Two UFC championships will be on the line at UFC 263 on June 12, with a middleweight title bout between Israel Adesanya and Marvin Vettori headlining the event, along with a co-main event rematch between flyweight champ Deiveson Figueiredo and Brandon Moreno.
Oddsmakers expect both champs to retain their belts, with UFC 263 odds installing Adesanya and Figueiredo as solid favorites for their respective bouts.
Here are all the UFC odds on the card for UFC 263 on Saturday, June 12.
UFC 263 odds
Favorite | Odds | Underdog | Odds | Weight Class |
---|---|---|---|---|
Israel Adesanya | -250 | Marvin Vettori | +200 | Middleweight |
Deiveson Figueiredo | -185 | Brandon Moreno | +155 | Flyweight |
Leon Edwards | -550 | Nate Diaz | +400 | Welterweight |
Jamahal Hill | -275 | Paul Craig | +225 | Light Heavyweight |
Belal Muhammad | -215 | Demian Maia | +175 | Welterweight |
Joanne Calderwood | -148 | Lauren Murphy | +117 | Women's Flyweight |
Drew Dober | -155 | Brad Riddell | +125 | Lightweight |
Eryk Anders | -150 | Darren Stewart | +120 | Light Heavyweight |
Movsar Evloev | -240 | Hakeem Dawodu | +188 | Featherweight |
Steven Peterson | -114 | Chase Hooper | -108 | Featherweight |
Matt Frevola | -225 | Terrance McKinney | +175 | Lightweight |
Fares Zaim | -125 | Luigi Vendramini | +102 | Lightweight |
Carlos Felipe | -175 | Jake Collier | +135 | Heavyweight |
Pannie Kianzad | -205 | Alexis Davis | +162 | Women's Bantamweight |
Odds on main card (first five fights listed) courtesy BetMGM at 9:30 p.m. ET June 12.
Latest Adesanya vs. Vettori betting action
UPDATE 11:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: With the main event approaching, The SuperBook has the moneyline at Israel Adesanya -230/Marvin Vettori +195. "On the straight bets, we need Vettori small," SuperBook risk manager Rex Beyers said. "But scads of people have deemed Adesanya a free space on their parlay ticket, so we'll be rooting for the Italian in the main event, unless something changes in this last 45 minutes or so."
UPDATE 9:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Less than an hour before the main card begins, BetMGM Nevada has the middleweight title fight at Israel Adesanya -250/Marvin Vettori +200, which is right where this fight opened. The moneyline peaked at Adesanya -275/Vettori +225. "There's a ton of tickets on both guys, a dozen more on the favorite. Money is about 6/1 on the favorite. We're gonna need the 'dog," BetMGM Nevada's Scott Shelton said. The largest wager so far at BetMGM Nevada is $55,000 on Adesanya -265, to win $21,000.
Previous Adesanya vs. Vettori action
UPDATE 5:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Israel Adesanya is up to -280 at PointsBet USA, from a -250 opener, with Marvin Vettori correspondingly moving from +205 to +215. Bettors are piling on the favorite for tonight's main event, with 94 percent of bets and 95 percent of cash on Adesanya to win this middleweight title bout.
UPDATE 2:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: DraftKings has Israel Adesanya a -278 favorite and Marvin Vettori a +225 underdog for the middleweight title bout atop tonight's card. It's all Adesanya so far, at 81 percent of tickets and 84 percent of cash.
UPDATE 12:45 P.M. ET THURSDAY: Nick Kalikas, risk manager and MMA oddsmaker for Circa Sports, opened the main event at Israel Adesanya -235/Marvin Vettori +200 back on April 25, and it's now Adesanya -250/Vettori +215. "So far, and not surprisingly, it's all love for Adesanya. Nothing but straight bets and parlays on the favorite. There's not much on Vettori yet at all," Kalikas said. "And it's public and sharp action on the favorite. We're gonna need Vettori, for sure, but I'm expecting some sharp action to come in on Vettori as the line progresses."
Latest Figueiredo vs. Moreno betting action
UPDATE 9:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: BetMGM Nevada pegged Deiveson Figueiredo a -230 favorite at the outset and rose to -245, but the moneyline has since crashed to Figueiredo -185/Moreno +155. "Tickets are running 4/1 and money 3/1 in favor of the 'dog," BetMGM Nevada's Scott Shelton said.
Previous Figueiredo vs. Moreno action
UPDATE 5:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Deiveson Figueiredo opened as -235 chalk at PointsBet USA and is down to -210 this afternoon, with Brandon Moreno a +165 underdog. But action on this flyweight title bout is still quite one-sided, with 84 percent of tickets and 89 percent of dollars on Figueiredo.
UPDATE 2:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: In tonight's co-main Deiveson Figueiredo puts his flyweight title on the line as a -210 favorite at DraftKings, taking on +165 underdog Brandon Moreno. Bettors aren't pounding the chalk as much in this bout as they are in the main event, but Figueiredo is still seeing 71 percent of bets and 69 percent of money.
UPDATE 12:45 P.M. ET THURSDAY: Deiveson Figueiredo opened as -215 chalk to Brandon Moreno's +185 'dog price on March 23 at Circa Sports, and Figueiredo jumped as high as -260. But the moneyline is now actually shorter than the opening price, at Figueiredo -210/Moreno +180. "This bout is a lot more even in ticket count and money, but there are a ton of parlays on Figueiredo," Kalikas said. "On straight bets, there's steady two-way sharp action. But we'll need Moreno, almost no doubt."
Latest Edwards vs. Diaz betting action
UPDATE 9:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: This fight is easily the most surprising and most concerning for BetMGM Nevada, where Leon Edwards opened -450 and is up to -550, with Nate Diaz a +400 underdog. However, the moneyline move completely belies the liability for this clash. "Ticket count at BetMGM Nevada is literally 603 tickets on Diaz to 19 on Edwards. Money is well over 100/1 in favor of Diaz," BetMGM Nevada's Scott Shelton said. "It's gonna be a mid-six-figure decision. It's the whole night. It's the only fight that matters."
Previous Edwards vs. Diaz action
UPDATE 5:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: As is the case at most books, this moneyline was a big mover at PointsBet USA, which opened Leon Edwards -425 and reached -600 earlier this afternoon. Edwards is now -550, with Nate Diaz a +380 pup, and the favorite is landing 76 percent of bets/83 percent of money.
UPDATE 2:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: While the moneyline in this bout is quite lopsided toward the favorite, the action at DraftKings tells a different story. Leon Edwards is out to a beefy -560 this afternoon, with Nate Diaz +385 on the buyback. But Diaz is a popular fighter, no question, and while he's netting just 48 percent of bets, those wagers account for 77 percent of money on this welterweight clash.
UPDATE 12:45 P.M. ET THURSDAY: Leon Edwards opened a hefty -440 favorite at Circa Sports, with Nate Diaz +355 on the buyback, and the moneyline has only gone north from there. Edwards is out to -535, with Diaz +420. Kalikas noted the movement was even more pronounced at other books. "Some places opened Edwards -275," he said, before addressing the betting at Circa. "Obviously, there's a little more straight and parlay action on Edwards, but nothing crazy. We've still got the best price on Edwards, and we're not buried on him. I'm expecting a lot of public Diaz money to come in on fight day. As crazy as it sounds, I think we'll need the favorite to come through."
Other UFC 263 betting action
UPDATE 9:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Belal Muhammad opened a -270 favorite and Demian Maia a +220 underdog at BetMGM Nevada, and the moneyline is down to Muhammad -215/Maia +175. "Tickets are 2/1 and money just over 2/1 in favor of Maia. We're stuck pretty good on the 'dog. It's our second-biggest decision of the night," BetMGM Nevada's Scott Shelton said.
Previous other UFC 263 action
UPDATE 5:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: In the first matchup on the five-bout main card, Jamahal Hill opened a -300 favorite at PointsBet USA and is down slightly to -290 against Paul Craig (+220). But there's no shortage of interest in Hill, who is getting 92 percent of tickets and 93 percent of cash in this light heavyweight clash.
UPDATE 2:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Joanne Calderwood and Lauren Murphy square off in a women's flyweight bout that's at least seeing something close to two-way action thus far. Calderwood is a -148 favorite and Murphy a +117 underdog at DraftKings, where Calderwood is attracting 57 percent of tickets and 59 percent of money.
UPDATE 12:45 P.M. ET THURSDAY: Kalikas pointed to the early prelims section of this 14-bout UFC 263 card for another fight he finds intriguing: Chase Hooper vs. Steven Peterson. The bout opened at Peterson -155/Hooper +135 and jumped the fence to Hooper -116/Peterson -104, and it's now Hooper -114/Peterson -106. "It's really seeing a lot of action from the public and sharps, a sick amount of action, and it flipped here," Kalikas said. "Several large bets on Hooper along the way, and we've adjusted accordingly. But we are starting to see some buyback on Peterson. This has been one of the most-bet fights on this entire card, which is a little bit of a head-scratcher, considering where it is on the card. I think we'll probably end up needing Peterson, but hopefully it won't be a drastic decision. I could really see this fight going either way."
Where will UFC 263 take place?
UFC 263 will take place at Gila River Arena in Glendale, Arizona.
Who is fighting at UFC 263?
In addition to the two title fights, several other big-time bouts are on the UFC 263 card. After originally being scheduled for UFC 262, No. 3 ranked welterweight Leon Edwards will face off against Nate Diaz in a five-round non-title bout.
Legendary grappler Demian Maia will also square off against Belal Muhammad in a welterweight battle, and Paul Craig vs. Jamahal Hill, are also on the main card.
On the women's side, highly-ranked flyweights Lauren Murphy and Joanne Calderwood will battle in the prelims.
UFC 263 odds for title fights
Israel Adesanya vs Marvin Vettori 2 Odds
Israel Adesanya will make the third defense of his middleweight title as a -280favorite but is fresh off the first defeat of his career when he jumped up in weight class to unsuccessfully challenge 205-pound champ Jan Blachowicz in March.
Prior to that loss, the Last Stylebender had gone 20-0 in his MMA career, including a 9-0 record in the octagon. With a background as a professional kickboxer, Adesanya is an extremely precise striker with fantastic movement and technique.
Marvin "The Italian Dream" Vettori lost by split decision to Adesanya when these two middleweights faced off against each other back in 2018. Since then, the 27-year-old has been on a heater, winning five fights in a row, most recently a unanimous decision victory over Kevin Holland in April.
Deiveson Figueiredo vs Brandon Moreno 2 Odds
Despite battling to a draw as a +250 underdog in his first title challenge, Moreno will once again be a moderate underdog at +165 for his rematch against Figueiredo (-210).
The first matchup at UFC 256 was one of the best fights of the year and was extremely close with Figueiredo owning a slim 137-132 edge in significant strikes but Moreno having the advantage in takedowns and control time.
Prior to the draw in December, "The Assassin Baby" Moreno had gone 4-0-1 in his previous five fights. The champ Figueiredo is 9-1-1 at the UFC level with seven of his nine wins coming via finishes.
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