UFC Fight Night Ige vs Evloev Picks and Predictions: Evloev Stays Undefeated

Dan Ige has lost two fights in a row and now looks to rebound against unbeaten Russian featherweight Mosvar Evloev. We like Evloev to avoid the loss column and prevail again on Saturday night. Find out why in our Ige vs. Evloev UFC betting picks.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Jun 4, 2022 • 08:40 ET • 4 min read

Dan Ige vs. Movsar Evloev is part of the main card for UFC Fight Night betting on June 4 from the UFC Apex in Las Vegas. 

This should be a banger between a duo of ranked featherweights in a loaded division. Despite sitting below Ige in the rankings, Evloev is the biggest favorite on the main card with UFC odds opening, with the undefeated Russian as a -345 favorite before moving to -400. 

Here are our best free Ige vs. Evloev picks and predictions for UFC Fight Night tonight

Ige vs Evloev fight odds

Live odds courtesy of the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.

Ige vs Evloev method of victory odds

Method of Victory Dan Ige Movsar Evloev
To win by KO/TKO +1,100 +600
To win by Points +600 -175
To win by Submission +2,100 +900
Draw +5,000 +5,000

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook on June 4, 2022.

Ige vs Evloev picks

Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.

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Ige vs Evloev betting preview

Dan "50K" Ige is No. 10 in the featherweight rankings but is coming off back-to-back defeats against Josh Emmett and the "Korean Zombie" Chan Sung Jung.

Between 2018 and 2020, Ige won six straight fights but has gone just 1-3 in his last four, coming up short against top fighters like Emmett, KZ, and Calvin Kattar.

Ige is a well-rounded fighter that combines crisp hands and aggressive boxing in the pocket with impressive wrestling and grappling credentials.

Movsar Evloev broke into the featherweight rankings after a unanimous decision victory against Hakeem Dawodu last June. The 28-year-old now has a perfect 15-0 record in MMA, including five straight wins inside the octagon.

The former M-1 Global Bantamweight champion has a game plan focused on pressure, takedowns, and grappling. However, he has made major strides in his stand-up, picking apart wrestling specialists like Nik Lentz and Mike Grundy in striking exchanges in recent years.

Ige vs Evloev tale of the tape

Dan Ige   Movsar Evloev
30 Age 28
5-foot-7 Height 5-foot-7
145 lbs Weight 145 lbs
71 inches Reach 72.5 inches
15-5 (4 KOs) Record 15-0 (3 KOs)

Ige vs Evloev UFC prediction and best bet

Our prediction is compiled from the analysis of the fighters and is an indication of who we are leaning with to win this bout.
Our best bet is the play that we like the most for this fight or where the most value lies, and is where we would put some of our bankroll behind.

This fight looks like a matchup problem for Ige who needs to get inside the pocket to do damage with his boxing. Evloev is a strong defensive fighter with a high IQ and he does a good job of avoiding damage in close.

Engaging at close range will also allow Evloev to get his hands on Ige where he can use his relentless takedowns and wrestling to control the fight. In Ige's last fight, he was severely out-grappled by Jung which doesn't bode well for his chances against someone like Evloev who has good enough striking to keep him honest. 

Evloev should be able to get the win. However, these odds are a bit out of whack given that Ige's recent defeats have all come up against killers and Evloev hasn't faced the same level of competition.

Not to mention, while Evloev hasn't ever lost a fight, he has certainly lost rounds to inferior fighters in the past. We're looking elsewhere to find betting value in this one. 

Prediction: Evloev to win (-380 at DraftKings)

Given that neither of these guys hasve racked up many finishes lately, it makes sense to expect this fight to go the distance. All five of Evloev's wins in the promotion have come by decision and he tends to slow down fights with his rinse-and-repeat style of wrestling.  

Meanwhile, the durable Ige has never been finished in his 20-fight career and has only been knocked down twice in 11 UFC bouts. Expect this fight to go to the judges' cards with Evloev keeping his perfect record intact. 

Although the moneyline price for Evloev is too steep, being able to get a much better payout by backing him to win by points is well worth it. 

Pick: Evloev by decision (-175 at FanDuel)

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Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than any analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics and Oscar odds. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

You can catch Rohit breaking down every UFC event with Joe Osborne on "P4P Picks" on the Covers YouTube channel and he also has regular appearances on "Before You Bet" with Joe. In addition, he's a regular guest on "By The Book" on the Monumental Sports Network and makes guest appearances on VSIN's "The Handle" and CBS Sports.

Rohit primarily makes his bets at bet365, which offers a wide variety of prop markets, but also has accounts at several others so he can shop around for the best prices. For Rohit, bankroll management is key. He believes you should never bet what you can't afford to lose and maximize those few betting opportunities where books misprice a line.

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