With UFC 275 right around the corner, and major fights with heavy implications on all parts of the card, let’s look at some standout fights taking place on the prelims — with our best breakdown of how the bout will go.
These MMA bets can serve as great standalone bets or boost your UFC odds with lucrative parlays.
Here are our free picks and predictions for the UFC 275 preliminaries for tonight, June 11.
UFC 275 prelim picks and predictions
Kyung Ho Kang vs Batgerel Danaa
• Prediction: Kang ML (+120)
• Best Bet: Over 2.5 rounds (-130)
Na Liang vs Silvana Gomez Juarez
• Prediction: Liang ML (+120)
• Best Bet: Liang by submission in R1 (+380)
Brendan Allen vs Jacob Malkoun
• Prediction: Allen ML (-310)
• Best Bet: Allen by submission (+150)
Click on each fight to jump to the full analysis.
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Kyung Ho Kang vs. Batgerel Danaa is a bout featuring two fighters coming off a loss. Mr. Perfect may have a few kinks in his armor, but Kang is good enough to stifle and shut down Danaa.
Danaa has struggled against methodical fighters in the past, and Kang’s bread and butter is working on the mat and aggressively attempting submissions. While Danaa is the better striker, Kang holds small advantages in both height and reach, as well as experience.
Kang’s lack of urgency has compromised him in the past, and he’ll have to be careful against the powerful Danaa. All three of his UFC wins have come by first-round finishes but is coming off a big knockout loss courtesy of a highlight-reel spinning back fist against Chris Gutierrez last March. If Kang displays his trademark complacency that has plagued him his entire career, Danaa’s explosive power could end his night early.
HUGE start to the 3rd for Kyung Ho Kang ????
— UFC (@ufc) November 21, 2021
[ #UFCVegas43 | Main Card LIVE on @ESPNPlus ] pic.twitter.com/SUiAuzwugO
Danaa’s power and aggression might get offset by Kang’s clinches and takedown attempts, but Kang’s struggles to find another gear at times might compromise his chances of winning. A safer bet here will be that the fight makes it to the third round or goes the full distance. We’re opting to go the conservative route here for a -130 pickup.
Prediction: Kyung Ho Kang moneyline (+120 at DraftKings)
Best Bet: Over 2.5 rounds (-130 at DraftKings)
Na Liang vs. Silvana Gomez Juarez features a fighter in Juarez, at age 37, who's coming off consecutive submission losses and now faces another submission-minded fighter.
Liang is a stylistic nightmare for Juarez and possesses the kinds of advantages an aging fighter doesn’t want to go up against. She’s 12 years younger, taller, and extremely active on the ground. On top of that, she boasts an incredible 70% striking accuracy and 75% takedown accuracy.
Going 4-4 since 2015, Juarez is well-traveled and can be a tough out. That said, she’s the favorite here because Liang’s striking defense is bad. To her credit, Juarez is decent in her standup game but has to be wary at all times as she is susceptible to takedowns and submissions.
If she can manage to hurt Liang early and stuff her takedown attempts, she could outwork her and cruise to a decision win.
With Liang boasting better stats in striking and superior groundwork, taking her at +125 is a steal.
When factoring in Juarez’s weaknesses, the possibility of an early submission happening as Liang takes her down to the ground is likely. We’re going with Liang by first-round submission here.
Prediction: Na Liang moneyline (+120 at DraftKings)
Best Bet: Na Liang by submission in Round 1 (+380 at DraftKings)
The main bout of the preliminary card, Brendan Allen vs. Jacob Malkoun, features an intriguing middleweight bout. Both fighters look very similar on paper, yet couldn’t be more different in practice.
Allen is a tremendous grappler who has proven his toughness and earned some solid wins. In addition to his grappling, Allen boasts a 54% striking accuracy and has 10 submission wins in his MMA career.
"Mentally I think I'm just way beyond that."
— UFC News (@UFCNews) June 7, 2022
Brendan Allen (@BrendanAllenMMA) believes the lessons he's learned in the Octagon have helped him improve his mental game ahead of #UFC275 ?????? pic.twitter.com/oISeGAkfSB
Malkoun is almost entirely a ground specialist. He averages 6.9 takedowns per fight, but he’s mostly succeeded against single-minded strikers who he matched up perfectly against. He’s 2-1 in his last three fights, winning with a takedown heavy game and going the distance both times. It is a big step-up in class, but it’s par for the course, as he’s been a betting underdog since beginning his run with the UFC in 2020.
Allen has too many notches in his belt to lose to Malkoun. Superior striking, grappling, experience, and physical advantages all overwhelming favor Allen. Expect him to impose his will on an opponent who will look hapless as the fight goes on.
We don’t think this fight goes the distance, and Allen is going to have Malkoun tapping out while having us cashing out at +150 for the call.
Prediction: Brendan Allen moneyline (-310 at DraftKings)
Best Bet: Brendan Allen by submission (+150 at DraftKings)
