Amanda Lemos vs. Jessica Andrade is the main event for UFC Fight Night betting this Saturday from the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada.
Although this might look like an underwhelming card to fight fans, the headline event should be a banger between a pair of striking specialists who rack up finishes. UFC betting lines opened with Andrade as a -170 favorite before shifting to anywhere between -175 and -189, while Lemos is the underdog at +150.
Here are our best free UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade picks and predictions for Saturday, April 23.
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Lemos vs Andrade fight odds
Live odds courtesy of the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.
Lemos vs Andrade method of victory odds
| Method of Victory | Amanda Lemos | Jessica Andrade |
|---|---|---|
| To win by KO/TKO/DQ | +300 | +200 |
| To win by Decision | +500 | +275 |
| To win by Submission | +1,100 | +500 |
| Draw | +5,000 | +5,000 |
Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook as of April 19.
Lemos vs Andrade picks
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.
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Lemos vs Andrade betting preview
Amanda Lemos is the No. 10 ranked strawweight contender and comes in on a five-fight winning streak. In her most recent victory, she defeated Angela Hill by split decision in December in a bout that earned a Fight of the Night bonus.
The former Jungle Fight women's bantamweight champion is a striking specialist that softens her opponents with leg kicks and has rare knockout power for the division.
Jessica Andrade is the No. 1 ranked flyweight contender but will drop back down to 115 pounds, where she previously held the UFC title until getting knocked out by Zhang Weili in 2019. She followed up on that defeat with a split decision loss to current champ Rose Namajunas in a bout that was named Fight of the Night.
After that, "Bate Estaca" moved up to flyweight where she has gone 2-1, with her loss coming in a title challenge against Valentina Shevchenko and knockout victories versus Katlyn Chookagian and Cynthia Calvillo.
The 30-year-old is a pressure fighter that uses her strength and power to bully her opponents, both standing up and on the mat.
Lemos vs Andrade tale of the tape
| Amanda Lemos | Jessica Andrade | |
|---|---|---|
| 34 | Age | 30 |
| 5-foot-4 | Height | 5-foot-1 |
| 115 lbs | Weight | 126 lbs |
| 65 inches | Reach | 62 inches |
| 11-1-1 (7 KO) | Record | 22-9-0 (9 KO) |
Lemos vs Andrade UFC prediction and best bet
Our prediction is compiled from the analysis of the fighters and is an indication of who we are leaning with to win this bout.
Our best bet is the play that we like the most for this fight or where the most value lies, and is where we would put some of our bankroll behind.
Prediction: Andrade (-175 at Bet365)
Andrade might be just 2-3 in her last five fights but those defeats came against some of the best pound-for-pound women's fighters on the planet and the decision loss against Rose Namajunas was razor close.
Lemos is coming off a close win against Angela Hill who is a borderline Top-15 strawweight and has now lost four of her previous five.
The quality of Lemos' opponents on her winning streak simply isn't as impressive as the killers Andrade has faced and Bate Estaca is also still in her physical prime at 30, despite having far more experience than the 34-year-old Lemos.
Add in Andrade's strength and grappling advantage and we'll back the favorite at a decent price.
Best bet: Under 3.5 rounds (-135 at DraftKings)
Strawweight fights don't typically see many finishes but these two are aggressive strikers that (win or lose) end fights early.
Andrade's last four wins (and six of her previous seven fights overall) have ended within the first two rounds.
Nine of Lemos' 11 career wins (and her only loss) have been by finish and all three of her stoppage victories inside the octagon came inside of the first round.
This should be a banger and regardless of who wins, the Under 3.5 rounds seems like the best bet.
