Minnesota @ Detroit props

The Vikings will be rolling with backup quarterback Nick Mullens in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing. At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this game, implying more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Vikings to pass on 65.0% of their plays: the 3rd-highest rate among all teams this week. The predictive model expects the Minnesota Vikings offense to be the 9th-fastest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 26.72 seconds per play. The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.

The predictive model expects the Lions to call the 7th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.3 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics. The 4th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a staggering 60.9 per game on average). This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness. Opposing QBs have averaged 38.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Vikings defense this year: 7th-most in football. With an excellent 3.6 adjusted catches per game (96th percentile) this year, Jahmyr Gibbs has been among the top pass-catching RBs in the NFL.

The Detroit Lions pass defense has surrendered the lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (70.1%) versus running backs this year (70.1%).

The Vikings will be rolling with backup quarterback Nick Mullens in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing. At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this game, implying more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Vikings to pass on 65.0% of their plays: the 3rd-highest rate among all teams this week. The predictive model expects the Minnesota Vikings offense to be the 9th-fastest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 26.72 seconds per play. The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.