Miami @ Washington picks

Relative to last season's 22.7% mark, Justin Champagnie's 3-point ability has spiked this season to 34.2%. Justin Champagnie has played 26.5 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.7 more than he's played overall this season. This year, the other team's starting PFs have shot 43.4% on three-pointers (2nd-best in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, making this a good matchup. The 3rd-fastest tempo home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Wizards. The Wizards have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Relative to last season's 22.7% mark, Justin Champagnie's 3-point ability has spiked this season to 34.2%. Justin Champagnie has played 26.5 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.7 more than he's played overall this season. This year, the other team's starting PFs have shot 43.4% on three-pointers (2nd-best in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, making this a good matchup. The 3rd-fastest tempo home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Wizards. The Wizards have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Tyler Herro has compiled 4.9 defensive rebounds per game away from his home court this year, ranking in the 89th percentile -- among the NBA's best by this metric. Among all players in the league, Tyler Herro rates in the 96th percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 35.4 minutes per game away from home this year. The Heat will likely see a rise in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Wizards).