Brooklyn @ Dallas picks
American Airlines Center
BK vs DAL Picks
NBA PicksOut of all players in the NBA, Daniel Gafford comes in at the 95th percentile for scoring efficiency on his home court with a very good 62.8% rate this year. Daniel Gafford has played 28.3 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.4 higher than he's played over the course of the year. In regard to shooting, the Mavericks's superb 51.4% field goal rate places 2nd-best in the league over the last 10 games. The rate of shots hit against Nic Claxton has been very high (62.6%) when defending fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The Mavericks have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The 2nd-slowest pace away offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Brooklyn Nets. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Nets grade out 9thworst in in the NBA away from home with just 10.5 offensive rebounds per game this year. Cameron Johnson will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road tends to decrease stat production in all stat categories.
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 15 games on the road, which ought to decrease possessions for the Dallas Mavericks. Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with just 7.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.
Tyrese Martin has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 1.3 higher than he's been called for in all games this year on the road. The 2nd-slowest pace away offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Brooklyn Nets. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Nets grade out 9thworst in in the NBA away from home with just 10.5 offensive rebounds per game this year. Tyrese Martin will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling usually worsens player production in all facets of the game.
Spencer Dinwiddie has posted 17.8 points per game over the last 10 games, 6.7 more than he's posted in all games this season. Spencer Dinwiddie has made 52.9% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 11.0% higher than he's converted in all games this year. Spencer Dinwiddie has played 34.9 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 8.3 higher than he's played overall this year. In regard to shooting, the Mavericks's superb 51.4% field goal rate places 2nd-best in the league over the last 10 games. This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting PGs have tallied 3.5 3-pointers per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Brooklyn Nets, identifying this as a positive matchup.
BK vs DAL Consensus Picks
View all Consensus Picks62% picking Brooklyn vs Dallas to go Over
Total PicksBK 223, DAL 139