, resulting in a hard matchup. The San Antonio Spurs are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play road offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Warriors).

Points Scored
C. Paul o5.5 Points Scored
Projection 7.3 (Over)
Best Odds
o5.5 -134 bet_rivers_co
Projection updated: 25 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
6.5 -120
6.5 -110
5.5 -134
5.5 +102
6.5 -118
6.5 -118
6.5 -105
6.5 -125
6.5 -102
6.5 -125

Chris Paul has converted 55.2% of his 3-point shots over the last 15 games, 15.5% higher than he's converted from downtown overall this season. This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting PGs have logged 24.4 points per game (highest in the league) against the Golden State Warriors, identifying this as a positive matchup for offensive output. The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). Chris Paul has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 10 games, 9.6% more than he's made overall this season. The matchup vs. Golden State is a good one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a monstrous 7.1 foul shots per game this year when the Golden State Warriors are the visiting team (most in the NBA).

Total Assists
K. Johnson u2.5 Total Assists
Projection 1.7 (Under)
Best Odds
u2.5 -145 bet365
Projection updated: 25 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
2.5 +115
2.5 -145
2.5 +135
2.5 -175
2.5 +126
2.5 -175
2.5 +140
2.5 -180

The San Antonio Spurs are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play road offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Warriors).

Total Assists
J. Sochan o2.5 Total Assists
Projection 2.8 (Over)
Best Odds
o2.5 +140 bet365
Projection updated: 25 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
2.5 +140
2.5 -170
2.5 +130
2.5 -175
2.5 +126
2.5 -175
2.5 +124
2.5 -160

Jeremy Sochan has averaged 2.8 assists per game this year at home, ranking him among the NBA's hottest in this category in recent games: 75th percentile. The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). Jeremy Sochan ought to get a boost in effectiveness across the board as a result of enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

Points Scored
J. Kuminga u16.5 Points Scored
Projection 14.8 (Under)
Best Odds
u16.5 -120 betmgm
Projection updated: 25 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
16.5 -110
16.5 -120
16.5 -114
16.5 -120
16.5 -105
16.5 -125
16.5 -102
16.5 -125

The Golden State Warriors rank as the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Golden State Warriors. Jonathan Kuminga will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling usually reduces player production in all facets of the game.

GS vs SA Consensus Picks

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Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Spread

66% picking San Antonio

34%
66%

Total Picks GS 198, SA 382

Spread
GS
SA
Total

61% picking Golden State vs San Antonio to go Over

61%
39%

Total PicksGS 239, SA 153

Total
Over
Under

GS vs SA Top User Picks

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User Picks

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