Eagles vs Chiefs Predictions: 3 Reasons Why Kansas City Will Win Super Bowl 59

In a Super Bowl rematch that is nearly listed as a pick'em, Harrison Butker's track record of coming up clutch in the big game looms large.

Neil Parker - Analyst at Covers.com
Neil Parker • Betting Analyst
Jan 30, 2025 • 14:53 ET • 4 min read
Harrison Butker Kansas City Chiefs NFL
Photo By - Imagn Images. Kansas City Chiefs kicker Harrison Butker lines up a field goal attempt.

You’ll hear plenty about the coaching, postseason experience, and quarterback advantages the Kansas City Chiefs have over the Philadelphia Eagles leading up to the big game at the Caesars Superdome on Sunday, February 9.

Here are another three reasons why the Chiefs will top the Eagles in Super Bowl 59.

Three reasons why the Chiefs will win the national championship

Offensive depth

Kansas City Chiefs head coach Andy Reid and quarterback Patrick Mahomes now have their full complement of skill-position weapons. The Chiefs might lack the same flashy, brand-name talents hitting the field for the Philadelphia Eagles, but Kansas City still has sneaky offensive depth.

Starting in the backfield, Kareem Hunt and Isiah Pacheco are complemented by Samaje Perine, and the receiving corps is flush. Hollywood Brown and Xavier Worthy are speedsters with big-play potential, while JuJu Smith-Schuster and DeAndre Hopkins are proven chain movers.

The emergence of tight end Noah Gray as a secondary option alongside Travis Kelce also adds another dimension to the aerial attack. Collectively, this is a dynamic and difficult offense to match up against and defend due to the wealth of talent and varying skill sets.

Clock-churning drives

The Chiefs paced the NFL with an average of 6.7 plays for 3:08 per drive during the regular season. 

Add ranking second with a 48.5 third-down conversion percentage, and Kansas City controlling the tempo with long, clock-churning drives will both keep its defense fresh and keep the Philly offense on the sidelines.

Mahomes also finished this season with a career-low 6.8 yards per attempt and a career-high 67.5 completion percentage, with plenty of weapons at his disposal to methodically march the offense down the field.

Ultimately, it complements KC defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo’s ability to make savvy in-game adjustments.

Special teams

Close games are often won on the margins, and there’s a decent gap in the PFF special teams grades for the fifth-ranked Chiefs (89.2) and 15th-ranked Eagles (79.3). 

With both teams sporting middling punt- and kick-return averages during the regular season, while also allowing similar return averages, the gap in the grades likely aligns with Philly kicker Jake Elliott’s struggles.

Elliott missed eight field goals during the regular season to post the second-lowest field goal percentage of his career (77.8%), and he also missed his lone attempt against the Washington Commanders in the NFC Championship Game. His postseason 95.7 FG% is next to flawless, but how confident will head coach Nick Sirianni be?

Kansas City kicker Harrison Butker has a 90.0 FG% across 21 postseason games, including going 9-for-10 in the big game. This will be Butker’s fifth Super Bowl appearance, and the moment definitely won’t be too big for the three-time champ.

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Betting Analyst

Neil Parker is, first and foremost, a sports fan. A huge supporter of the Cowboys, Cubs, and Maple Leafs, he has managed to parlay his passion into writing gigs with Sportsbook Review, USA TODAY, theScore, DraftKings Playbook, and RotoWire, among many others. He also co-hosted the Daily Fantasy Edge podcast and can now be seen offering expert golf and hockey advice on Covers’ Before you Bet broadcast.

Neil takes a numbers-based approach to his handicapping and complements his in-depth statistical analysis with a keen eye on the markets to provide the best available odds. He loves to lean on his rolodex of idioms to offset his inner nerd. When it comes to wagering, he throws down on anything that catches his eye at bet365, Betway and BetVictor. He also keeps a close eye on CoolBet because the polar bear brand often has outlier NHL and NFL moneyline prices.

Neil graduated with honors from St. Thomas University in 2007 before completing his BEd at Acadia University in 2010. After teaching a myriad of courses and subjects, he found a groove delivering fun lessons to exceptional learners in non-traditional classroom environments. If his decade-plus teaching run taught him anything about sports betting, it’s to stay the course and use the summer – or offseason – to refresh and prepare to be better in the year to come.

Neil’s top pieces of advice for recreational bettors are to stay within your means and to remember sportsbooks aren’t bank accounts. Don’t be afraid to pull those winnings and treat yourself to a lifetime experience courtesy of a big win.

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