Boston @ Memphis picks
FedExForum
BOS vs MEM Picks
NBA Picks
Almost all the numbers point to the Celtics, who’ve won nine of their last 10 games. They’ve taken care of business clinically on their current road trip, winning all five contests by 10+ points, and the visitors are 5-1 in their past six matchups against the Grizzlies. Joe Mazzulla’s men aren’t prone to slow starts either. Boston has hit the 1H moneyline in 18 of its last 22 outings, and that’s in stark contrast to a Memphis team that’s only nailed the 1H moneyline in 10 of its past 40 games.
The Memphis Grizzlies will likely suffer a drop-off in plays today from squaring off against the least up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Boston Celtics). This year, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 2.3 free throws per game (fewest in the league) against the Boston Celtics, struggling to get to the foul line.
The matchup against Boston is a favorable one for three-point attempts; when the Boston Celtics are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied the most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.7). The Grizzlies have played at the fastest tempo in the league this year. The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). Jaylen Wells has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 20.2% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year. Jaylen Wells will enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium generally improves player production for all stats.
The Boston Celtics have played at the slowest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games. Al Horford will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally worsens player production in all stat categories.
Among all players in the league, Jaren Jackson Jr. measures in the 75th percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 28.8 minutes per game while playing at home this year. The Grizzlies have played at the fastest tempo in the league this year. The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). Jaren Jackson Jr. ought to get a boost in output across the board as a result of having the home court advantage in this matchup.
Jaren Jackson Jr. has tallied 4.4 defensive boards per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the league by this metric: 85th percentile. Among all players in the league, Jaren Jackson Jr. measures in the 75th percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 28.8 minutes per game while playing at home this year. The Grizzlies have played at the fastest tempo in the league this year. The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). Jaren Jackson Jr. ought to get a boost in output across the board as a result of having the home court advantage in this matchup.
BOS vs MEM Consensus Picks
View all Consensus Picks66% picking Boston vs Memphis to go Over
Total PicksBOS 243, MEM 125