There are very few things in life as certain as Jalen Hurts getting the ball on a goal-line stand.
When it comes to Super Bowl 59 markets for the Philadelphia Eagles quarterback, Hurts getting heaved into the end zone by Philly’s “Brotherly Shove” is something you can take to the bank.
Here are my best NFL picks for the Jalen Hurts odds on Sunday, February 9.
Jalen Hurts player prop picks
- Best bet
Hurts anytime touchdown
(-115 at Caesars) - SGP pick
Hurts anytime touchdown
Hurts 40+ rushing yards
Jalen Hurts 200+ passing yards
(+410 at Caesars)
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.
Jalen Hurts prop pick
My best bet
Jalen Hurts anytime touchdown (-115 at Caesars)
My analysis
Jalen Hurts has rumbled for 64 rushing touchdowns in his career, with several of those scores powered by the vaunted “Tush Push”.
Very few defenses have been able to stop it, especially when the Philadelphia Eagles are just outside of the end zone. Should Philadelphia find its way into those spots in Super Bowl LIX, you can be sure Hurts is getting his number called.
This year, he scored at least one rushing touchdown in 12 of his 17 appearances during the regular season and playoffs, and Hurts is coming off a massive day in the NFC title game.
He scored three touchdowns in the one-sided win over the Washington Commanders, with two of those TDs coming on one-yard “runs”. Hurts also scrambled for a score on a shifty nine-yard-designed keeper in the red zone.
It was that play that put any doubts about the health of Hurts’ knee to rest, following his injury in the Divisional Round. Hurts suffered a knee sprain in the second half of that matchup with the L.A. Rams, immediately impacting his role in the rushing attack — most notably taking away situations in which the “Tush Push” would be used at the goal line.
Hurts now has two weeks to strengthen that knee, which means the Kansas City Chiefs not only have to worry about those short-yardage spots but also Hurts breaking off big runs for touchdowns as well.
He had a 44-yard sprinting strike versus Los Angeles in the Divisional Round before getting hurt and when the Eagles and Chiefs met in Super Bowl LVII two years ago, Hurts almost single-handedly won the game. He finished with 15 carries for 70 yards and three touchdowns on the ground — two via the “Tush Push” which went 6 for 6 on conversions on the day.
Given Hurts has scored a rushing touchdown in 70.5% of his games this season and the “Brotherly Shove” moves the chains or breaks the plane at better than 80%, the odds are definitely leaning toward another Big Game TD from the Eagles QB.
You can try to squeeze all the extra value out of this prop market by taking alternative TD bets — like Hurts to score two or more touchdowns at +550 or Hurts to score a first-half TD at +210 — but I’m happy keeping it simple with his “touchdown anytime” odds.
Jalen Hurts same-game parlay
Jalen Hurts anytime touchdown
Jalen Hurts 40+ rushing yards
Jalen Hurts 200+ passing yards
Either by “push of the tush” or on his own two legs, Hurts rumbling into the end zone is becoming a Super Bowl staple.
Hurts will be the healthiest he’s been in a long, long time on Feb. 9, overcoming knee injuries and concussions in the past month. Many projections call for 40-plus yards on the ground.
While he’s a beast on the ground, Hurts will have to make plays with his arm. His Super Bowl forecasts all sit above 200 yards passing, with some as high as 240 yards.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
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