UFC 264 Akhmedov vs Tavares Picks: Tavares is Battle-Tested

One of the top prelim fights at UFC 264 is sure to be Omari Akhmedov vs. Brad Tavares. We've got the lowdown for your UFC betting as we preview the contrasting matchup with our Akhmedov vs. Tavares picks.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Jul 9, 2021 • 13:40 ET • 4 min read
Brad Tavares UFC 264
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

Omari Akhmedov vs. Brad Tavares is on the early prelims for a loaded UFC 264 betting card on Saturday, July 10.

This should be a war between a pair of ranked middleweights and it's a testament to the depth of this event that this bout couldn't even crack the main card. UFC betting lines have Tavares installed as a -176 favorite while Akhmedov comes back at +138.

Here are our best free Akhmedov vs. Tavares picks and predictions for UFC 264 at T-Mobile Arena in Paradise, Nevada.  

Akhmedov vs Tavares fight odds

Method of Victory Omari Akhmedov Brad Tavares
Win Outright +138 -176
Win by KO/TKO +850 +420
Win by Points +280 +135
Win by Submission +1,100 +1,100
Draw +5,000 +5,000

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook on July 8, 2021.

Akhmedov vs Tavares betting preview

Omari "Wolverine" Akhmedov is the No. 13-ranked middleweight contender, and in his most recent fight in January, controlled Tom Breese on the ground en route to a second-round submission victory. He's 5-1-1 in his last seven fights, with the lone defeat coming against Chris Weidman last year and the draw versus Marvin Vettori in 2017. 

Hailing from Dagestan (home of Khabib Nurmagomedov), Akhmedov is a pressure fighter that wears down opponents with his takedowns and relentless wrestling.

Brad Tavares is No. 15 in the middleweight rankings and is fresh off a unanimous decision win against Antonio Carlos Junior in February. That victory allowed him to snap a two-fight losing skid against Edmen Shahbazyan and Israel Adesanya.

A long-time UFC veteran, Tavares is 13-6 in the octagon and many of his losses have come against the division's best fighters like Adesanya, Yoel Romero, and Robert Whittaker. The 33-year-old is primarily a striker and sets up his combinations with strong leg kicks and jabs. 

Akhmedov vs Tavares tale of the tape

Omari Akhmedov   Brad Tavares
33 Age 33
6-foot-0 Height 6-foot-1
186 lbs Weight 185 lbs
73 inches Reach 74 inches
21-5-1 (7 KO) Record 18-6 (5 KO)

Akhmedov vs Tavares UFC prediction and betting pick

PREDICTION: - Tavares by decision (+135) - Akhmedov has strong offensive wrestling but Tavares does a good job of defending against takedowns and is very effective at fighting on the outside. He also has a better gas tank than Akhmedov, who has a tendency to slow down in the third round after trying to push the pace in the opening rounds.

Tavares should be able to piece up Akhmedov at range while catching him with elbows and knees in the clinch. That said, Tavares isn't exactly a finisher and 10 of his last 11 wins have come by decision, so back that method of victory prop at plus money. 

Where can I bet on UFC odds?

Most online sportsbooks and casinos offer bets on UFC odds and props. While odds to win usually come out as soon as a fight is announced, prop bets become more readily available closer to an event. Check out the best sportsbooks available where you live and see what UFC bets they have available.

Pages related to this topic

Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than any analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics and Oscar odds. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

You can catch Rohit breaking down every UFC event with Joe Osborne on "P4P Picks" on the Covers YouTube channel and he also has regular appearances on "Before You Bet" with Joe. In addition, he's a regular guest on "By The Book" on the Monumental Sports Network and makes guest appearances on VSIN's "The Handle" and CBS Sports.

Rohit primarily makes his bets at bet365, which offers a wide variety of prop markets, but also has accounts at several others so he can shop around for the best prices. For Rohit, bankroll management is key. He believes you should never bet what you can't afford to lose and maximize those few betting opportunities where books misprice a line.

Popular Content

Legal Canadian sports betting

Best Canadian betting sites Ontario sports betting
Covers 25 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo