UFC 263 Betting Odds: Adesanya vs Vettori 2 Headlines Event

Israel Adesanya will defend his middleweight belt for a third time at UFC 263 against Marvin Vettori, who he previously defeated in 2018.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Jun 6, 2021 • 10:51 ET
Israel Adesanya Middleweight UFC MMA
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

Two UFC championships will be on the line at UFC 263 on June 12, with a middleweight title bout between Israel Adesanya and Marvin Vettori headlining the event, along with a co-main event rematch between flyweight champ Deiveson Figueiredo and Brandon Moreno.

Oddsmakers expect both champs to retain their belts, with UFC 263 odds installing Adesanya and Figueiredo as solid favorites for their respective bouts. 

Here are all the UFC odds on the card for UFC 263 on Saturday, June 12.  

UFC 263 odds 

Favorite Odds Underdog Odds Weight Class
Israel Adesanya -250 Marvin Vettori +200 Middleweight
Deiveson Figueiredo -185 Brandon Moreno +155 Flyweight
Leon Edwards -550 Nate Diaz +400 Welterweight
Jamahal Hill -275 Paul Craig +225 Light Heavyweight
Belal Muhammad -215 Demian Maia +175 Welterweight
Joanne Calderwood -148 Lauren Murphy +117 Women's Flyweight
Drew Dober -155 Brad Riddell +125 Lightweight
Eryk Anders -150 Darren Stewart +120 Light Heavyweight
Movsar Evloev -240 Hakeem Dawodu +188 Featherweight
Steven Peterson -114 Chase Hooper -108 Featherweight
Matt Frevola -225 Terrance McKinney +175 Lightweight
Fares Zaim -125 Luigi Vendramini +102 Lightweight
Carlos Felipe -175 Jake Collier +135 Heavyweight
Pannie Kianzad -205 Alexis Davis +162 Women's Bantamweight

Odds on main card (first five fights listed) courtesy BetMGM at 9:30 p.m. ET June 12

Covers Writer IconUFC 263 sharp money and line movement report
By Patrick Everson

Latest Adesanya vs. Vettori betting action

UPDATE 11:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: With the main event approaching, The SuperBook has the moneyline at Israel Adesanya -230/Marvin Vettori +195. "On the straight bets, we need Vettori small," SuperBook risk manager Rex Beyers said. "But scads of people have deemed Adesanya a free space on their parlay ticket, so we'll be rooting for the Italian in the main event, unless something changes in this last 45 minutes or so."

UPDATE 9:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Less than an hour before the main card begins, BetMGM Nevada has the middleweight title fight at Israel Adesanya -250/Marvin Vettori +200, which is right where this fight opened. The moneyline peaked at Adesanya -275/Vettori +225. "There's a ton of tickets on both guys, a dozen more on the favorite. Money is about 6/1 on the favorite. We're gonna need the 'dog," BetMGM Nevada's Scott Shelton said. The largest wager so far at BetMGM Nevada is $55,000 on Adesanya -265, to win $21,000.

Latest Figueiredo vs. Moreno betting action

UPDATE 9:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: BetMGM Nevada pegged Deiveson Figueiredo a -230 favorite at the outset and rose to -245, but the moneyline has since crashed to Figueiredo -185/Moreno +155. "Tickets are running 4/1 and money 3/1 in favor of the 'dog," BetMGM Nevada's Scott Shelton said.

Latest Edwards vs. Diaz betting action

UPDATE 9:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: This fight is easily the most surprising and most concerning for BetMGM Nevada, where Leon Edwards opened -450 and is up to -550, with Nate Diaz a +400 underdog. However, the moneyline move completely belies the liability for this clash. "Ticket count at BetMGM Nevada is literally 603 tickets on Diaz to 19 on Edwards. Money is well over 100/1 in favor of Diaz," BetMGM Nevada's Scott Shelton said. "It's gonna be a mid-six-figure decision. It's the whole night. It's the only fight that matters."

Other UFC 263 betting action

UPDATE 9:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Belal Muhammad opened a -270 favorite and Demian Maia a +220 underdog at BetMGM Nevada, and the moneyline is down to Muhammad -215/Maia +175. "Tickets are 2/1 and money just over 2/1 in favor of Maia. We're stuck pretty good on the 'dog. It's our second-biggest decision of the night," BetMGM Nevada's Scott Shelton said.

Where will UFC 263 take place?

UFC 263 will take place at Gila River Arena in Glendale, Arizona.

Who is fighting at UFC 263?

In addition to the two title fights, several other big-time bouts are on the UFC 263 card. After originally being scheduled for UFC 262, No. 3 ranked welterweight Leon Edwards will face off against Nate Diaz in a five-round non-title bout. 

Legendary grappler Demian Maia will also square off against Belal Muhammad in a welterweight battle, and Paul Craig vs. Jamahal Hill, are also on the main card.

On the women's side, highly-ranked flyweights Lauren Murphy and Joanne Calderwood will battle in the prelims.

UFC 263 odds for title fights

Israel Adesanya vs Marvin Vettori 2 Odds

Israel Adesanya will make the third defense of his middleweight title as a -280favorite but is fresh off the first defeat of his career when he jumped up in weight class to unsuccessfully challenge 205-pound champ Jan Blachowicz in March.

Prior to that loss, the Last Stylebender had gone 20-0 in his MMA career, including a 9-0 record in the octagon. With a background as a professional kickboxer, Adesanya is an extremely precise striker with fantastic movement and technique.

Marvin "The Italian Dream" Vettori lost by split decision to Adesanya when these two middleweights faced off against each other back in 2018. Since then, the 27-year-old has been on a heater, winning five fights in a row, most recently a unanimous decision victory over Kevin Holland in April.

Deiveson Figueiredo vs Brandon Moreno 2 Odds

Despite battling to a draw as a +250 underdog in his first title challenge, Moreno will once again be a moderate underdog at +165 for his rematch against Figueiredo (-210). 

The first matchup at UFC 256 was one of the best fights of the year and was extremely close with Figueiredo owning a slim 137-132 edge in significant strikes but Moreno having the advantage in takedowns and control time. 

Prior to the draw in December, "The Assassin Baby" Moreno had gone 4-0-1 in his previous five fights. The champ Figueiredo is 9-1-1 at the UFC level with seven of his nine wins coming via finishes. 

Where can I bet on UFC?

You can bet on UFC odds at most online and casino sportsbooks, including UFC outrights, method of victory, and other props. Head over to our best-suggested sportsbooks for the top spots to bet on UFC odds in your area.

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Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than any analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics and Oscar odds. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

You can catch Rohit breaking down every UFC event with Joe Osborne on "P4P Picks" on the Covers YouTube channel and he also has regular appearances on "Before You Bet" with Joe. In addition, he's a regular guest on "By The Book" on the Monumental Sports Network and makes guest appearances on VSIN's "The Handle" and CBS Sports.

Rohit primarily makes his bets at bet365, which offers a wide variety of prop markets, but also has accounts at several others so he can shop around for the best prices. For Rohit, bankroll management is key. He believes you should never bet what you can't afford to lose and maximize those few betting opportunities where books misprice a line.

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